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June 2013 General Discussion/Obs


snowlover2

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Lol, I do favor cool. This spring/early summer now has had a bit too many cool days (and cloudy damp days), even for my liking. This weather is great, but we need warmer weather to get the gardens and fields growing well.

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Central IA getting some decent sunshine has bumped the surface cape up to around 1000j/kg.  Should be a broken line of decent storms blowing up there a bit later.  Been pretty cloudy here today.  Still no rain, but some showers are popping up near the QC.

 

You mean this? Although it's a thinner line, it looks more impressive than the storms in IL that are under a watch.

 

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You mean this? Although it's a thinner line, it looks more impressive than the storms in IL that are under a watch.

 

attachicon.gif060913 IA radar.png

 

Yeah.  The wind fields are pretty well stacked on the storms from southern MN into southern IA, but the southern end of the line has a little more turning with height.  Can't completely rule out a brief/weak tornado on the southern portion in northeast MO west of Quincy in the next few hours. 

 

Just had a nice downpour here with some thunder. 

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This system has been a big ol' dud around here.  Leading up to the storm the WPC consistently had us in the half to one inch range, but I've had less than a tenth.  DVN is pretty confident there will be a nice MCS rolling ese across Iowa Tuesday night.

 

The models have done a poor job in the short to medium range with the last two systems (granted, I admit some of it is backyard bias).  I expect the current projections by the GFS and its ensembles to be too far north with the midweek shenanigans and we'll probably get basically shut out with that system as well.

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The models have done a poor job in the short to medium range with the last two systems (granted, I admit some of it is backyard bias).  I expect the current projections by the GFS and its ensembles to be too far north with the midweek shenanigans and we'll probably get basically shut out with that system as well.

 

you will soon learn to never ever read another MKE AFD.. useless American models pwned them two weekends in a row.. When will they ever learn  MKE spring/early summer climo and model bias.   Alek would be a great addition there.  

 

A+ start to June although I'm in the mood for a few  garden variety thunder boomers... warmth/torch will come in bouts this summer for the green thumbers so  meh  to the cooler rainy start and I've off the charts enjoyed this start to June.

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With dew points in the low to mid 60Fs today, sure felt a heck of a lot warmer.  .19 inches of rain and that was almost the whole day...with short duration of sprinkles/drizzle thrown in...did see the sun this evening. 

 

Sure looks like we might get a lot of dry time this week...so that is going to really help kick start things. 

 

I've noticed the grass here has stopped/slowed growing.  I figured with the cool wx and constant rain/drizzle that it would be growing a lot, but that hasn't been the case.  My guess is the lack of sun/too much moisture...

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Very foggy this morning

KMKE 101152Z 05003KT 1/8SM R01L/1200V2000FT FG OVC002 16/16 A2980 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1/4 SLP089 60003 70003 T01560156 10172 20139 53002

KRAC 101153Z AUTO 10004KT M1/4SM FG VV001 17/15 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP091 60004 70004 T01670150 10178 20150 51005

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tomorrow night for sure...mugginess will send it over the top

yeah, I can handle finding ways to keep myself and the family cool during the day...but can't stand trying to sleep in a swamp or watching the kids sweat it out...blaaaahhhh

 

could be some sick pooling along and just south of the boundary depending exactly where that front stalls out....looks to be somewhere in or through LOT

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yeah, I can handle finding ways to keep myself and the family cool during the day...but can't stand trying to sleep in a swamp or watching the kids sweat it out...blaaaahhhh

 

could be some sick pooling along and just south of the boundary depending exactly where that front stalls out....looks to be somewhere in or through LOT

 

 

Could be a quality 24 hour period...I think we'll wake up to an MCS moving into the metro around dawn and then depending on the level of backbuilding/debris see another complex fire over the area during the afternoon.  I think timing keeps the severe threat lower for our immediate region but that's no big deal.

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Could be a quality 24 hour period...I think we'll wake up to an MCS moving into the metro around dawn and then depending on the level of backbuilding/debris see another complex fire over the area during the afternoon.  I think timing keeps the severe threat lower for our immediate region but that's no big deal.

 

yeah....timing, as usual, will be key....6Z WRF had initial MCS rolling through LOT around 14z....morning MCS's are fun because you have the bright skies of the rising sun to the east and the black clouds rolling in from the west....provides a nice color contrast for pics

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First thing this morning DVN released a discussion stating the fog was pretty thin and by 9am the area should be mostly sunny.  It's now 11am and the entire state is still covered with stratus.  DVN now says it will be afternoon before we see sun and even after that it should remain mostly cloudy.  I can't imagine we've ever had a cloudier first ten days of June.

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