CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 Euro ensembles definitely faster and even a hair SE of the op run. It looks like the ensembles aren't buying the slower/phased deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Looks like 70s at KTOL and upper 50s at ORH. Find your warm-front somewhere between those two. I'm 5 miles SW of ORH and I'm at 69/60. Can't get full clearing though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Euro ensembles definitely faster and even a hair SE of the op run. It looks like the ensembles aren't buying the slower/phased deal.Yeah many of us thought that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 Yeah many of us thought that The models did trend sharper with the follow up s/w..but we'll see. Regardless, it's nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 @NWSSPC: #SPC_MD 1030 affecting SRN MA...RI...ERN CT, #mawx #riwx #ctwx #nywx, http://t.co/T6qqSyQnbG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 The Patuxet River might as well have a permanent flood warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Torrential rain atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 clear with sun here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Front is SW of the actual cloud line. Right ..that's what we were talking about earlier, in the sun cleaving away the clouds but the actual boundary ...forget it. This was going to be a 86er pos day all along in my opinion. slam dunk dank fest of funk. But, at least it isn't 96/74 ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Man the ECMWF QPF for Friday looks interesting... seemingly very light in the BOS area considering what it is showing in western SNE and in the NYC-ALB corridor. Would actually be like a toaster bath of a run for BOS-PWM if this was January, lol. That precip just hits a brick wall from that drier air seeping down the coastal plain from Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 Man the ECMWF QPF for Friday looks interesting... seemingly very light in the BOS area considering what it is showing in western SNE and in the NYC-ALB corridor. Would actually be like a toaster bath of a run for BOS-PWM if this was January, lol. That precip just hits a brick wall from that drier air seeping down the coastal plain from Maine. It's different in the summer when convection can rob advective processes. It will probably change a little at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 LOL at the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 3 hr flood guidance in suffolk is only .9 Kevin has been on fire lately, he needs to redeem himself In other news, can I get a good thurs-sun forecast for South Yarmouth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Btw, the extended operational Euro (12z) is prepping the GL and OV....possible NE, for a Sonoran heat release. Were baking the plateau and building heat for days, then uncap it with a subtle pattern shift that drops lowering heights into Rockies, with height lifting in the E. It is of course not likely to happen... Still, it is first time I've seen the Euro hit at bringing bigger heat east since the warm up way back in April, which turned out to only be 1 day around 80 ....but. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Front is SW of the actual cloud line. I was going to say, that front is somewhere just north of the finer line of Cu and the stable wave cloud edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 LOL at the NAM. what's it got? .25 for everyone? OR maybe 6+? You never know with the good ol NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Funny being out here with 50 knots of 0-6km shear, 3000+ j/kg of MLCAPE, and overcast skies with shallow strato-cu under the inversion with the easterly upslope. Thing we're going to stay in KRAP for a bit longer and then play things south a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 LOL at the NAM. Got water? A nice 2-5 type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Hit 80 @ 3pm. Went out for a bike ride and just beat the rain back to the house. Nice thunder rumbling through right now. Down to 68.5 with the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Funny being out here with 50 knots of 0-6km shear, 3000+ j/kg of MLCAPE, and overcast skies with shallow strato-cu under the inversion with the easterly upslope. Thing we're going to stay in KRAP for a bit longer and then play things south a bit. SPC meso page puts the best theta-e advection and moisture convergence almost at the triple point of the SD/NE/WY borders. Nice congested Cu on satellite, with some high level clouds (maybe some ACCAS) approaching from WY. This could be the lift needed to fire things off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Looks like areas could see a quick inch. This pattern is unreal for rain amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 Sun popping out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 What a difference in the air between Wrentham and Taunton. Dry air at work but muggy here at home. You can see the front draped across the SE MA region. Looks like stuff beginning to form at the RI/MA border. Getting some light stuff here at home. Could be some localized heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 Storms firing along the WF in SE MA. Someone is going to get dumped on there. Little meso low now south of ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Currently 75/65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Storms firing along the WF in SE MA. Someone is going to get dumped on there. Little meso low now south of ORH. Yeah, clearly evident. Heading out now to outdoor practice in Bridgewater but I'm guessing we head indoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Looks like all lightning confined to south of the WF on weathertap. Maybe a rumble north of the boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 That line moving into e ct and w ri could drop a quick inch. Wheres the pawcatuck protector Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Yeah, clearly evident. Heading out now to outdoor practice in Bridgewater but I'm guessing we head indoors. Someone around you will jackpot it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Sun popping out here.AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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