CHI_Weather Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 I forgot to mention. It seems as the line is heading NE. If anything it might graze the western suburds of Cook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 From looking at the radar, it seems as the squall line lost energy. I notice that it breaks in two when nearing Chicago. It probably will be a big rainmaker, with maybe thunder. I don't really see a wind threat, as of now. Also what do you guys think about tomorrow for the Chicago area? It seems like we missed every good storm thus far. tomorrow will be a miss well south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 At what time, I have been watching things and I am thinking no personally. I'm really not sure when it rolled through. All I know is that it looks like the same neighborhood that got hit with that surprise tornado in September of '09 that was unwarned as well. Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 I'm really not sure when it rolled through. All I know is that it looks like the same neighborhood that got hit with that surprise tornado in September of '09 that was unwarned as well. Haha. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microburst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microburst Clearly I know that it's a microburst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 I'm really not sure when it rolled through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microburst He already said he thinks it was a downburst... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 lol, i mean come on dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Warning out for a good portion of SE WI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 lol, i mean come on dude Im not really sure what you're trying to get at here. I dont live in Livonia anymore, and since the cell wasnt warned at the time I'm going on word of mouth and pics here. Did I ever say that I thought it was a tornado? No. In fact, I clearly stated above that it looked like a downburst/microburst situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 zzzzzGust front looked mean but ain't no thang. Cooling down nicely. Still haven't had anything more than a stray drop today. Edit: Showers now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Warning out for areas just north of me in WI. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGWIC027-055-059-101-105-127-133-310130-/O.NEW.KMKX.SV.W.0030.130531T0049Z-130531T0130Z/BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI749 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN DODGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN... JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN... KENOSHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN... WESTERN RACINE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN... NORTHEASTERN ROCK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN... WALWORTH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN... WAUKESHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...* UNTIL 830 PM CDT* AT 746 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FORT ATKINSON TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HARVARD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... JOHNSON CREEK AND LAKE GENEVA AROUND 755 PM CDT. PELL LAKE AND PALMYRA AROUND 800 PM CDT. WATERTOWN AIRPORT AND WATERTOWN AROUND 805 PM CDT. BURLINGTON AIRPORT AND SILVER LAKE AROUND 810 PM CDT. LAPHAM PEAK STATE PARK AND WATERFORD NORTH AROUND 815 PM CDT. PLEASANT PRAIRIE AND WIND LAKE AROUND 820 PM CDT.OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDETIBBETS...LA GRANGE...HEBRON...ABELLS CORNERS...MILFORD...SPRINGPRAIRIE...SPRINGFIELD...ROME...HELENVILLE AND PIPERSVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 tomorrow will be a miss well south Was thinking about taking a little drive southwest after work for tomorrow's event, but getting vibes that Critical Mass downtown will be a better bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Line of storm firing up on the lake breeze front in southeast WI. Rumbling here pretty good. Looks like the main line is crapping out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 nice Chicago split with severe storms to the north and south. Bummer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 nice Chicago split with severe storms to the north and south. Bummer. Whatever it is what it is. I personally was looking forward to tomorrow. Todays environment was awesome though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Tomorrow is a close call. Trying to decide if I want to drive about 40-40 northwest for the best possible chance. I still think we will get in on some action. Had a torrential downpour earlier lasted all of 5 minutes. Tomorrow could be huge for central, east central Illinois. I don't think I will sleep tonight due to anticipation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Gonna be a close call as to whether the MKE metro will get hit with the main line. If it does it will be one of our more intense t'storms in awhile I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 keeping my eye on the area by springfield to affect southern portions of LOT possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Storms looked formidable in Pl Prairie, but on my way back into Kenosha things started to crap out. Good lightning show while on my run though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Whatever it is what it is. I personally was looking forward to tomorrow. Todays environment was awesome though I'll be at the Cubs game tomorrow. Last time I was at Wrigley (8/5/08) there were wicked storms that rocked the city. Sirens went off at the game. Repeat tomorrow....unlikely, but maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 On to tomorrow... Hi-res models, including the SREF look potent around the 21-03z time frame for the MW/OV. Not jumping on any "outbreak" bandwagons by any means, but there does appear to be an enhanced threat of supercells and possibly tornadoes across much of MO and central Illinois later tomorrow afternoon. Unless things change significantly overnight, I highly suspect that the SPC will expand the greatest risk area (maybe even the MDT risk itself) into portions of IL tomorrow due to the threat of isolated supercells with strong updrafts (rogue cells may exist well into IN as well) KSPI sounding is very supportive of classic supercells with large hail and tornadoes More than enough moisture working its way into the area as well: Shear should also favor cellular development before things go linear once we lose daytime heating: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 WRF UH and SIMRAD show what I'm talking about pretty nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Nice incipient bow seems to be developing in east central IL now with warnings to the IN state line in Chambana area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Had some nice hailers up here today. Hopefully tomorrow isn't too rainy around here, looks like a nice severe weather day for the Lower GL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 Had some nice hailers up here today. Hopefully tomorrow isn't too rainy around here, looks like a nice severe weather day for the Lower GL GRR is already discounting tomorrow because it looks like mainly an all day rain event across the area. Lol. Still trying to find the model that they're looking at... At this point, I'd say tomorrow is TBD around here. Looks like the activity will be later in the evening, so at that point we only have waning instability and a strong LLJ to keep storms going. In all honesty it's hard telling what is going to happen around here tomorrow, but my main focus would be central Illinois and east central Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 This evening's NAM has a 100 kt 300 mb jet streak racing from Topeka to Dubuque at 00z tomorrow. Haven't looked yet at other parameters but that alone is enough to give me pause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 31, 2013 Author Share Posted May 31, 2013 NAM covering all its bases for tomorrow...one run has good clearing with good instability buildup toward Lake MI in the afternoon and the next run backs off. Moral of the story, we won't know until tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 View of a thunderstorm in Kenosha from Milwaukee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 31, 2013 Share Posted May 31, 2013 NAM covering all its bases for tomorrow...one run has good clearing with good instability buildup toward Lake MI in the afternoon and the next run backs off. Moral of the story, we won't know until tomorrow. Reminds me of my met prof from years ago who said that severe wx always comes down to a day of perusal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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