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Plains tornado threat Mon 5/27-Fri 5/31


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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0887

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0552 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL TX THROUGH CNTRL AND ERN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 252...254...

VALID 302252Z - 310045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 252...254...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL PERSIST

THROUGH MID EVENING FROM NCNTRL TX THROUGH CNTRL AND ERN OK. TORNADO

THREAT COULD INCREASE BETWEEN 23-02Z BEFORE DECREASING AGAIN LATER

IN THE EVENING.

DISCUSSION...STORMS THAT DEVELOPED ALONG ENE-WSW ORIENTED OUTFLOW

BOUNDARY AS WELL AS ON DRYLINE CIRCULATION REMAIN MOSTLY DISCRETE

FROM NCTRL TX THROUGH CNTRL AND NERN OK. STORMS FROM NCNTRL TX

THROUGH CNTRL OK HAVE MOVE AWAY FROM THE DRYLINE INTO THE UNSTABLE

WARM SECTOR WHERE MLCAPE FROM 2500-3500 J/KG EXISTS. THIS ACTIVITY

WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING

WIND NEXT FEW HOURS. THE LLJ IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN THIS

EVENING...RESULTING IN LARGER 0-2 KM HODOGRAPHS IN WARM SECTOR THAN

EARLIER TODAY. THIS MAY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR STORMS TO BETTER

ORGANIZE LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES WITH AN ATTENDANT INCREASE IN

TORNADO THREAT IN A RELATIVELY SMALL WINDOW BEFORE THE NEAR SFC

LAYER BEGINS TO STABILIZE WITH ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.

..DIAL.. 05/30/2013

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Cell south of Ardmore is now showing tight rotation heading right for Ringling and Healdton, OK.

 

Couplet is maxed out on Wunderground at .5 elevation.

 

How do you get velocity info on the Wundermap?

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  

TORNADO WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  

654 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A  

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  

NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...  

SOUTHERN MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...  

NORTHEASTERN WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...  

 

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT  

 

* AT 650 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF  

CHOUTEAU...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING  

SITUATION!  

 

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...  

CHOUTEAU...LOCUST GROVE...PEGGS AND ROSE.

 

It's a warning like this that confuses me. Is this radar indicated or a confirmed sighting? 

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  BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  TORNADO WARNING  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  654 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...    NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...    SOUTHERN MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...    NORTHEASTERN WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...    * UNTIL 730 PM CDT    * AT 650 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF    CHOUTEAU...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING    SITUATION!    * SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...    CHOUTEAU...LOCUST GROVE...PEGGS AND ROSE.   It's a warning like this that confuses me.  Is this radar indicated or a confirmed sighting? 

It's confirmed by spotters, it's since lifted, watching it on cam.

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Surprised to hear this. A directive went out several months ago that mobile radar obs no longer were to be used in ratings after the El Reno controversy.

That's two in ~10 days now too (Rozel ks the other). We got em both. :P
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Surprised to hear this. A directive went out several months ago that mobile radar obs no longer were to be used in ratings after the El Reno controversy.

 

 

Isn't it hard to establish EF-5 for any tornado that doesn't cross roads or structures w/o measurement?

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