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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS  
533 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHWESTERN LYON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...  
 
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT  
 
* AT 528 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF  
EMPORIA...AND MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
 
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
 
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.  
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL  
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.  
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
AMERICUS...BUSHONG...ALLEN AND ADMIRE.  
 
THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 124 AND 141.  
 

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0707
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0554 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
  
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN KS / SWRN-CNTRL-NERN MO
  
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
  
   VALID 192254Z - 200000Z
  
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
  
   SUMMARY...A TORNADO WATCH WILL NEED TO BE ISSUED OVER THE NEXT HR OR
   SO DOWNSTREAM OF THE EXISTING TORNADO WATCHES FOR PARTS OF FAR SERN
   KS AND SWRN MO NEWD INTO NERN MO.
  
   DISCUSSION...THE AIRMASS OVER MUCH OF MO IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE PER
   THE 20Z SGF RAOB /1600 J/KG MLCAPE/.  THE LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILE IS
   FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS THE LLJ INTENSIFIES THIS EVENING /50+ KT/
   AND BECOME FAVORABLE FOR LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES/MESOVORTICES.
   DESPITE SOME DECREASE OF DEWPOINTS NOTED OVER SWRN MO INTO THE LOWER
   60S DUE TO MIXING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...LOW LEVEL MOIST
   ADVECTION SHOULD YIELD AN INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER BY THIS
   EVENING.  IT IS UNCERTAIN WHETHER MID LEVEL CONVECTION ALONG THE
   KS/MO BORDER CAN ROOT IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER IN THE NEAR-TERM.  IF
   THIS OCCURS...A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON.  OTHERWISE...A
   TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED ONCE STORMS OVER E-CNTRL KS MOVE
   INTO CLOSER PROXIMITY THE MO/KS BORDER.  IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO
   THREAT...SWATHS OF DMGG WINDS /POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT/ WILL LIKELY
   BE THE MORE WIDESPREAD THREAT AS STORMS GROW UPSCALE THIS
   EVENING/TONIGHT.
  
   ..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 05/19/2013
  
  
   ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...
 

 

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Still quite a few hours left, but it seems as though the tornado threat has weakened, at least for a short time... Obviously a big damaging wind event developing in Kansas...

The parameters E/NE of the Norman cell are off the charts, the tornado threat hasn't weakened. In fact, the Norman cell is about to go nuts, red TVS on lvl 2. Big hook forming.

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