ineedsnow Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Just saw the 21 srefs on ewall wow most are impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 I'm not honking something more than it is...it just could be quite a 12 hr rainstorm at its peak. ya im not the type to say u are, just u have my attention. I see the potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Red Sox and Ortiz with a walk off, 3-run shot to the bullpen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Nice hgh ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Stratiform rain and cool followed by tropical rain and warm followed by steamy showers. Interesting weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 ya im not the type to say u are, just u have my attention. I see the potential I do think it will dump. I'm sort of going with previous experience so it will be interesting to see if it works out. It may be progressive enough luckily...so that hefty amounts might be in a very narrow area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Was just looking at the forecast for Woodstock, CT.... tomorrow night is the biggie, lol. Tonight Rain. Low around 55. Southeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Friday Rain. Patchy fog. High near 61. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Friday Night Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Patchy fog. Low around 56. Northeast wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 2 and 3 inches possible. Saturday A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 72. North wind 8 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Saturday Night A chance of showers, mainly before 3am. Patchy fog before 9pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Light and variable wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Been watching the same forecast ;-) At least it will keep the drought dust down when I mow the lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 I do think it will dump. I'm sort of going with previous experience so it will be interesting to see if it works out. It may be progressive enough luckily...so that hefty amounts might be in a very narrow area. Most tropical systems do their dirty work in a 6-8 hour period of dumping though. If you can string that with an area that does relatively well with a PRE and banding prior to the arrival of the heaviest you're in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Joking I ssume garth?? Nope. Flash flooding, and quick amounts do my 225 year old basement in. I will photograph before, and if the heavy stuff comes, the after, showing the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Sunday could be a really humid day around here edit: Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Most tropical systems do their dirty work in a 6-8 hour period of dumping though. If you can string that with an area that does relatively well with a PRE and banding prior to the arrival of the heaviest you're in business. Yeah exactly. That 6-8 hr deluge is what does the dirty work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Sunday could be a really humid day around here edit: Saturday That's always my fear this time of year following heavy rain events...excessive boundary layer moisture. Foggy warm nights probably too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Yeah exactly. That 6-8 hr deluge is what does the dirty work. It looks like rivers in SNE will barely get to bank-full with basin averaged rain of ~4" in 12 hours per NERFC/NWS. So the bar is pretty high to start river flooding. Some of the flashier rivers are more vulnerable and of course flash flooding in urban areas/small streams. Either we need basin-wide 6"+ totals to start causing issues or really wild rates to start putting smaller rivers over their banks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 That's always my fear this time of year following heavy rain events...excessive boundary layer moisture. Foggy warm nights probably too. I can already sense I want this pattern to clean house and sweep out to sea. No thanks on the dank. Let's hope that we get some Can air masses during that seemingly transitional pattern, after --- though it hints at heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 It looks like rivers in SNE will barely get to bank-full with basin averaged rain of ~4" in 12 hours per NERFC/NWS. So the bar is pretty high to start river flooding. Some of the flashier rivers are more vulnerable and of course flash flooding in urban areas/small streams. Either we need basin-wide 6"+ totals to start causing issues or really wild rates to start putting smaller rivers over their banks. This is about what I'm seeing in the flood potential. A kind of close but no cigar on majors, but some farmers next to fields streams having to worry about shimmering fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Let's think back to March, 2010... and 18" basin wide over 3 short weeks. Can we surpass that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PCNTOTNE_21z/srefloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Looks like it all might shirk us short of the modeling. Too much drying. Too much weakening. maybe... But for what ... ah, hurting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Pouring in tolland/awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 7, 2013 Author Share Posted June 7, 2013 Well, if the rainfall now holds the course, it's south of a line from NYC to just south of Beantown that scores. 50.8/50, .26" in the bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 7, 2013 Author Share Posted June 7, 2013 Mount Tolland will erode to 650' by the rains. We'll now call it the Grassy Knoll Tolland. .30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 It's going to absolutely dump this evening. 5"+ certainly going to happen I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 51.5/51..Absolutely brutal. I hate this with a passion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 It's going to absolutely dump this evening. 5"+ certainly going to happen I think. Congrats I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 51.5/51..Absolutely brutal. I hate this with a passion Taste it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 51.5/51..Absolutely brutal. I hate this with a passion Glad I don't live there's... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 Glad I don't live there's... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 7, 2013 Share Posted June 7, 2013 59/57 Okx says lows in the 60s next 4 nights highs in the mid to upper 70s and STEAMY! Swamp Stank Sensation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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