BxEngine Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 amazing....and 10 miles east, nothing at all.... Just saw an entire mulched flowerbed float away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Had full sun for about 30 mins which shot me up to 81.6F. Now clouding with convection to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 Latest meso analysis still shows sufficent SBCAPE and shear profiles over the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 NAM had 1.37" of rain for NYC through Sunday morning. Not for NNJ or NYC or anywhere else for that matter, it was awful. 12z NAM was still likely underdone. KDIX radar estimates already showing pockets of estimated precip exceeding 1" over parts of northern NJ. Upton radar agrees. 6z NAM vs 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Not for NNJ or NYC or anywhere else for that matter, it was awful. 12z NAM was still likely underdone. KDIX radar estimates already showing pockets of estimated precip exceeding 1" over parts of northern NJ. Upton radar agrees. 6z NAM vs 12z NAM 12z NAM has 1.37" of rain for NYC through Sunday. End of discussion. 12z NAM from today through Sunday: NYC: 1.37" EWR: 1.50" BDR: 1.33" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 and that area from N NJ through SE NY is getting trained...going to be some incredible amounts there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 12z NAM has 1.37" of rain for NYC through Sunday. End of discussion. 12z NAM from today through Sunday: NYC: 1.37" EWR: 1.50" BDR: 1.33" Why because you said so? You completely ignored my reasoning. This region covers a heck of a lot more area then just NYC. Regardless, the NAM will bust on the low end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 and that area from N NJ through SE NY is getting trained...going to be some incredible amounts there... Parts of the area, primarily western zones it appears, will likely exceed 2-3" with localized heavier amounts if this keeps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Why because you said so? You completely ignored my reasoning. This region covers a heck of a lot more area then just NYC. Regardless, the NAM will bust on the low end. I posted EWR, NYC and ISP soundings. Not a colorful map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 136 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT... WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 215 PM EDT... * AT 132 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BEDFORD...OR NEAR MOUNT KISCO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RIDGEFIELD...GEORGETOWN...DANBURY...BETHEL AND NEWTOWN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 I posted EWR, NYC and ISP soundings. Not a colorful map. My comparison was from the 00z and 06z NAM to the 12z NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 Severe warned cell has a decent couplet with it now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 0.48" of rain in 10 minutes here. Temp plummeted to 72F. Sun came out while it was still raining.Feels like Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 0.48" of rain in 10 minutes here. Temp plummeted to 72F. Sun came out while it was still raining. Feels like Florida. I'm a bit surprised they didn't hoist a flash flood watch with all of the training occuring. We've already had several food advisories and flash flood warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 I'm a bit surprised they didn't hoist a flash flood watch with all of the training occuring. We've already had several food advisories and flash flood warnings.food advisories? but yeah all the training is occurding NW of me. Just gross outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 It's 85F at Mount Vernon and Bronxville is at 72F. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 food advisories? but yeah all the training is occurding NW of me. Just gross outside HAHAHA, MY BAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 It's 85F at Mount Vernon and Bronxville is at 72F. Weird.the one in bronxville is always lower and I bet not working Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Light rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 the ine in bronxville is always lower and I bet not working Mount Vernon didn't have much rainfall and more exposure to sunlight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Pretty sunny here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 We just had a really close CTG strike .........and now bright sunshine and blue skys, go figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Pop up nature of these storms, but it looks a bit more organized recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Looks like a train is about to set up over nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 Pop up nature of these storms, but it looks a bit more organized recently. The shear profiles remain low despite modest instability now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Yeah it's def more of a flash flooding event than severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 We've had enough activity now that we're going to have leftover outflow boundries all over the place which is going to keep everything very active but could locally enhance the shear profiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 It's down to 72F. Rumbling thunder and gusty winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Looks like a train is about to set up over nyc Oh yeah. Gusty windsept downpours right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 just had a gusty downpour move through Edison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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