CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 What is timing for storms today? Some of the mesos have them in here mid- late afternoon For you? I'd say 4-5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 Heat burst FTW. EAR SA 0835 AWOS CLR BLO 120 10 91/46/1806/972/ WSHFT 57 LTG DSNT SW=EAR SA 0815 AWOS 120 SCT 10 97/43/1813G44/971/ WSHFT 57 LTG DSNT SW=EAR SA 0755 AWOS 70 SCT 90 SCT E120 BKN 10 90/48/2015G22/976/ WND 15V22WSHFT 38 LTG DSNT W TSE00=EAR SA 0735 AWOS 55 SCT 80 SCT E120 BKN 10 88/54/3509G16/983/ TSE00=EAR SA 0715 AWOS 70 SCT E110 BKN 10 86/52/3018G41/986/ LTG DSNT SETSE00=EAR SA 0655 AWOS 100 SCT E120 BKN 10T 88/48/2723G47/988/ LTG DSNT ETSB01 PCPN 0001=EAR SA 0635 AWOS 90 SCT E110 BKN 10T 84/52/2425G30/983/ LTG DSNT ALQDSTSB01=EAR SA 0615 AWOS 100 SCT 6T 77/68/2108/984/ LTG DSNT S TSB01=EAR SA 0555 AWOS CLR BLO 120 10 75/66/0000/982/ 52017 10088 20075 LTGDSNT SW= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Man what we wouldn't give to have that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 warm front pushing north-breaking into some spotty sun here and there and temps drifting up to 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 No summer feel currently, this must he what 2009 seem'd like. Mid 50's w wf to the south, n winds. Warm pool temp going going gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 2009 was a lot worse. I wouldn't go there quite yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 2009 was a lot worse. I wouldn't go there quite yet.Based off a 384 GFS run lol. Idiotic. I guess he doesn't see the completely rain free weekend of more than 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 Based off a 384 GFS run lol. Idiotic. I guess he doesn't see the completely rain free weekend of more than 48 hours LOL, I think he's just making a point that it's a wet pattern which I agree with. Maybe not every two days, but the overall pattern favors above normal rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 2009 was a lot worse. I wouldn't go there quite yet. the wx should have hype Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 This is so cool. That would insane to experience Site Temp/Dewpoint Before Heat Burst Temp/Dewpoint After Heat Burst Grand Island Airport ASOS 73/67 (2:53 a.m.) 99/41 (5:10 a.m.) Hastings Airport ASOS 73/66 (1:53 a.m.) 97/39 (3:53 a.m.) Holdrege Airport AWOS 77/68 (12:35 a.m.) 88/47 (2:35 a.m.) Kearney Airport AWOS 75/66 (12:55 a.m.) 97/43 (3:15 a.m.) Lexington Airport AWOS 79/68 (11:55 p.m.) 87/48 (2:15 a.m.) Aurora Airport AWOS 73/63 (5:37 a.m.) 91/46 (6:38 a.m.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 That is not the first run where the gfs shows a "weenie in heaven" snow pattern but instead for mid june w a rain storm every few days. Why shoot messenger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 NAM is also sh*tting on itself currently. According to the NAM, BOS has busted into the warm sector. GFS is actually handling this better than the NAM. Scott what do you think about timing for the coastal? Looks like the Euro is a good deal slower than the GFS and NAM. Would you side with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 I'm glad I missed it. Those things freak me out. Looking forward to svr today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Have we ever had a heat burst in New England? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 Scott what do you think about timing for the coastal? Looks like the Euro is a good deal slower than the GFS and NAM. Would you side with it? I think after 3-4 or so in CT. GFS looks too fast. It's quite anomalous so I don't have high confidence, but I would say probably late aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 I'm glad I missed it. Those things freak me out. Looking forward to svr today. Good luck man. Does look like SD under the gun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Based off a 384 GFS run lol. Idiotic. I guess he doesn't see the completely rain free weekend of more than 48 hoursTK's good stuff...I think the gist is its a wet pattern. Now you are taking Twitter seriously and judging hype or embellished posts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Mid 90's spike overnite, freakish wow. If LL woke to mid 90's he would prob die of excitement while posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Lets just get the warm front to the Pike today...Blizz needs some double ply days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 TK's good stuff...I think the gist is its a wet pattern. Now you are taking Twitter seriously and judging hype or embellished posts? Ya tk is a good met. Thou shall taint thy name of those that dont spin toward heat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 I think after 3-4 or so in CT. GFS looks too fast. It's quite anomalous so I don't have high confidence, but I would say probably late aftn. Alright thanks. Working outside Thursday so just wanted to see what you're thinking. Getting some breaks in the OVC in DXR now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Good luck man. Does look like SD under the gun. Nice EML and look at the winds... 180 degree swing from BL to 700 mb. Pretty cool. Excited to see how this plays out... the one problem is that this is the middle of nowhere! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Temps in the low 70's now and partly sunny-maybe this will help fire some boomers later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Then I should have stated below normal for the 10 year average. Note that I did edit my post that the year should be 2003 (need to edit the html). My weather station is not a climate station and I do not have enough data for normal highs and lows. You've been cooler compared to your 10-yr avg than I've been against my 15-yr records: JAN....+1.1 FEB....+2.1 MAR....+1.4 APR....-1.1 MAY....+0.2 J,d10..+2.2 (Thanks to June 1-3 avg +14. It's run -3 since then.) I also track the nearest long-term COOP (Farmington), and for the same 15-yr period as my records, they're running +1.3 compared to their 1981-2010 avg. Of course, that 30 years includes their 2nd coldest decade (81-90) in their 120-yr records. For whatever reasons, recent periods when the lower 48 have been subnormal have been mild for NNE, especially in Maine, with winter 09-10 the most ridiculously anomalous example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 We don't get those tpye of heat bursts in NE usually. Can't think of a time we did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 What a complete donkey. This guy is on par with Margusity @SurfSkiWxMan: just looking at 00z GFS weather model.. Not one totally dry 48 hr period for New England next 384 hours. looking like repeat of summer 2009. Tim is probably my favorite SNE on air met, loves surfing, skiing and the outdoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Nice EML and look at the winds... 180 degree swing from BL to 700 mb. Pretty cool. Excited to see how this plays out... the one problem is that this is the middle of nowhere! Your wing mans articles are more interesting than yours, tell him to write more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Based off a 384 GFS run lol. Idiotic. I guess he doesn't see the completely rain free weekend of more than 48 hours Cut him some slack. He said it's what the GFS shows for all of NE, not what he's forecasting for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Your wing mans articles are more interesting than yours, tell him to write more. You're always so friendly And yeah his articles have been really funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 NAM is also sh*tting on itself currently. According to the NAM, BOS has busted into the warm sector. GFS is actually handling this better than the NAM. Actually the NAM closed the book on warm sector hopes in Boston on the 18z run yesterday ... but yeah, maybe it should have seen that sooner? Looking at hi res vis, the mid and high levels have cleared off for the most part, leaving the proverbial bowl full of puke below. Looping shows the SW edge struggling to erode N. Even under a June sun, this unique topographical effect of having the 2 to 3K elevations west, and a cold marine boundary later E that is our eternal plight, when the bowl fills up it's hard to empty it out. I've seen this time and time and time .... n times again over, where the synoptic rains that saturated and filled the metaphor moves on off, and stagnates the air mass in its wake. If this exact same system were in the Plains, the warm front at low levels would be up in the latitudes of central NH by now. Just going by experience alone, I knew yesterday that keeping the warm boundary south would be prudent. Still .. it is just 10:45am, so we'll see what the sun can do.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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