snowfan Posted July 24, 2013 Share Posted July 24, 2013 I think being a homeowner changes your perspective on things a little.......I want nothing to do any big storms near our coastline. Sandy was bad enough around here.....water getting in the house, power out, parts of trees down, etc. Keep that sh!t away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 24, 2013 Share Posted July 24, 2013 SNE got their asses handed to them last year by both Sandy and Nemo.. what the f are they due? Been down this road before, Sandy was not a red meat tropical cyclone. It was a late season hybrid storm from hell. He said wind event, which sandy was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted July 24, 2013 Author Share Posted July 24, 2013 He said wind event, which sandy was Take a look in the SNE forum and in their tropical thread... SNE has doged bullets for a long time now. Sandy was nowhere near as bad as some of the historically great SNE hurricances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 The only way DC will get something bad is for a Cat 5 to hit SC and track "due" north while still holding together. Even then it will prob be a weakening Cat 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted July 25, 2013 Author Share Posted July 25, 2013 The only way DC will get something bad is for a Cat 5 to hit SC and track "due" north while still holding together. Even then it will prob be a weakening Cat 2. Not true. Please check my post with image posted above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 Take a look in the SNE forum and in their tropical thread... SNE has doged bullets for a long time now. Sandy was nowhere near as bad as some of the historically great SNE hurricances. SNE bitches about everything, regardless of what they have received. You need to get your head out of the fantasy world you are living in to think we are "due" anything. Seriously, reality... become familiar with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 SNE bitches about everything, regardless of what they have received. Yes. You need to get your head out of the fantasy world you are living in to think we are "due" anything. Seriously, reality... become familiar with it. Also yes. If anyone is "due" anything concerning hurricanes it's Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 We are so due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 We are so due Cat5 up the chessy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 also - i seriously wrote "EF5 up the chessy" the first time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 What is the historical perspective for tropical cyclones to make landfall in the Mid Atlantic pre Labor Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 Sea derechos are more common after Labor Day around these parts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 mark my words. we will get grazed by a woocane for the 3rd straight year. the atmosphere has a memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 Not true. Please check my post with image posted above. The world has changed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 The world has changed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted July 25, 2013 Author Share Posted July 25, 2013 mark my words. we will get grazed by a woocane for the 3rd straight year. the atmosphere has a memory. This decade is like the 50s. Expect increased tropical threats for the mid atlantic in the coming years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted July 25, 2013 Author Share Posted July 25, 2013 Almost ready to stick a fork in dorian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 I'd like to see some actual analysis from Subtropics that's backed with sound scientific reasoning. Or some actual stats or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted July 25, 2013 Share Posted July 25, 2013 Almost ready to stick a fork in dorian. We should now expect a direct hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 I'd like to see some actual analysis from Subtropics that's backed with sound scientific reasoning. Or some actual stats or something. We are due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 We are dueFor another Ivan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Superstorm next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Superstorm next week I'll take the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Pass from Tropics Thread... Looks more like a nor'easter than anything else, but it sort of bumps in from the Atlantic having exited out to the south, which is weird. Nothing on GFS. The Euro is showing something funny in the Day 5-6 range. Not my cup of tea, but I'm sure interesting to some: Wind3285032and32mslp_North32America_144.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Pass from Tropics Thread... Looks more like a nor'easter than anything else, but it sort of bumps in from the Atlantic having exited out to the south, which is weird. Nothing on GFS. I saw that. GFS has some hints at organization off the coast from some weak upper level energy and upstream blocking slowing things down. Not really much for tropical discussion but I suppose the chance exists for some sort of coastal event but odds of it being anywhere close enough to the coast to impact land are pretty low imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Pass from Tropics Thread... Looks more like a nor'easter than anything else, but it sort of bumps in from the Atlantic having exited out to the south, which is weird. Nothing on GFS. I'll be in coastal southern South Carolina next week. You guys enjoy your windy cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 wonder if it's partly the old euro habit of over developing lows. it is an odd track that gets it around here coming in from the SE after initially heading NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Hard to say Ian. I haven't looked that close at the euro but there are some ingredients even on the gfs. Hudson vortex and ridging poking into greenland. The lr has been honking some hl blocking in some form or another for over a week. I suppose at the very least if there is some sort of development off the coast it won't have an easy time riding fast flow out into the central atlantic. There's a buckle for sure but letting something back in like that is highly suspect. At least in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 true on some pattern support. euro is good at getting the interesting ones tho i'd want more guidance to jump on the idea before thinking it's much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 What is the source of the energy on the euro? Is it a simple h5 vort exiting the coast and then organizing or are things put together beforehand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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