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May 27-June 2 Severe Weather


Hoosier

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I was looking at the severe chances for northern Ohio.

 

Toledo has 40-50 knots of deep layer shear right now. But, can it get CAPE (large enough for severe storms) ?????  Survey says.......   only if you turned on a propane heater.  The thermodynamic profiles around Toledo will feature maybe up to 1000 J/kg of CAPE at Toledo, with mid-level lapse rates that are not spectacular.

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0730 PM TORNADO 1 N TEMPLETON 40.53N 87.21W

05/31/2013 BENTON IN EMERGENCY MNGR

A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN BRIEFLY IN AN OPEN FIELD NEAR COUNTY ROAD 500S AND COUNTY ROAD 600E. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR ABOUT 1/2 MILE AND WAS CAPTURED ON VIDEO. THERE WAS NO DAMAGE.

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PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO

1218 PM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

..DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR THE EVENING OF MAY 31ST

THREE STORM SURVEY TEAMS ARE CURRENTLY ASSESSING THE DAMAGE FROM LAST NIGHT'S STORMS IN EASTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. THE FOLLOWING ARE REPORTS THAT ARE BEING RECEIVING FROM THE TEAMS WHILE THEY ARE STILL CONDUCTING THE SURVEYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE AVAILABLE LATER TODAY.

ONE TEAM IS SURVEYING DAMAGE IN MADISON AND MACOUPIN COUNTIES IN ILLINOIS. SO FAR THEY HAVE FOUND TORNADO DAMAGE AT A LANDFILL IN ROXANNA THAT HAS BEEN RATED AS A LOW END EF-3 WITH ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS AROUND 140 MPH. THEY HAVE ALSO FOUND STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE IN THE CITY OF EDWARDSVILLE. THIS SURVEY TEAM WILL CONTINUE TO ASSESS DAMAGE FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST INCLUDING IN GILLESPIE.

A SECOND TEAM IS SURVEYING DAMAGE IN NORTH ST. LOUIS COUNTY. THIS TEAM HAS FOUND TORNADO DAMAGE RATED AS EF-2 WITH ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS AS HIGH AS 130 MPH. THIS TORNADO PATH IS ALONG A LINE FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 IN EARTH CITY TO THE NORTH SIDE OF THE AIRPORT IN HAZELWOOD.

THE THIRD TEAM IS SURVEYING DAMAGE IN ST. CHARLES COUNTY. THIS TEAM HAS FOUND TORNADO DAMAGE RATED AS EF-3 WITH ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS AROUND 150 MPH. THIS PATH IS ALONG A LINE FROM WELDON SPRING HEIGHTS TO HARVESTER. THIS TEAM WILL CONTINUE TO ASSESS DAMAGE FURTHER NORTHEAST TO THE MISSOURI RIVER.

THIS IS PRELIMINARY INFORMATION AND IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT AND PUBLICATION IN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM DATA.

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Wild, Sch. Stormer - took the roof, but not the walls!

 

About to get hit with the stronger end of this line heading in.

 

Had bit of a gust front move through. Pouring down rain now.

 

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There is a tornado warning right now from EC for Mount Forest - Arthur - Northern Wellington County. I saw that cell but didn't look like anything more than a thunderstorm. Has a confirmed funnel cloud 6 km south of Mount Forest. Maybe Harris is on it and sent that in   ^_^ .

 

EDIT: TWN just showed a picture of the funnel cloud on TV and it was a small white one. They said it was sent from Dave Patrick and the warning has now expired.

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There is a tornado warning right now from EC for Mount Forest - Arthur - Northern Wellington County. I saw that cell but didn't look like anything more than a thunderstorm. Has a confirmed funnel cloud 6 km south of Mount Forest. Maybe Harris is on it and sent that in   ^_^ .

 

EDIT: TWN just showed a picture of the funnel cloud on TV and it was a small white one. They said it was sent from Dave Patrick and the warning has now expired.

Unfortunately missed this one! Dave Patrick reported and uploaded a video of a brief tornado, EF0. Cell looked TINY on radar and there wasn't a single lightning strike associated with it so I didn't even bother heading out. Got burned in the end. Oh well that's weather I guess. Meal analysis was showing 45-50kts of shear and despite poor instability that cell was still able to spin something up. Congrats to Dave Patrick on that catch. He was the only one to witness it. Guy is a southern Ontario chasing machine.

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