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June 2013 Observations and Discussions


SACRUS

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1247 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

CTZ007-008-010>012-NYZ075-078>081-178-179-302015-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1247 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

AREAS OF FOG...LOCALLY DENSE...TO IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN
CONNECTICUT...AND MOST OF LONG ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON...

AREAS OF FOG HAVE ENVELOPED SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...SUFFOLK
COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NASSAU COUNTY...QUEENS AND
BROOKLYN. WHILE VISIBILITIES WILL MAINLY BE 1 TO 3 MILES...THEY
WILL FALL LOCALLY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT
COASTS... AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND AND NEW YORK
CITY.

MOTORISTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR RAPIDLY
CHANGING VISIBILITIES. WHEN ENCOUNTERING REDUCED
VISIBILITIES...REDUCE SPEED AND USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS.

$

MALOIT

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00z gfs has the westen atl ridge building back raising heights to 592 dm wed pm thru sunday..  Classic summer weather hazy, hot. humid.  90s on the 4th looking possible.

...hoping this will be the demise of this lousy pattern..got lucky yesterday(sat) with

clearing skies..turned out to be a great beach day..but most days are not..the persistent

S wind has got the ocean in an uproar and causing the high tide line to creep towards

the dunes..

71*..clouds/fog..brisk S wind here in eastport.

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FLOOD WATCH

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

111 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NJZ001-007>010-012-PAZ054-055-060>062-010900-

/O.EXB.KPHI.FF.A.0004.130630T1711Z-130702T0200Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-CARBON-MONROE-

BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...

FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...JIM THORPE...

STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON

111 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND

PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NEW JERSEY...

HUNTERDON...MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...SOMERSET...SUSSEX

AND WARREN. IN PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS...CARBON...LEHIGH...MONROE

AND NORTHAMPTON.

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* BANDS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO

DEVELOP TODAY BEFORE POSSIBLY DECREASING LATE TONIGHT. ANOTHER

ROUND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY

MORNING THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS POSSIBLY SPILLING INTO

TUESDAY MORNING. IT WILL TAKE ONLY AN INCH OF RAIN TO PRODUCE

FLASH FLOODING... WHICH WOULD MAKE SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE AS WELL

AS FORCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS.

* URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING AS WELL AS BASEMENT FLOODING

MAY DEVELOP. BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE TRAVEL DELAYS AND

DETOURS AT TIMES IN LOW LYING AREAS AND NEAR SMALL STREAMS IF

FLOODING DEVELOPS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD

TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION

SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

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Monthly departures;

 

 

NYC:  +1.2

LGA: +1.9

EWR:  +0.9

 

 

And JFK will finish at 0.0, so the average of the four NYC stations will be exactly +1.0 for the month of June. A slightly warmer than normal month overall.

 

Interesting that there was no official heat wave contained in the month as May 31st contained the first day of the early summer heat wave, and the recent warm spell fell short with upper 80s on the third day.

 

It was mainly the very mild overnight temperatures via high dew points that elevated our departures, and I think we'll see more of this story throughout the summer -- high humidity doing the dirty work. However, I do think there should be a handful of heat waves over the next couple months.

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