Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Post Tropical Storm Andrea


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 117
  • Created
  • Last Reply


000

URNT12 KNHC 060753

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL012013

A. 06/07:25:10Z

B. 26 deg 54 min N

085 deg 57 min W

C. 850 mb 1399 m

D. 23 kt

E. 182 deg 16 nm

F. 240 deg 38 kt

G. 181 deg 24 nm

H. 997 mb

I. 16 C / 1524 m

J. 20 C / 1522 m

K. 18 C / NA

L. NA

M. NA

N. 12345 / 8

O. 0.02 / 2 nm

P. AF303 0201A ANDREA OB 13

MAX FL WIND 63 KT 080/68 06:03:00Z

MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 57 KT 344/19 07:32:30Z

MDT TURBC AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN NW QUAD OUTBOUND

ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG CONVECTIVE BAND WRAPPING AROUND THE CTR

INTO THE NW QUAD

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8:00 am EDT:

000WTNT31 KNHC 061138TCPAT1BULLETINTROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3ANWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012013700 AM CDT THU JUN 06 2013...ANDREA MOVING CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND......POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDADURING THE MORNING...SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...27.7N 85.1WABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDAABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...NONESUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO INDIAN PASS* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORTA TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BYYOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST. ANDREA ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURNTOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEEDIS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREAWILL REACH THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA LATER TODAY ANDTHEN MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINAAND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BY FRIDAY.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE THECENTER REACHES THE COAST LATER TODAY.TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KMPRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILLCAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISINGWATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUNDIF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD TO APALACHICOLA...2 TO 5 FTFLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...1 TO 2 FTFLAGLER BEACH NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...1 TO 2 FTTHE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TOTHE SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA LANDFALL LOCATION. SURGE-RELATED FLOODINGDEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFICTO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONALWEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...EASTERN PARTS OFTHE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...WITH ISOLATEDMAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THEFLORIDA WEST COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...MAKINGOUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. THESE CONDITIONS WILLGRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COASTDURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULATODAY.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

thinking it could be a cat1 by landfall who would have thought

Yep, returns are filling in over the northern quadrant of the coc, recon leaves around noon, will be interesting to see if she has strengthened.  Taking a look at the tampa radar the coc is nearly 3/4 closed off with convection.

 

ILQmmN8.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Definitely looks like a new LLC has developed east of the previous one under the new MLC.  It's amazing how quickly a new surface vortex can develop when forcing from the mid-levels is strong enough (strong w, and by continuity, strong horizontal convergence in an environment of pre-existing cyclonic vorticity). 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...