Tropopause_Fold Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 I think he is referring to my comment about New England as a whole sticking out into the Atlantic...one of the reasons I was downplaying the drought threat around our parts. Sultan signals (flooding) seem to be a much bigger threat for our region than droughts with the Atlantic to our south and east. gotcha. i've should have guessed his comment was a jab at someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 3, 2013 Author Share Posted June 3, 2013 gotcha. i've should have guessed his comment was a jab at someone.It wasn't. Protruding into the ocean can help us with moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 speaking of going overboard...big severe day in NE somewhere around the 11th/12th? I'm actually liking thunder chances through mid month in oscillatory pattern en route. Shallowed out eastern trough flexes every 2 to 2 and a half days, and we have cyclical wave migration with active jet in the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Wet begets wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 UKMET really sends an argument in Kevin's favor. Just inferring from the crappy product freebies ... takes a well defined transitioning TC, absorbing it into the baroclinic axis, and that scoots it along the MA/NY border. That would swash some rich DP across the area if that happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 dry begets downpours. LOL--we can't afford no more dryness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Really like the improvement to the new p/c pages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 It strikes me that sustained heat this early is quite rare. Lets turn it around. Do we expect day after day in the 20s in early December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 It strikes me that sustained heat this early is quite rare. Lets turn it around. Do we expect day after day in the 20s in early December? Well we know Kevin does, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 3, 2013 Author Share Posted June 3, 2013 It strikes me that sustained heat this early is quite rare. Lets turn it around. Do we expect day after day in the 20s in early December?No but we do expect quite a bit of snow and if we don't get it we get worried about losing a winter month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 It strikes me that sustained heat this early is quite rare. Lets turn it around. Do we expect day after day in the 20s in early December?No but we do expect quite a bit of snow and if we don't get it we get worried about losing a winter month That's true. Morch sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Have I said how beautiful a day it is? It's worth stating again. Beautiful. 68.3/54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Probably not that interesting to most but caught my eye..110 kt jet up around 200 mb on RAP BUFKIT. Seems a little strong for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 hopefully for Ryan the euro is wrong and he doesn't have to drive 600 miles E to escape ridging. Boo to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 It strikes me that sustained heat this early is quite rare. Lets turn it around. Do we expect day after day in the 20s in early December?1989 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Yeah we knew sticking out into the ocean this turnaround could happen lol you were thinking three-quarters of New England would be on fire by early June, not that it would turn around to flood threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 It strikes me that sustained heat this early is quite rare. Lets turn it around. Do we expect day after day in the 20s in early December? Climate is harder for some to grasp than it is for other folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 look at the 850 mb winds... wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Not going to break the news to my daughter yet, good thing the reception is late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Climate is harder for some to grasp than it is for other folks.climate is a long term average which means 90 in June can happen as easily as 20 in December. Reality is normal happens rarely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Still swamp here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Climate is harder for some to grasp than it is for other folks.climate is a long term average which means 90 in June can happen as easily as 20 in December. Reality is normal happens rarely. Yes. But a high of 20 12-1 is 25 above normal for some. For that reason, it's far less likely vs a month later. Same as heat now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Interesting and exciting discussion from BOX this afternoon with regards to the weekend: BY FRI AMPLIFYING MID/UPPER TROUGH OVER THEMS VLY CAPTURES A TROPICAL WAVE OR INVERTED TROF FROM THE GULF OFMEXICO...THEN ADVECTING NORTHEAST UP THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANSSAT. IMPRESSIVE TROPICAL PLUME WITH THIS TROUGH AS GEFS ENSEMBLESSUGGESTING A CONNECTION AS FAR SOUTH AS CUBA WITH PWAT STD OF +2 TO+3! THUS A FIREHOSE OF WATER UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH A FLOODTHREAT FRI-SAT. IN FACT THERE IS A RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ASTHIS WAVE WITH TROPICAL ORIGINS INTERACTS WITH A NORTHERN STREAMSHORT WAVE. DIFFICULT AT THIS TIME RANGE TO PINPOINT LOCATION OFHEAVIEST RAINFALL. HOWEVER ENSEMBLES SUGGEST THE HEAVIEST RAINFALLMAY OCCUR ACROSS NY STATE BENEATH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET. THISINDICATES THE TROPICAL WAVE MAY BECOME MORE OF A BAROCLINIC LOW ASIT APPROACHES OUR LATITUDE WITH HEAVIEST PRECIP TO THE NORTHWEST OFITS CIRCULATION. IN FACT THE NEW 12Z GEFS OFFER A 20-30% CHANCE OF 4INCHES OF RAIN IN A 48 HR PERIOD FROM 18Z FRI TO 18Z SAT ACROSSNORTHERN NY STATE! THIS IS A VERY STRONG SIGNAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALLGIVEN THE TIME RANGE AND NUMBER OF ENSEMBLES. THE OPERATIONAL 12ZGFS HAS STORM TOTAL 10+ INCHES ACROSS THIS AREA WITH ONLY 1-3 INACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. MEANWHILE THE 12Z ECMWF HAS A SWATH OF3-4 INCHES ACROSS NY STATE INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH 3-4 INCHES ACROSS NORTHWEST MA INTO SOUTHWEST NH. WE WILL HAVETO WATCH THIS CLOSELY AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 QPF from PRE and synoptic is impressive in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 QPF from PRE and synoptic is impressive in NNE. Total SOS signature. We'll see it could be quite impressive given the tropical connection and time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Total SOS signature. We'll see it could be quite impressive given the tropical connection and time of year.need it to speed up 12 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Total SOS signature. We'll see it could be quite impressive given the tropical connection and time of year. Vermont may have some issues...water has been running high for like the last two weeks after a record wet May at BTV (over 120 year data-set). The whole northern third of the state has had like 6-12" of rainfall in the last month...most of it since mid-May. Water tables are high and the ground is saturated. If we do like 2-3" or even more in spots, flooding could be decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 3, 2013 Author Share Posted June 3, 2013 Where are the refreshing dews? Still 66 dew here..Balls stuck to legs doing yard work..towering Cu overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 3, 2013 Author Share Posted June 3, 2013 need it to speed up 12 hrs It'll be over by 8:00am Saturday. Tropical systems always speed up as we get closer. It'll be hauling azz. It also prob comes in earlier Thurs nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 3, 2013 Share Posted June 3, 2013 Vermont may have some issues...water has been running high for like the last two weeks after a record wet May at BTV (over 120 year data-set). The whole northern third of the state has had like 6-12" of rainfall in the last month...most of it since mid-May. Water tables are high and the ground is saturated. If we do like 2-3" or even more in spots, flooding could be decent. I was thinking that as well. The CT River could really see some sharp rises too if the northern half of the basin gets totally drenched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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