A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 haha, Ramsey...might hit 90 Sunday but that should be it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 His whole 7-day is gonna fail. Low-mid 90's for the next 7-days isn't happening. Haha, yeah I thought that was a bit extreme. Had a 95° for Tuesday I believe. Winds are turning gusty out of the SE/SSE here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Only 3 days above 80 and a max of 85 this month so far so really looking forward to some heat that sticks around for more than a day or two.. Perfect weekend to hit the lakefront all day both days for perch fishing and then chilling on the beach. As usual summer is flying by with 11 days of summerfest and the 4th of July week vacation right around the corner will put us to almost half way through summer when we get back on the 14th.. Bonus points for losing a half hr of daylight between when we get back and the end of the month July.. Foot steps from fall approaching are getting louder and louder by the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Well, dang it. Elkhart Jazz festival starts this evening with thousands of people in the area and many outdoor venue stages which offer free jazz. Those with paid admission will hear artists indoors but lots of vendors, artists, and the public usually take up residence on blocked off city streets downtown. Looks like a good t storm then solid rain for awhile heading this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 70° with no clearing in sight yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 lol Day one of the 90+ streak for LAF starts today. 79 and not a cloud in the sky at 10:00am. No cigar. Looks like we're going to top out at 88. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Follow the ridge, this is a high 80's/low 90's type of ridge. Models don't have a clue on convection and should not be fo]lowed on that one. Probably will have most days falling short of 90° here being close to the lake and all. - Plus the soils look to remain wet. Not getting out of the 70s for the remainder of the day. Can just make out the outline of the sun at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Torching here with full sun again.... temps rising fast, this time with humidity. Nice day...killed the AC early this morning and just turned it back on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 My point has 94F for a high on Sunday. I guarantee if we bust, it will be low that day. Between the wet ground and the potential for these convective episodes to keep the boundaries at least nearby make it questionable at best to go that aggressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 My point has 94F for a high on Sunday. I guarantee if we bust, it will be low that day. Between the wet ground and the potential for these convective episodes to keep the boundaries at least nearby make it questionable at best to go that aggressive. Not sure why they are forecasting that warm. Lower level temp profiles would support a high around 90 and that's if we are free of clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Made it to 82 before the rain hit around noon. Picked up 0.06" here, but it poured like crazy at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Not our subforum but that is a hell of a ridge being depicted out west in the longer range. Its also a serious forest/wild fire threat. Have to wonder if that sucker pulses east from time to time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 79° was the high today here. Temperature really never recovered after the rain. Still basically overcast now. Not paying attention to the high temperatures so much (there out of hand anyways), but the model is showing a back door front tomorrow - early afternoon. Plus outflow into S MI and N IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Got up to 85* today....near-scorcher. First in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Mid 70s dewpoints are on the way. Didn't have much of that last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Very heavy rain at St. Paul MN on Midwest haze cam at 8:15 p.m. CDT. http://www.mwhazecam.net/site.aspx?site=stpaul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Mid 70s dewpoints are on the way. Didn't have much of that last year. Yuck! Feels like summer now! I think it's humid now, but the dewpoint is only 65°! