RIcoastalWX Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 63/63 - Dense Fog. 1/4 mile visibility. Storm total: 2.79 1.97 from 5pm to midnight. .82 from midnight to 6am. Thunderstorm at 3am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 For the first 6 weeks of spring it was tough to buy a cloud let alone rain lol. Its rained during the week and weekends have been glorious, and that is all that matters. Today and tomorrow are gems here humid and sunshine, more rain and then another PERFECT weekend with sunshine and temps in the upper 70s here. As long as its sunny we are at the beach and I am spending time with my kids on Father's Day that's all that matters! May was above normal, June is above normal, this has been a GREAT pattern, timing has been spot on. Saturday and Sunday are going to rock!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Shawls in the north kingdom and sunscreen down here, the way it should be. VIva la Spring Viva la Spring Viva la Spring STEVE WHERE IN THIS POST DID I SAY MAY WAS WAY ABOVE NORMAL, ONCE AGAIN PUTTING WORDS INTO MY MOUTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 The bath breezes typically keep the heavy heat away from you. I've been surprised in the years I've lived here how the heat tends to stay away. The typical afternoon breezes further limit the summer heat. You got that right! We have broken the 90°F barrier once since I have lived here. 94.1°F 0n 22-Jul-2011. I can say it wouldn't bother me one bit if I never saw that again. June 2013 is running -1.6°F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 April was not above normal in most places, but May was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 so what's the scoop for today-a quick line of showers or something more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 April was not above normal in most places, but May was. If June continues running below normal here, by the end of the month, it will make 6 months in a row of below normal temps in my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 For the first 6 weeks of spring it was tough to buy a cloud let alone rain lol. Its rained during the week and weekends have been glorious, and that is all that matters. Today and tomorrow are gems here humid and sunshine, more rain and then another PERFECT weekend with sunshine and temps in the upper 70s here. As long as its sunny we are at the beach and I am spending time with my kids on Father's Day that's all that matters! May was above normal, June is above normal, this has been a GREAT pattern, timing has been spot on. Saturday and Sunday are going to rock!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Shawls in the north kingdom and sunscreen down here, the way it should be. VIva la Spring Viva la Spring Viva la Spring I like your enthusiasm Guiseppe but .3 above normal in May is not way above. Today is doom and gloom city. Hopefully the noreaster moves out for a nice weekend right now 60 and London England like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Just in case the warministas need proof, here's a screen capture of the data. **EDIT** That should state since 2003. Need to update my html. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 63/63 - Dense Fog. 1/4 mile visibility. Storm total: 2.79 1.97 from 5pm to midnight. .82 from midnight to 6am. Thunderstorm at 3am. AIT? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 April was not above normal in most places, but May was. spring as a whole was below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 That image argues a little above for most of New England, but we were sort of on our own there as you can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 That image argues a little above for most of New England, but we were sort of on our own there as you can see. In the torch twins back yard, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 I took this photo yesterday in downtown Bath for a project that I am doing for the National Trust for Historic Preservation. The older buildings look gorgeous with a backdrop of cloudy skies. **EDIT** Click photo for full sized view. I though it auto resized when a pic was added. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 starting to wonder if Nino is forming , strong coastals in summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the moors in england Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 hopefully weather events ruin all of Kevin's plans through mid july. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Just in case the warministas need proof, here's a screen capture of the data. **EDIT** That should state since 2003. Need to update my html. Your averages aren't normals. Using 2007-13 as a baseline will yield averages that are themselves well above normal. Over the six year period from 2007-2012, the ten New England climate stations that existed for the duration of that time period averaged a monthly departure of +1.15, so your -1 departures are compared to an average with a warm bias. For Jan-May 2013, the same ten stations are running an average monthly departure of +1.04 thanks to January producing the year's largest departure in the warm direction. For the 50 New England station-months of 2013, 27 (54%) have been above normal, 15 (30%) normal (within half a degree of normal), and 8 (16%) below normal. Categorizing the 720 station-months from 2007-12 in the same manner results in 57%, 15%, and 28% respectively which is not that much different from the start of 2013 at least with respect to the frequency of warm months. The magnitude of the departures is really the thing that has changed from the previous two year pattern. We're actually getting cold months, defined as more than half a degree below normal, less frequently now in exchange for more months within a half degree of normal, but at least we're not popping out huge warm departures with regularity like we were before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 starting to wonder if Nino is forming , strong coastals in summer. Definitely not by the current SSTs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 FTW.. A ray of sunshine in a bad pattern @necnweather: Placement of a warm front today is key in terms of high temps. South of MA pike, we come into the 70s, 60s along the Pike, 50s north of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 FTW.. A ray of sunshine in a bad pattern @necnweather: Placement of a warm front today is key in terms of high temps. South of MA pike, we come into the 70s, 60s along the Pike, 50s north of it. A ray of fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 A ray of fail.How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 How so? I have serious doubts it gets to the Pike..especially ORH-east. Even you will struggle for a while to get it to your latitude. There is a weak wave on the front near SE MA that's allowing more nrly drain. Models are already busting too far north, with the NAM leading the way. You'll probably see breaks this aftn and you may warm..but it may be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Definitely not by the current SSTs. Something about this has a ray of familiarity about it, anyways just looked at CFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Your averages aren't normals. Using 2007-13 as a baseline will yield averages that are themselves well above normal. Over the six year period from 2007-2012, the ten New England climate stations that existed for the duration of that time period averaged a monthly departure of +1.15, so your -1 departures are compared to an average with a warm bias. For Jan-May 2013, the same ten stations are running an average monthly departure of +1.04 thanks to January producing the year's largest departure in the warm direction. For the 50 New England station-months of 2013, 27 (54%) have been above normal, 15 (30%) normal (within half a degree of normal), and 8 (16%) below normal. Categorizing the 720 station-months from 2007-12 in the same manner results in 57%, 15%, and 28% respectively which is not that much different from the start of 2013 at least with respect to the frequency of warm months. The magnitude of the departures is really the thing that has changed from the previous two year pattern. We're actually getting cold months, defined as more than half a degree below normal, less frequently now in exchange for more months within a half degree of normal, but at least we're not popping out huge warm departures with regularity like we were before. Then I should have stated below normal for the 10 year average. Note that I did edit my post that the year should be 2003 (need to edit the html). My weather station is not a climate station and I do not have enough data for normal highs and lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 What a complete donkey. This guy is on par with Margusity @SurfSkiWxMan: just looking at 00z GFS weather model.. Not one totally dry 48 hr period for New England next 384 hours. looking like repeat of summer 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 The ECMWF had a more neutral look going into next winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 NAM and SREFs sucked again with this rain event, placing axis too far north. I also noticed that models tend to be too stratiform rain happy during warm season events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2013 Author Share Posted June 11, 2013 NAM is also sh*tting on itself currently. According to the NAM, BOS has busted into the warm sector. GFS is actually handling this better than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Strange how I have interest in whether the front makes it to the pike or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 What a complete donkey. This guy is on par with Margusity @SurfSkiWxMan: just looking at 00z GFS weather model.. Not one totally dry 48 hr period for New England next 384 hours. looking like repeat of summer 2009. Tim kelly is a snow weenie but he is a good met or solid at the Worst, not even within 3 standard deviations of margusity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 NAM is also sh*tting on itself currently. According to the NAM, BOS has busted into the warm sector. GFS is actually handling this better than the NAM.What is timing for storms today? Some of the mesos have them in here mid- late afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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