TWCCraig Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 About to get slammed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Downpour with thunder and lightning EDIT: Already over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Suns' out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 WOW! Downburst storm here. Torrential rain and 45mph wind gusts!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Surprise no special statement by Upton. Storm blew up right before it hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Here some pics I uploaded to Wunderground. The rainbow actually looked more vivid in real life than in the pics http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/viewsingleimage.html?mode=singleimage&orig_handle=GTAIVman&orig_number=&handle=GTAIVman&number=28&album_id=11#slideanchor http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/viewsingleimage.html?mode=singleimage&orig_handle=GTAIVman&orig_number=&handle=GTAIVman&number=29&album_id=11#slideanchor http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/viewsingleimage.html?mode=singleimage&orig_handle=GTAIVman&orig_number=&handle=GTAIVman&number=30&album_id=11#slideanchor You were actually able to see the rain drops falling through the rainbow. It was so vivid. Also there were several rainbows below the main one, and it's was like a ripple effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 Turned out to be a decent day for many areas; warmed up nicely. TEB: 80 NYC: 80 EWR: 82 LGA: 82 JFK: 81 ISP: 79 New Bnswk: 82 TTN: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 -- Trough/wet period continues (temps near/below normal) 6/12 - 6/17 - 6/18 - 6/20 transition towadrs a warming trend - 6/21 - 6/24 potential next heat Looking ahead - today's guidance is again a bit warmer on the 12z suite than 00z for next week and beyond. Persistant split flow into Canada causing a weakness in the northeast and frequent troughing should continue over the next week with more rain and temps averaging near normal (balanced by below and warmer days). Once to this weekend we should see heights slowly rise and subsequent troughs become bit less amplified towards the later part of next week. Signal continues for next burst of heat on/around 6/21. Until then, we muttle (or enjoy) through the amazon-like conditions. When/where its raining daytime highs are well below normal with warm night time lows. When its sunny its Florida-like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 -- Trough/wet period continues (temps near/below normal) 6/12 - 6/17 - 6/18 - 6/20 transition towadrs a warming trend - 6/21 - 6/24 potential next heat Looking ahead - today's guidance is again a bit warmer on the 12z suite than 00z for next week and beyond. Persistant split flow into Canada causing a weakness in the northeast and frequent troughing should continue over the next week with more rain and temps averaging near normal (balanced by below and warmer days). Once to this weekend we should see heights slowly rise and subsequent troughs become bit less amplified towards the later part of next week. Signal continues for next burst of heat on/around 6/21. Until then, we muttle (or enjoy) through the amazon-like conditions. When/where its raining daytime highs are well below normal with warm night time lows. When its sunny its Florida-like. I though tomorrow Saturday and Sunday were going to be sunny and comfortable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 I though tomorrow Saturday and Sunday were going to be sunny and comfortable? Yes this was a general/overall outlook but both days look great and saturday looks california-like dry warm. Sunday may see clouds and humidity return. Anyway, we'll see how things progress it'll be interesting as we appraoch the 2009, 2003 and 2006 rainfall levels. 03/06 saw some heat by the end of the month/early July. 2009 was the pits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Signal continues for next burst of heat on/around 6/21. That would be the second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Here some pics I uploaded to Wunderground. The rainbow actually looked more vivid in real life than in the pics http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/viewsingleimage.html?mode=singleimage&orig_handle=GTAIVman&orig_number=&handle=GTAIVman&number=28&album_id=11#slideanchor http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/viewsingleimage.html?mode=singleimage&orig_handle=GTAIVman&orig_number=&handle=GTAIVman&number=29&album_id=11#slideanchor http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/viewsingleimage.html?mode=singleimage&orig_handle=GTAIVman&orig_number=&handle=GTAIVman&number=30&album_id=11#slideanchor You were actually able to see the rain drops falling through the rainbow. It was so vivid. Also there were several rainbows below the main one, and it's was like a ripple effect. Gorgeous shots! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Gorgeous shots! Thanks! I got AP (Approver's Choice) on Wunderground which is something hard to get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Yes this was a general/overall outlook but both days look great and saturday looks california-like dry warm. Sunday may see clouds and humidity return. Anyway, we'll see how things progress it'll be interesting as we appraoch the 2009, 2003 and 2006 rainfall levels. 03/06 saw some heat by the end of the month/early July. 2009 was the pits. yea July 2009 has the lowest monthly max on record at 86...old record was 87 set in 2004...August 2009 was above average with the only official heat wave of the year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 Both the overnight and 12z guidance maintained the warming trend next week. It also looks like we eneter a less wet pattern likely normal precip. The ECm is blasting 850 temps at or above 20c into the Ohio valley towards the end of next week which look poised to expand this way, setting up our next blast of heat on/around the 21st. Likely wont be long lived but heights in general look to rise overall and we should maintain a warmer pattern into the last week of the month. Suspect the next heat signal after the 21st will be towards the 26th as the next spoke of heat passes through. Nothing indicating sustained heat showing up yet more in a day or two and out. We'll see if heat can become stronger and longer as we dry things out into July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Both the overnight and 12z guidance maintained the warming trend next week. It also looks like we eneter a less wet pattern likely normal precip. The ECm is blasting 850 temps at or above 20c into the Ohio valley towards the end of next week which look