TalcottWx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 There's a reason why he makes the big bucksPageviews because he caters to idiots who don't understand weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 There's a reason why he makes the big bucks Energy clients, not hyping hurricanes I bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 There's a reason why he makes the big bucks Because of suckers like you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 another one for kevin! Tim Kelley NECN @SurfSkiWxMan4h Plume of energy out of Africa today, forecast to threaten USA Sept 10 pic.twitter.com/1QucwAsxMG View photo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 There's a reason why he makes the big bucks I doubt he does that well. I can't believe people actually pay to read his garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 I doubt he does that well. I can't believe people actually pay to read his garbage.I don't. I know Brian99problems0210 in Fairfield does. He tweets everything for free anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 I doubt he does that well. I can't believe people actually pay to read his garbage.he has a lot of energy clients, he tweets for free but that company is into the energy field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Energy clients love his embellishment, but they also like accuracy too. There is a fine balance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Well with favorable upper levels in terms of MJO/CCKW and obviously climo....the swtich will be turned on soon. I'm really leaning more toward that (bold for the blind above) as a factor for improving the overall TC potential. More thoughts below: Not sure how Roundy derives his product, or what the verification skills really are. The thing has said Experimental for over a decade now, so it is what it is. But it does show the Basin losing regions/size of negative anomaly zones, having it go neutral and/or even modestly positive up along the Eastern seaboard over the the next 2 to 3 weeks. Having said that, the 200mb anomalies are becoming far more favorable nearing the first week of September, most likely associated with the hemispheric absorption of the MJO presence as it swaths it's way over our region of the globe during that same time. Take a look at the product below.. that giant area of positive that is encroaching upon the Americas from off the eastern Pacific is moving eastward across the hemisphere. It will be interesting to see what happens as this potential lid removal services the Basin. We've been pretty quite, so it seems ... I wonder what the actual numbers versus climate are, and if we really are negative to date. If it ended today, obviously it would be epically busted. I could almost envision a 2 to 3 week wave of improved circulation over all, going a bit of the distance toward improving any deficits. Could be like ripping the cap off a pressure cooker, and things ramp up all at once. It did something like that in 1995's historic season, albeit perhaps sooner. What I am wondering: I want to see the break-down of the statistics, by month, for the Atlantic Basin as a whole, where the focus is on the greatest/most active. For example, what is the busiest August, Sept, and October, respectively, NOT as the aggregate. I'm sure the data is out there, and I am simply being obtuse in my search methodology, but I am not currently finding that break-down. What I want to know is, if September were to produce the equivalent of that which remains on the seasonal prediction (makes up for it), would that be one of the most active Septembers in history? It seems it would need to be, but I am less certain. 'Course, can't forget October and even November. Personally though I think this hurricane season isn't protracted. Much for the same reason I think this winter comes in with the goods this year, I think we see westerlies getting into the subtropics earlier, due to abrupt seasonal migration of the overall geopotential gradients (N-S). Anyway, supposing that is true, that September would have to be near or record breaking to atone for the seasonal forecast: 1) what is the likeliness of that happening? 2) need to keep in mind ... the totals don't mean squat if you run a single Category 4 roaring up the coast of eastern N/A. It only takes one storm to live on in common lore as an active season. Tell that to the 6,000, pierced, bloated corpses bobbing around in the flotsam of Galveston Bay on September 13, 1900; I'm sure they'd agree with you. 1900 was not that active of a season overall: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 As long as that pig ridge is over the west we are not seeing anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 October has me wondering if it will be busy since the heat potential in the western carb is so darn high. Atmospheric factors to aiding and suppressing convection aside...that is a good area to have high heat potential since fronts push south and wash out heading into that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 October has me wondering if it will be busy since the heat potential in the western carb is so darn high. Atmospheric factors to aiding and suppressing convection aside...that is a good area to have high heat potential since fronts push south and wash out heading into that area. Good thoughts, Mid October seems like the time for a hybrid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 Lets get a big damage producer . Really tear down some trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Good thoughts, Mid October seems like the time for a hybrid Well I don't mean to go "there"...just saying perhaps if atmospheric conditions allow...it could be fairly active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Lets get a big damage producer . Really tear down some trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Well I don't mean to go "there"...just saying perhaps if atmospheric conditions allow...it could be fairly active.That settles it folks, scooter says lock in a 1635/octobomb hybrid. In all seriousness though, really glad there's at least some chances being hinted at in the coming weeks, watching tropical activity is all that gets me through the wx boredom of late summer and fall... Late summer has not been kind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Lets get a big damage producer . Really tear down some trees And buildings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 And buildingsWell yeah. Of course. Cell towers as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Well yeah. Of course. Cell towers as well lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 I actually wouldnt mind this give the public around here a reality check of what can actually happen around here Lets get a big damage producer . Really tear down some trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 I actually wouldnt mind this give the public around here a reality check of what can actually happen around here I am guessing you do not own your home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 I am guessing you do not own your home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 renting a house off my dad but no I dont own it I am guessing you do not own your home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 CCKW should manage to pop a TC in the E Atlantic over the coming days? Then we get into a really active period thanks to the MJO post Labor Day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 CCKW should manage to pop a TC in the E Atlantic over the coming days? Then we get into a really active period thanks to the MJO post Labor Day? looking that way but that MW ridge better take a beat down or its recurve city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 looking that way but that MW ridge better take a beat down or its recurve city Yeah I definitely think fish is the story for the beginning of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 With the trough in Midwest and -Nao we'll have to watch for a N moving storm if it gets in close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 With the trough in Midwest and -Nao we'll have to watch for a N moving storm if it gets in closewhere are you seeing a trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 With the trough in Midwest and -Nao we'll have to watch for a N moving storm if it gets in closeAre you implying that the Euro gets MN in 27C 850's with a trough in the Midwest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 where are you seeing a trough?Ens go back to one by Sept 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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