bluewave Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 The models are forecasting a very strong NW LLJ to develop over the region tomorrow in response to the tightening gradient behind the surface low to our NE. The forecast soundings indicate that low level lapse rates are going to steepen during the heating of the day as a cold pocket moves overhead with the closed low. If the mixed layer is deep enough during the day, then we could see some wind gusts above the current model guidance. The NAM soundings indicate that there could be a very deep mixed layer with the potential for some elevated instability. Some trees in full leaf could come down in areas with saturated soils from the recent heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 24, 2013 Author Share Posted May 24, 2013 The GFS has a stronger LLJ than the NAM with 55 kt down to 925 mb during the afternoon with very good mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 if it gets cold enough it could rival 1967 tomorrow...here are some cold May days from the 25th to the 30th... date..............max...min... 5/25...1967....46....42 5/25...1925....53....41 5/26...1907....53....47 5/26...1967....55....42 5/26...1901....53....49 5/27...1961....47....41 5/28...1902....52....47 5/28...1907....57....43 5/29...1884....51....43 5/30...1884....55....42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 The GFS has a stronger LLJ than the NAM with 55 kt down to 925 mb during the afternoon with very good mixing. GFS_3_2013052412_F33_WSPD_925_MB.png 130524173128.gif The GFS would keep strong winds over the NYC area, into early tomorrow night: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 I've never thought about any wind threat, just figured it would be cloudy and chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 25, 2013 Author Share Posted May 25, 2013 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY103 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013...WINDY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING...CTZ005>012-NYZ078>081-177-179-260400-/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0006.130525T2000Z-130526T0400Z/NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN NASSAU-103 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHTEDT TONIGHT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINDADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TOMIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT.* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND LONG ISLAND.* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.* IMPACTS...THESE WINDS COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND SOME POWERLINES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THISSTRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILEVEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 you couldn't ask for a worse start to the weekend......it feels like March today...Windy and cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Robins Reef, reported a wind gust to 50mph, at 11:48am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 This hour. Newark 48mph gust. JFK 45mph gust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Very windy here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Some twigs snapped off today, so probably some gusts near 40 mph here. The sustained wind is probably very low here, but there are periods where the gusts suddenly come out of nowhere, and are quite potent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Some twigs snapped off today, so probably some gusts near 40 mph here. The sustained wind is probably very low here, but there are periods where the gusts suddenly come out of nowhere, and are quite potent. yeah it feels very pre-sandy out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted May 26, 2013 Share Posted May 26, 2013 The following are unofficial observations taken during the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to Highway departments... cooperative observers... Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary is also available on our home Page at weather.Gov/NYC***********************peak wind gust***********************Location Max wind time/date comments gust of mph measurementNew Jersey... Essex County... Newark Airport 48 251 PM 5/25 ASOS ... Hudson County... Bayonne 40 300 PM 5/25 mesonet New York... Anz330... buoy 44039 40 400 PM 5/25 buoy ... Anz335... 2 NW Sands Point 49 445 PM 5/25 Execution Rocks ... Anz338... 1 NE Saint George 52 500 PM 5/25 mesonet ... Anz350... buoy 44017 40 350 PM 5/25 buoy ... Anz355... buoy 44065 40 250 PM 5/25 buoy ... Nassau County... Bayville 47 445 PM 5/25 mesonet Kings Point 47 430 PM 5/25 mesonet 3 E Lido Beach 46 425 PM 5/25 Jones Beach Coast Guard ... Orange County... Montgomery Airport 41 212 PM 5/25 ASOS ... Queens County... NYC/JFK Airport 49 416 PM 5/25 ASOS NYC/La Guardia 45 324 PM 5/25 ASOS Jackson Heights 43 352 PM 5/25 mesonet Breezy Point 41 340 PM 5/25 mesonet ... Staten Island... 1 N Elm Park 50 312 PM 5/25 mesonet ... Suffolk County... Eatons Neck 46 335 PM 5/25 mesonet Islip Airport 40 1219 PM 5/25 ASOS ... Westchester County... White Plains Airport 46 344 PM 5/25 ASOS Ossining 42 333 PM 5/25 Tappen zee light ***********************sustained wind***********************Location wind time/date comments speed of mph measurementNew Jersey... Essex County... Newark Airport 36 209 PM 5/25 ASOS New York... Queens County... NYC/JFK Airport 38 410 PM 5/25 ASOS NYC/La Guardia 36 401 PM 5/25 ASOS ... Westchester County... White Plains Airport 35 308 PM 5/25 ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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