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Yuck! Feels like summer now! I think it's humid now, but the dewpoint is only 65°! Yea, it's noticeably humid to me here with a dewpoint in the low 60s. Been spoiled for the past few weeks in Michigan. Decent mix of sun and rain, no death ridge, no drought, very green, tolerable temperatures, and no excessive humidity. The typical summer soup has to show up sooner or later. When it hits the mid 70s it's usually that late morning soup layer coming off the corn crop. The dps usually mix back down to around 70 by later in the afternoon/evening, but then the temperature is higher. That's the typical summer soup pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Some scattered microcells starting to fire in SE Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Some scattered microcells starting to fire in SE Wisconsin. Courtesy of the LLJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Courtesy of the LLJ? I would have to think so, maybe a minor s/w as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 via LOT.... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL927 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013.DISCUSSION...927 PM CDTSHOWERS HAVE FINALLY EXITED THE CWA WHILE NEW SHOWERS ARESPROUTING OVER WISCONSIN. UPSTREAM THERE ARE TWO CONVECTIVECOMPLEXES...ONE OVER SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND THE OTHER OVERSOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA/WESTERN NEBRASKA. LOCALLY...THE ATMOSPHEREHAS STABILIZED BEHIND THE LINE OF STORMS. THE 00Z DVN SOUNDING ANDAMDAR SOUNDINGS ALL INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT CAP BETWEEN 850 AND 700MB. HOWEVER THEY ALSO FEATURE 1000+ J/KG OF MIXED LAYER CAPE. PWATVALUES ARE ALSO AROUND 1.5 INCHES SO THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS JUICYTHIS EVENING. DID NOT ADJUST LOW TEMPERATURES OR DEWPOINTS FORTONIGHT BY MUCH...WITH A MUGGY EVENING STILL ON TAP.NOW TO THE TRICKY PART...PRECIP CHANCES TONIGHT. THE GENERALPATTERN IS FOR THE LOW LEVEL JET TO STRENGTHEN WITH THE NOSE OFTHE JET OVER SE IA/W CEN IL/SW WI. NEW CONVECTION IS PROGGED TOFIRE OVER ALONG THE NOSE OF THE JET...AND GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENTEXPECTING ELEVATED CONVECTION. FOR TIMING...THINKING THE CHANCESWILL BE BEST ALONG AND NORTH OF I-88 AFTER 06Z THROUGH THEMORNING. UPDATED THE POP/WX FORECAST TO REFLECT THE TREND OFINCREASING PRECIP CHANCES THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.BUT OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS STILL LOW TO MEDIUM WITH HOW/IFCONVECTION WILL EVOLVE THROUGH THE MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 I would have to think so, maybe a minor s/w as well. The cells are firing up pretty quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 The cells are firing up pretty quick. MKX confirms it's likely WAA with the 850 and 700mb temperature gradient being the trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO A CONCERN TONIGHT AS WARM CLOUD LAYERDEPTHS CLIMB INTO THE 4 TO 4.5 KM RANGE AND PRECIPITABLE WATERVALUES CLIMB INTO THE 1.8 TO 2.0 INCH RANGE. WITH THE LOW LEVELJET CONTINUING TO IMPINGE ON THE FRONT NEAR THE MINNESOTA AND IOWABORDER...EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERNNEBRASKA...WESTERN IOWA AND SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA THROUGHOUT THENIGHT. THIS CONVECTION WOULD THEN TRAIN INTO THE FORECAST AREAWITH THE MEAN WIND. WOULD NOT BE SHOCKED TO SEE 3 TO 5 INCHES OFRAIN FALL ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE EVEN SOMELOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS LOOKS LIKE A CLASSIC MADDOX WARMFRONTAL FLASH FLOOD EVENT. DUE TO THIS...ISSUED A FLASH FLOODWATCH FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. THE SHOWERS ANDTHUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON SATURDAY MORNING AS THELOW LEVEL JET WEAKENS. nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Wasn't expecting to read 3-5" in that AFD! How is your cherries doing with all the recent rain - DLL? Probably see the first storm in here by 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Many storms in between Madison and Milwaukee, might be some dry air here by the lake though because they seem to have a hard time making it into the lakeshore counties without weakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Many storms in between Madison and Milwaukee, might be some dry air here by the lake though because they seem to have a hard time making it into the lakeshore counties without weakening. That one particular cell over Waukesha looks like it's holding its own. One micro cell passed to my south. Just a bit of thunder so far. Edit: Looking like a potential training situation developing along 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Absolutely pouring right now, once the storms made it in, they came in with a vengeance (of heavy rain). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Wasn't expecting to read 3-5" in that AFD! How is your cherries doing with all the recent rain - DLL? Probably see the first storm in here by 11.u We actually ate some sweet cherries today... just started turning dark red.. ripening very quickly in this heat. Didn't notice any cracking after the rain this morning, we'll see what tomorrow brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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