harrisale Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Planning on chasing today again but some serious cloud cover right now has me concerned for lack of real good instability. Basically agree with the above discussion in an Ontario context. Marginal threat as of right now unless convective debris clears out real soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 3 days of decent potential but not much action for SeMI/Detroit. Cloud debris this morning was disheartening. Hope we get a more active June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 All sun right now, but it looks like that's going away soon. Hopefully we can get some CAPE nonetheless as we have a nice setup for the afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 All sun right now, but it looks like that's going away soon. Hopefully we can get some CAPE nonetheless as we have a nice setup for the afternoon The RAP has only 750-1000 J/kg for CAPE for northern Indiana and slightly less CAPE for NW Ohio this afternoon. NW Ohio trying to avoid interesting weather once again! http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=RAP&grid=255&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=05&model_dd=22&model_init_hh=16&fhour=04¶meter=CAPE&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Starting to clear out here. There may be hope, yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Things have really cleared out over S. ON. Hopefully this will create a better storm environment. Temperature jumped quickly to near 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Weird significant weather advisory from GRR. ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...AT 210 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING ALONG ANDSOUTH OF A WARM FRONT FROM NEAR PENTWATER TO HARRISON. ADDITIONALSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING IN A LINE FROM NEARIONIA...SOUTHWEST TO PAW PAW. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT AROUND 25MPH.IN ADDITION LOCALLY A HALF INCH OF RAIN COULD ACCOMPANY THEHEAVIER SHOWERS AND STORMS. THIS COULD LEAD TO URBAN AND POORDRAINAGE FLOODING.WHILE NO FUNNEL CLOUDS OR TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT THISTIME...THE METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS TODAY SUPPORT THE RAPID ANDSUDDEN DEVELOPMENT OF FUNNEL CLOUDS AND EVEN BRIEF WEAKTORNADOES... WHICH MAY APPEAR WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. THESE MAYEVEN OCCUR FROM JUST RAIN SHOWERS...WITHOUT A THUNDERSTORM ANDLIGHTNING IN THE VICINITY.IF A FUNNEL CLOUD OR TORNADO IS SPOTTED...GET INSIDE A STURDYSTRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. PLEASE REPORT FUNNEL CLOUDS OR TORNADOES TOLOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Things have really cleared out over S. ON. Hopefully this will create a better storm environment. Temperature jumped quickly to near 80. I have a good chance at being able to chase today...cleared nicely and is now really sunny here in Hamilton. The Severe watch south of Lake Erie excluded Western New York...not sure if they think the threat this far north is low now cause of the morning cloud cover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued by EC. Interesting that they didn't include Niagara and Haldimand while SPC is considering a Severe watch for adjacent areas. 791 WWCN11 CWTO 221924 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3:24 PM EDT WEDNESDAY 22 MAY 2013. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO... SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR: =NEW= ELGIN =NEW= LONDON - MIDDLESEX =NEW= SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK =NEW= OXFORD - BRANT =NEW= CITY OF HAMILTON =NEW= HALTON - PEEL =NEW= HURON - PERTH =NEW= WATERLOO - WELLINGTON =NEW= DUFFERIN - INNISFIL =NEW= SAUGEEN SHORES - KINCARDINE - SOUTHERN BRUCE COUNTY =NEW= HANOVER - DUNDALK - SOUTHERN GREY COUNTY =NEW= OWEN SOUND - BLUE MOUNTAINS - NORTHERN GREY COUNTY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THIS IS AN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS OR HEAVY RAINFALL..MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR UPDATED BULLETINS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== CONDITIONS ARE FAVOURABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF BUT TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL BE THREATS. THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF A TORNADO. REFER TO YOUR LOCAL PUBLIC FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/OSPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 DTX, GRR still on board according to their latest AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Some popcorn in semi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Some popcorn in semi ? No idea where u seeing this unless your talking about the Saginaw Valley north of Flint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 And that severe warned storm headed for d-town? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Based on the radar, it doesn't appear to have much lightning with it. But I guess anything's better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Damn if we had 1500 CAPE today this might be a go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 at first glance that looks like a fast moving garden variety at best lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Low topped city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 That line in NE Indiana wants to go severe so bad. It has been very sunny the last hour here in NW Ohio so we'll see what happens. Parts of it are already showing 55 mph velocities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 That line in NE Indiana wants to go severe so bad. It has been very sunny the last hour here in NW Ohio so we'll see what happens. Parts of it are already showing 55 mph velocities Definitely thinking that's the next round. Gonna have to expand southward to get most of NW OH though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Definitely thinking that's the next round. Gonna have to expand southward to get most of NW OH though. It is. Hopefully those cells to south can get a little juice but again weak instability and low shear doesn't make me think highly of our chances for anything more than marble size hail and a nice gust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 under a t-storm warning now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Current Satellite Image. It's a wrap, onto the next event... under a t-storm warning now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 So a few isolated wind reports showed up. It still wasn't nearly as active as a day as it was forecasted to be. But thanks for the troll bump anyway. I did enjoy my 5 minute gusty rain shower earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Nice one. I guess that severe warning I had was over before it started too lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 under a t-storm warning now... latest radar pass says the storms blown its load just a bit too soon EDIT: un-warned Very very little instability out there...impressive what we've gotten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 So a few isolated wind reports showed up. It still wasn't nearly as active as a day as it was forecasted to be. But thanks for the troll bump. I did enjoy my 5 minute gusty rain shower earlier. Seeing as there's the potential to be under two severe tstorm warnings before the day is over, I would just eat my crow if I were you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Seeing as there's the potential to be under two severe tstorm warnings before the day is over... I don't think so... SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI752 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013MIZ076-083-230115-MONROE-WAYNE-752 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...AT 749 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATEDSTRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES WEST OFCANTON TO 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF DUNDEE TO 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OFDUNDEE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEFMODERATE DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... OTTAWA LAKE BY 805 PM EDT... PETERSBURG BY 810 PM EDT... DUNDEE BY 815 PM EDT... IDA AND CANTON BY 820 PM EDT... MAYBEE AND LIVONIA BY 825 PM EDT... MONROE AND ROMULUS BY 835 PM EDT... TAYLOR AND FLAT ROCK BY 845 PM EDT...GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOWAROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEKSHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.$$MANN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 I don't think so... SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 752 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013 MIZ076-083-230115- MONROE-WAYNE- 752 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... AT 749 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES WEST OF CANTON TO 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF DUNDEE TO 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUNDEE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF MODERATE DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... OTTAWA LAKE BY 805 PM EDT... PETERSBURG BY 810 PM EDT... DUNDEE BY 815 PM EDT... IDA AND CANTON BY 820 PM EDT... MAYBEE AND LIVONIA BY 825 PM EDT... MONROE AND ROMULUS BY 835 PM EDT... TAYLOR AND FLAT ROCK BY 845 PM EDT... GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$ MANN because SWSs are never upgraded right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 because SWSs are never upgraded right? Lol. They were SWS'd before being warned. Just because it was unwarned doesnt mean it can't be re-warned. Silly powerball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Just jerkin' your chain. I always lol at premature bust calls and I've been guilty on multiple occasions. Huntington was the south end of that line. As it rolled through late this afternoon, I had to run up northeast of FWA on business. I basically stayed right with the line as it moved northeast. It looked cool and you could see it wanting to go, but just didn't have the juice, at least down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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