poised to expand this way, setting up our next blast of heat on/around the 21st. Likely wont be long lived but heights in general look to rise overall and we should maintain a warmer pattern into the last week of the month. Suspect the next heat signal after the 21st will be towards the 26th as the next spoke of heat passes through. Nothing indicating sustained heat showing up yet more in a day or two and out. We'll see if heat can become stronger and longer as we dry things out into July. Any update on the Heat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 The GFS has a decent EML moving in Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Euro ensemble mean has no 90 degree readings at Central Park for the next 10 days. It would be interesting to know what the longest gap between June 90's at Central Park is when June 1st starts with a 90 degree high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Euro ensemble mean has no 90 degree readings at Central Park for the next 10 days. It would be interesting to know what the longest gap between June 90's at Central Park is when June 1st starts with a 90 degree high. Geopotential32at32500hPa_North32America_240.gif Temperature32at32850hPa_North32America_240.gif How much more rain did the Euro have for the next 7 days? Much of the 00z run featured a trough to our north possibly cutting off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 LMAO, the GGEM had a "miller A" just miss us to the SE next Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Euro ensemble mean has no 90 degree readings at Central Park for the next 10 days. It would be interesting to know what the longest gap between June 90's at Central Park is when June 1st starts with a 90 degree high. Geopotential32at32500hPa_North32America_240.gif Temperature32at32850hPa_North32America_240.gif 96 in 1895.....6/2-3.....7/7 94 in 1918.....6/2........7/16 93 in 1937.....6/1........6/25 93 in 1987.....6/1........6/15 92 in 1879.....6/1........6/27 92 in 1962.....6/1........6/16 91 in 1925.....6/1........6/3-7 91 in 1989.....6/1........6/26 90 in 1986.....6/1........6/23 90 in 1988.....6/1........6/12 90 in 2011.....6/1........6/8 90 in 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 Euro ensemble mean has no 90 degree readings at Central Park for the next 10 days. It would be interesting to know what the longest gap between June 90's at Central Park is when June 1st starts with a 90 degree high. Geopotential32at32500hPa_North32America_240.gif Temperature32at32850hPa_North32America_240.gif For NYC (recently) first and next 90 degree reading for jun 2012: jun 20 - jun 21 2011: jun 1 / jun 8 2010: Jun 24 / Jun 27 2009: None in June/Jul 2008 Jun 10-th to Jul 14th 2007: jun 26 / jun 27 2006: Jun 18 / jul 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 How much more rain did the Euro have for the next 7 days? Much of the 00z run featured a trough to our north possibly cutting off For NYC off the 0z Euro: Monday: .04" Tuesday: .37" Those were the only 2 days with measurable rain for the next 168 hours (from 0z last night). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 Any update on the Heat? Starting with its 6/13 00z and the subsequent next 2 runs, the ECM has backed off on prior runs that showed heat expanding east and is mainly normal the next next week + (through 6/24) with no real heat (90+). The ensmbles (as shown by Bluewave) generally support the op with heat confined to the Rockies and Plains and a continued weakness and trough over the northeast. The GFS/ggem are still showing ridging building into the east by next weekend (6/22) with increasing warmth that weekend. Not very hot but certainly 85 - 90 tye weather. Last nights ooz ecm trended warmer and drier overall but no real heat signal. I suspect its more a case of delayed rather than denied and we end June on a warm to hot note. So with that I think we watch the week 6/24 - 6/30 for the next 90 degree readings for the area, even the very tropical central park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Up to 8.28" on the month so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 Last Jun had back to back cool days on the 4th and 5th (2012) very similar to yesterday and today. Interesting to see if this is the coolest of the summer (hope so). 4th: 63/54 5th: 64/51 13th: 69/55 14th: ??/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Euro ensemble mean has no 90 degree readings at Central Park for the next 10 days. It would be interesting to know what the longest gap between June 90's at Central Park is when June 1st starts with a 90 degree high. Geopotential32at32500hPa_North32America_240.gif Temperature32at32850hPa_North32America_240.gif It's going to hard getting any big heat here, until we get rid the split flow, along the West Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 Some much needed sun and clearing working its way south into the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 The 12z runs today shifted a bit to a warmer look as we head into next weekend and the last week of june (6/24). The gfs/ensmbles are most agressive with the ridge building into the east with the ggem and ecm a bit slower. Most guidance has high pressure off the northeast coast so we may be dealing with some of an easterly/SE flow for a time between next fri and sunday. The core of the heat is still in the Rockies and Plains through the 23rd but there continues to be some hint that during the week of the 24th the next spike of heat does head east. This has appeared on prior guidance so id be very cautious biting on the heat but on/around the 23rd it looks to be warmer with some heat potential. Addittionally, once to Wed (6/19) it looks likes as if the models are insisting we dry things out with more normal rainfall. ECm D10 ridging nosing into the east but core of the heat stills into the rockies/plains. . Core of the heat remains into the west but notice canada is warming and last pocket of coold over the east fading Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 96 in 1895.....6/2-3.....7/7 94 in 1918.....6/2........7/16 93 in 1937.....6/1........6/25 93 in 1987.....6/1........6/15 92 in 1879.....6/1........6/27 92 in 1962.....6/1........6/16 91 in 1925.....6/1........6/3-7 91 in 1989.....6/1........6/26 90 in 1986.....6/1........6/23 90 in 1988.....6/1........6/12 90 in 2011.....6/1........6/8 90 in 2013 For NYC (recently) first and next 90 degree reading for jun 2012: jun 20 - jun 21 2011: jun 1 / jun 8 2010: Jun 24 / Jun 27 2009: None in June/Jul 2008 Jun 10-th to Jul 14th 2007: jun 26 / jun 27 2006: Jun 18 / jul 16 Great stats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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