thunderman Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Cell popping over Harper, KS along the OK/KS line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 First cell SW of ICT already has 40kft tops in only a couple scans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Cell that was just warned in Harper Co. KS rapidly attaining supercellular characteristics...likely the first big storm of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Definitely seeing some backing of the sfc winds per the latest observations from North Central OK and South Central KS. ICT is up to 81/70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Severe Thunderstorm Warning for cell SW of ICT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 I'm at the McDonald's a few hundred feet up the street. Is it a good or bad sign that the tornado hunt team just rolled in?I think they are headed toward OKC. Tho they might go for the developing cell. Think we are going to let it go but it does look nce. Another going up NE of Woodward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 LCLs are not marginal and they won't be marginal. The RAP cannot handle sfc conditions as it almost always overestimates sfc temps at peak heating. Personally, I was skeptical about the RAP and a few other models' backing away from the secondary surface low, as the UL environment seemed to suggest more backed winds...which we are already seeing in S KS (relative to the NAM). The WRF may be closer to the truth in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ensō Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Definitely seeing some backing of the sfc winds per the latest observations from North Central OK and South Central KS. ICT is up to 81/70. Backing is definitely becoming obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 That first cell is tempting, but others might be about to go to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Steve Polley has a nice wall cloud on his live feed with some rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Winds in OK are likely to back significantly in the next few hours as the secondary surface low is already deeper than what the NAM and the "weaker" models showed...large-scale synoptic influence on the mesoscale level are often underestimated...1000 mb is already beginning to emerge in the TX Panhandle... And I think we will see some significant storms near OKC as well due to the gravity wave propagating downstream and instability breaks the cap... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 That first cell is tempting, but others might be about to go to the south. Agree. Trying to stay patient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 This storm has developed really rapidly.. Gone from 40kft to almost 50kft... And is developing a hook... Wall cloud on it from Steve Polley's cam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Lots of scud on SPolley's feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Heading into northern OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Initiation west of OKC is happening now and should be watched VERY closely due to increasing 0-1-km helicity... This is right where the WRF shows initiation of major supercells and really ramps up the tornado threat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Wall cloud on it from Steve Polley's cam. Storm looks to be a right-mover already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 We are going now. You can see them blowing on the sat, as Andy posted the same feed I am using. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Storm looks to be a right-mover already That's going to take it towards the Wichita area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 JD Stewart has something on his, either scud or a lowering base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 We're sitting at I-35 west of Stillwater watching the developing storms near El Reno. One of those should take off soon and we'll probably position to intercept as it approaches I-35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 WER on the cell between Woodward and Alva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 The storm that started near Harper KS could potentially be very severe near Wichita. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 What's with the stuff trying to form in SE KS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 WER on the cell between Woodward and Alva. WER? Do you mean BWER, or is there a difference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadoguy11 Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 Too bad I have to work looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 That cell south of the ICT storm will also probably rapidly develop, it's right along that dying OFB, and in 5000 CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 19, 2013 Share Posted May 19, 2013 KAKE out of Wichita doing streaming video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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