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Plains tornado threat Mon 5/27-Fri 5/31


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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0908
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0458 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

   AREAS AFFECTED...WCNTRL THROUGH CNTRL AND NERN OK

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 262...

   VALID 312158Z - 312330Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 262 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STORMS WILL UNDERGO A RAPID INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION AND
   INTENSITY OVER WCNTRL AND SWRN OK. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MATURE
   INTO SUPERCELLS AND BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL AND
   STRONG TORNADOES AS THEY MOVE EWD AND ENEWD TOWARD CNTRL OK THIS
   EVENING.

   DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS EVENING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM ERN KS
   SWWD THROUGH NWRN OK THEN WWD INTO THE NRN TX PANHANDLE. A DRYLINE
   EXTENDS FROM WRN TX NWD INTO WRN OK WHERE IT INTERSECTS THE DRYLINE.
   TRENDS IN SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW CUMULUS CONGESTUS INCREASING WITHIN
   THE MORE DEEPLY MIXED REGIME NEAR THE DRYLINE ACROSS SWRN OK AND THE
   FIRST STORMS ARE INITIATING ALONG THE DRYLINE/FRONT INTERSECTION
   NEAR WATONGA. THE ATMOSPHERE DOWNSTREAM IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH 4000+
   J/KG MLCAPE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S AND VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES
   ALONG WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS AROUND 50 KT. LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ARE
   NOT PARTICULARLY LARGE...BUT WINDS NEAR THE SFC ARE BACKED TO SSELY
   ACROSS CNTRL-WCNTRL OK...AND HODOGRAPHS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN
   SIZE AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT EXPLOSIVE
   THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITH STORMS RAPIDLY ORGANIZING INTO
   SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL AND STRONG TORNADOES
   AS THEY MOVE ENEWD THROUGH THE VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR
   NEXT FEW HOURS.

   ..DIAL.. 05/31/2013
 

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  

458 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A  

 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  

GARFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...  

NORTHERN KINGFISHER COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...  

 

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT  

 

* AT 457 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR BISON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30  

MPH.  

 

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...  

LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER...  

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH...  

 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

ENID...HENNESSEY...WAUKOMIS...GARBER...DRUMMOND...BRECKENRIDGE...  

HUNTER...FAIRMONT...DOUGLAS...VANCE AIR FORCE BASE...BISON...NORTH  

ENID AND LACEY.

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