aldie 22 Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Today is going to be the classic...."sun is out, come on atmosphere cook" kind of day then around 5pm it will be completely sunny and 85 degrees and a perfect evening. You guys just get here or something...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Today is going to be the classic...."sun is out, come on atmosphere cook" kind of day then around 5pm it will be completely sunny and 85 degrees and a perfect evening. You guys just get here or something...lol This never, ever happens. Ever. Hogwash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Yoda's trolling Eskimo Joe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 only 11 degrees short of my forecast high so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 only 11 degrees short of my forecast high so far The NAM missed my noon temp by 15 degrees from 4 hours out. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 The NAM missed my noon temp by 15 degrees from 4 hours out. Good stuff. damn warm sector collapse technology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Leesburg has come out of hibernation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 I think forecasting severe weather for specific cities (a day out) has joined forecasting the genesis of a tropical cyclone as areas where maybe the expectations on the forecasts are a bit higher than what the state of the science can provide right now. Maybe the derecho in the same month erased the area's memory of 6/1/12? Like today, the expectations were very high for that event, right up to the onset. It was supposed to be a multi-round event, with potentially significant tornadoes from discrete super-cells followed by a bowing line. We did get 12 weak tornadoes out of it, but most of the area avoided any severe thunderstorm criteria. I remember the kind of letdown from both the public and those on the board. The relatively unheralded 6/22/12 event (one week before the derecho) ended up causing more widespread wind damage, including a 90-100 mph downburst in Bladensburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 I think forecasting severe weather for specific cities (a day out) has joined forecasting the genesis of a tropical cyclone as areas where maybe the expectations on the forecasts are a bit higher than what the state of the science can provide right now. Maybe the derecho in the same month erased the area's memory of 6/1/12? Like today, the expectations were very high for that event, right up to the onset. It was supposed to be a multi-round event, with potentially significant tornadoes from discrete super-cells followed by a bowing line. We did get 12 weak tornadoes out of it, but most of the area avoided any severe thunderstorm criteria. I remember the kind of letdown from both the public and those on the board. The relatively unheralded 6/22/12 event (one week before the derecho) ended up causing more widespread wind damage, including a 90-100 mph downburst in Bladensburg. This sort of thing frequently happens, including the Bethesda Moco wind event, which was a noteworthy event for some. (7/25 I believe that was, not sure of the year). But some people get microbursts and downbursts that give them a personal top 5 storm in a see text, you just never can tell. Perception comes by group with weather, especially severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 There is the true blue derecho on the 18z GFS. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/gfs/18/gfs_namer_066_1000_500_thick.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Over/under 8.5" of precip for June... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Over/under 8.5" of precip for June... under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Beautiful evening to walk the dog. Thank God the neighborhood is still in one piece after the derechoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Beautiful evening to walk the dog. Thank God the neighborhood is still in one piece after the derechoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 enjoying a steaming hot sunny week in FL... hear there have been a few storms back there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Well, after 7 years of service on the top of my roof. I am retiring my Original Davis Vantage Pro station. It's rain gauge is off by 15%+, the humidity never gets over 96% anymore, the wind direction sensor is off by 60° even when calibrated and the transmission range has decreased so significantly that I need a makeshift antenna for it to reach the computer that stores and sends the data to the internet. I would replace it part by part but it is no longer supported by Davis Instruments and spare parts are very hard to find or all gone. Time to go Davis VP1. Hello Davis Vantage Pro 2 with 24 hr fan aspirated radiation shield. More solar panel power, longer transmission range, more accurate temp/dp readings even during full sunshine with no wind and a proper shelf for my solar radiation sensor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Only thing I don't like about severe is I don't think the thrill of the storm is worth the long tracking time. With winter and tropical storms they generally are atleast 12 hour events and sometimes 24+. Even a great thunderstorm is a <30 minute event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Beautiful evening, clear skies, temp down to 61 and DP right at 50 with a NW wind blowing 15 mph. Looking forward to low 50's when I get off work in am! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Well, after 7 years of service on the top of my roof. I am retiring my Original Davis Vantage Pro station. It's rain gauge is off by 15%+, the humidity never gets over 96% anymore, the wind direction sensor is off by 60° even when calibrated and the transmission range has decreased so significantly that I need a makeshift antenna for it to reach the computer that stores and sends the data to the internet. I would replace it part by part but it is no longer supported by Davis Instruments and spare parts are very hard to find or all gone. Time to go Davis VP1. Hello Davis Vantage Pro 2 with 24 hr fan aspirated radiation shield. More solar panel power, longer transmission range, more accurate temp/dp readings even during full sunshine with no wind and a proper shelf for my solar radiation sensor. Perhaps a retirement dinner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 JT, ill need a recommendation for a good station to purchase. We are buying a house so I'll actually have a yard to put one in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Showers this AM. Most rain I've seen in the last 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Break out the gloves and sweaters again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Well, after 7 years of service on the top of my roof. I am retiring my Original Davis Vantage Pro station. It's rain gauge is off by 15%+, the humidity never gets over 96% anymore, the wind direction sensor is off by 60° even when calibrated and the transmission range has decreased so significantly that I need a makeshift antenna for it to reach the computer that stores and sends the data to the internet. I would replace it part by part but it is no longer supported by Davis Instruments and spare parts are very hard to find or all gone. Time to go Davis VP1. Hello Davis Vantage Pro 2 with 24 hr fan aspirated radiation shield. More solar panel power, longer transmission range, more accurate temp/dp readings even during full sunshine with no wind and a proper shelf for my solar radiation sensor. Love my VP2. I don't have 24hr FARS, but I'm sure it probably makes a big difference in temp/humidity readings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Very dry out there. If it wasn't for the copious amounts of rain we have received of late I would be worried about brush fires on a day like today. My throat gets dry if I spend too long outside on days with such low dews so I will be sure to take a water bottle with me at all times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Very dry out there. If it wasn't for the copious amounts of rain we have received of late I would be worried about brush fires on a day like today. My throat gets dry if I spend too long outside on days with such low dews so I will be sure to take a water bottle with me at all times. Make sure it's one with a top that's easy to open with gloves on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Very dry out there. If it wasn't for the copious amounts of rain we have received of late I would be worried about brush fires on a day like today. My throat gets dry if I spend too long outside on days with such low dews so I will be sure to take a water bottle with me at all times. Watch out for those dangerous windchills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Very dry out there. If it wasn't for the copious amounts of rain we have received of late I would be worried about brush fires on a day like today. My throat gets dry if I spend too long outside on days with such low dews so I will be sure to take a water bottle with me at all times. Be sure to add a little salt to the water so that it doesn't freeze solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Water freezes at 32 degrees Farenheit. It is about 45 degrees too warm today, but thanks for the concern. Be sure to add a little salt to the water so that it doesn't freeze solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Hope we get hot and dry out for about a month. Enough of this crap. Everything is a swamp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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