CoastalWx Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Yeah we mentioned start and end times would move up as we closed in Well it's still a long duration deal further west. Saturday may be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Kind of meh in SNE @MattNoyesNECN: Early expected Friday/Saturday rain - heaviest amounts where ground is waterlogged=new flooding: http://t.co/T78zjVtMDY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Well it's still a long duration deal further west. Saturday may be ok.Yeah with warm front shoved way out there those folks in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Yeah with warm front shoved way out there those folks in trouble It actually was way wetter here and makes more sense than the earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 It actually was way wetter here and makes more sense then the earlier runs. Seconded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 What does it look like further west near me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Kind of meh in SNE @MattNoyesNECN: Early expected Friday/Saturday rain - heaviest amounts where ground is waterlogged=new flooding: http://t.co/T78zjVtMDY 12z GFS doesn't look like that, lol. Most models have gone SE with the low...GGEM at 00z was further east with the heaviest QPF too. Here's the latest GFS... we may dodge a bullet up here as we don't need 2-4" of rainfall. The further south and east this shifts, the colder the rains though, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 What does it look like further west near me? Verbatim heaviest is just north of you, but I still think NYC should watch this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Approximate track based off of 12z GFS, courtesy PSU Meteorology: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Approximate track based off of 12z GFS, courtesy PSU Meteorology: 12zGFS.png A beautiful track if it were January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 12z GFS doesn't look like that, lol. Most models have gone SE with the low...GGEM at 00z was further east with the heaviest QPF too. Here's the latest GFS... we may dodge a bullet up here as we don't need 2-4" of rainfall. The further south and east this shifts, the colder the rains though, lol. Well TBH I dont think many folks think the GFS is good. These setups always favor the far interior into NNE. We will have a few inches down here and then it'll shut off for a decent Saturday while you guys up north rain deep into Sat nite and end up with 4-8 with localized higher amounts. Climo favors your area and ENY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Philly screwzone on that map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Well TBH I dont think many folks think the GFS is good. These setups always favor the far interior into NNE. We will have a few inches down here and then it'll shut off for a decent Saturday while you guys up north rain deep into Sat nite and end up with 4-8 with localized higher amounts. Climo favors your area and ENY Yeah it just looked like a trend that had started bringing the axis further SE. The GFS isn't on its own... last night's 00z GGEM was also in southern/eastern New England with the heaviest axis of rain. Luckily sparing us up here of the real heavy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 These setups always favor the far interior into NNE. We will have a few inches down here and then it'll shut off for a decent Saturday while you guys up north rain deep into Sat nite and end up with 4-8 with localized higher amounts. Climo favors your area and ENYWhat is, "something that CT Blizz would never say in winter", Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 What is, "something that CT Blizz would never say in winter", Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 What is, "something that CT Blizz would never say in winter", Alex. Can you imagine something like this in December... "Climo favors the heaviest snow in upstate NY and across NNE, while we here in CT should escape with just some showery rain/sleet mix among breaks of sunshine as we dryslot. The high theta-e air should be able to get deep into the interior as I expect the warm front to get to the Berkshires, and that should melt all our remaining snow quickly and I can't wait for those dew points to rise a quick 5-7 degrees." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 A beautiful track if it were January this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 What is, "something that CT Blizz would never say in winter", Alex. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 What is, "something that CT Blizz would never say in winter", Alex. Lol....A+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Sultan Signal will be out in full force if the 12z GGEM is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 So everyone thinks 1-2 inches for SNE is too low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Sultan Signal will be out in full force if the 12z GGEM is right. 3-5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Sultan Signal will be out in full force if the 12z GGEM is right. I hope it is not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 @danburyweather: Model trends want to speed up the end of the week system and possibly further east. Result, dry Sunday and Saturday may dry quick too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 @danburyweather: Model trends want to speed up the end of the week system and possibly further east. Result, dry Sunday and Saturday may dry quick too. Let's try to salvage a good chunk of this weekend... Drawback might be lower dews, so I wouldn't invest stock in TP this week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Saturday is still iffy to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Let's try to salvage a good chunk of this weekend... Drawback might be lower dews, so I wouldn't invest stock in TP this week... How is that a drawback? I bet 90% of your viewers would be happy with a drier airmass after this past swamp period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Let's try to salvage a good chunk of this weekend... Drawback might be lower dews, so I wouldn't invest stock in TP this week... If we can get Sat to turn out like yesterday I think the dew folks would be happy this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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