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June 2013 General Discussion/Obs


snowlover2

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Pending any MCS's/debris, this is nice...

KORD   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   6/20/2013  1200 UTC                       
 FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192      
      FRI 21| SAT 22| SUN 23| MON 24| TUE 25| WED 26| THU 27|FRI CLIMO
 N/X  63  88| 69  88| 70  90| 69  89| 70  90| 70  91| 69  88| 65 60 81
 TMP  68  83| 72  82| 74  84| 73  84| 74  84| 74  85| 73  82| 69      
 DPT  62  66| 65  67| 67  65| 66  66| 67  66| 67  66| 65  63| 61      
 WND  10  15| 11  12| 12  13| 13  13|  9  15| 13  12| 11  10|  8      
 P12  10  12| 37  23| 18  12| 27  27| 21  22| 20  26| 45  33| 29 25 20
 P24      21|     54|     23|     37|     40|     36|     66|       36
 Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|       |         
 Q24       0|      1|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |         
 T12  11  27| 54  32| 33  26| 25  42| 25  28| 27  30| 34  32| 23      
 T24        | 54    | 37    | 41    | 47    | 44    | 56    | 47  
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The summer weather is nice(although the next few days will be uncomfortable), but we really do need some rain.  My garden needs to be soaked again after only a few days, but now the rain barrel is empty.  Also, the nearby creek is mostly dried up.  We need 3+ inches of rain over the next ten days just to reach average for June.  I'm hoping for a minimum of an inch through early next week.

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LOT talking up the heat potential...

 

THE BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE THE BUILDING HEAT. WHILE HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA WILL LIKELY NOT BE MET...THE MAX HEAT INDEX IS EXPECTED TO
BE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S FROM SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT
WEDNESDAY...WITH HEAT INDICES APPROACHING OR SLIGHTLY EXCEEDING 100F
ON SUNDAY AND TUESDAY AS ADVERTISED IN THE LATEST FORECAST GRIDS. WITH
PREVAILING SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT LIKELY AND THE HIGHER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
LAKE FRONT...INCLUDING DOWNTOWN CHICAGO. SINCE THE SPRING HAS
BEEN RELATIVELY COOL AND DRY...THE MUCH HIGHER HEAT AND
HUMIDITY...WITH DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 70S LIKELY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...COULD BE A SYSTEM SHOCK TO MANY PEOPLE NOT ACCUSTOMED TO
THE HEAT. ALSO...THE EFFECT OF HEAT ON THE HUMAN BODY HAS A
CUMULATIVE EFFECT. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF NEAR ADVISORY HEAT
INDICES COULD CAUSE HEAT- RELATED HEALTH PROBLEMS MUCH LIKE A
SHORTER PERIOD OF HIGHER HEAT INDICES...AND AN EXCESSIVE HEAT
ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE REQUIRED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK EVEN IF
HEAT INDICES DO NOT QUITE REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE ONE CAVEAT
THAT WILL NEED TO BE REMEMBERED THAT THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...EVEN IF SCATTERED...WHICH IF THEY
OCCUR AT THE RIGHT TIME...THE MAX TEMPS COULD BE LOCALLY LOWER DUE
TO THICKER THAN EXPECTED CLOUD COVER OR MORE EXTENSIVE PCPN.

AS A REMINDER...FOR THE WFO CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE CWA...AN EXCESSIVE
HEAT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE HEAT INDEX IS GREATER THAN OR EQUAL
TO 105F. HOWEVER...IF THE HEAT INDEX IS GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO
95F FOR A PERIOD OF 4 DAYS...AN EXCESSIVE HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE
ISSUED FOR THE 4TH DAY DUE TO THE CUMULATIVE EFFECT OF HEAT.

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The summer weather is nice(although the next few days will be uncomfortable), but we really do need some rain.  My garden needs to be soaked again after only a few days, but now the rain barrel is empty.  Also, the nearby creek is mostly dried up.  We need 3+ inches of rain over the next ten days just to reach average for June.  I'm hoping for a minimum of an inch through early next week.

 

 

how are you always so dry?

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While many of us in the eastern and central Lakes wait for our first 90 degree temp, Alaska has been baking this month. Valdez, a coastal city nonetheless, hit 90 earlier this week. And yes, they had a 56" snow pack on May 5th this year.

 

That 90 degree reading is the only 90 degree reading ever recorded there and subsequently the hottest day on record.

RECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VALDEZ AK1055 PM AKDT MON JUN 17 2013...THREE HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS SMASHED IN ONE DAY...EXCITEMENT ABOUNDED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEASTERN PRINCEWILLIAM SOUND AS UNUSUALLY HOT TEMPERATURES WERE FELT ACROSSTHE REGION. FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDSHAVE BEEN TIED OR BROKEN...BUT TODAYS TEMPERATURES SOARED BEYONDANYTHING PREVIOUSLY SEEN IN THIS AREA. IN VALDEZ...THE DAILY HIGHTEMPERATURE RECORD OF 75 DEGREES SET IN 1997 WAS SHATTERED WHEN...AT 45 MINUTES AFTER 3 PM...THE MERCURY IN OUR THERMOMETER SHOT UPTO 90 DEGREES. AFTER A BRIEF DIP BACK INTO THE UPPER 80S...THEMERCURY AGAIN REGISTERED 90 DEGREES AT 15 MINUTES BEFORE 6 PM.THIS ALSO CRUSHED THE ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR ANY DAYOF THE YEAR...AND FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE...WHICH WAS 87 DEGREES ANDWAS ACHIEVED TWICE...ON BOTH THE 25TH AND THE 26TH OF JUNE IN 1953.A LOCAL WEATHER SPOTTER IN TOWN RECORDED A HIGH TEMPERATURE OF87 DEGREES NEAR THE HOSPITAL DURING THE MID-AFTERNOON HOURS TODAYAS WELL. SUN-WORSHIPERS WERE OUT IN FORCE THROUGH THE MID TO LATEEVENING HOURS...AS THE TEMPERATURE AT 10 PM WAS STILL AN ASTOUNDING77 DEGREES.ALONG THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY...WHERE THE D.O.T. ROAD WEATHERINFORMATION SYSTEMS INSTRUMENTS ARE LOCATED...HIGH RECORDS WEREALSO SET. ALTHOUGH WE ONLY HAVE DATA AS FAR BACK AS JUST AFTERTHE TURN OF THIS CENTURY...THESE VALUES REPRESENT THE SITE EXTREMESSINCE THEIR INSTALLATIONS. AT 12 MILE OF THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY...AN ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH OF 90 DEGREES WAS ACHIEVED AT AROUND 10MINUTES BEFORE 5 PM. ON THE INSTRUMENTS AT 19 MILE...AN ALL-TIMERECORD HIGH OF 93 DEGREES WAS REACHED AT 20 MINUTES PAST 4 PM.THE SENSORS AT THOMPSON PASS...LOCATED AT 25.7 MILE...INDICATEDAN ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH OF 77 DEGREES AT AROUND 25 MINUTES PAST5 PM. THESE ALL-TIME RECORD HIGHS WERE...OF COURSE...DAILY ANDMONTHLY RECORD HIGHS AS WELL.
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Must be that his area dries up so quickly.  He said in an earlier post that he had 8"+ of rain in both April and May, with a bit below average June, and he's already talking about it being too dry?  Seems like a weird situation.

 

It would take a significant dry spell through summer to bring any drought back to the area.  I'm obviously talking short-term dry.  I have a big garden with a lot of plants in the backyard, so I notice when we get into a short-term dry spell.  The 8 inches of rain in April and May replenished the ground throughout the region, which is great, but it doesn't help the garden once the heat gets turned on in June.

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Pretty toasty today.  Made 90, but low humidity so it was pretty nice.

Yeah, it was warm, but low 60s dewpoint is pretty tame this time of year.  The dewpoint should jump to around 70 the next few days, but even that won't be terrible.  The crops around here are still quite small so transpiration isn't a big factor, yet.

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LAF only edged out by EVV for high temp honors in Indiana today, 88 to 87. Must be the burgeoning local drought conditions.  :frostymelt:

 

Point and click high temp forecasts for the airport here would be torture for Hoosier. Alas, no need to worry as you can safely bump those 2-3 degrees...LAF-effect and all.

 

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 6 to 9 mph. 
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind 6 to 8 mph. 

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. South southwest wind 6 to 10 mph. 
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. South wind around 7 mph. 

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.
Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73.

Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.

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Made it to 78 80° today. Really nice day within 5 miles or so of the lakeshore. Jumped to the low 80s about 6+ miles inland. Was in Milwaukee earlier and the lakefront was packed with beachgoers. Not many people in the water given the cool waters and air temp around 70° down there at the time. 

 

 

Still no 90 readings in my point either - Alek.

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