free_man Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 It's close to snowing here. Not sure how close, but 37.8F and raining steadily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Wow. I thought the Catskills looked like they were getting bombed earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Snow is king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 You know more than me. I'm hoping NNW flow will help out in th lower 3000'. Yeah... what is fascinating is that if this were January, this would likely be a huge event for BTV and eastern suburbs. The northerly flow with an ever so slight westerly component is still causing meso-scale precipitation, but its not over the higher terrain where they could hit the snow levels. At all levels of the radar, the scans are showing the precipitation is west of the spine and over the eastern Champlain Valley. So the wind and moisture is producing some low level convergence and enhancing precipitation even in this dryslot (which will fill in quickly here it looks like)... but the north winds are causing the enhancement to happen west of the higher elevations if that makes sense. Usually this would be ok with westerly winds causing that precipitation to drift eastward over the high terrain, but with northerly winds, its likely just blowing the precipitation further south down the eastern Champlain Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Whoa! What's the elevation there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Well the QPF certainly was there... Mansfield COOP has picked up 4.9" of liquid equiv in the past 48 hours. That's a lot of water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Wow. I thought the Catskills looked like they were getting bombed earlier today. Hunter mountain website shows nothing at midmountain and the summit cam is fogged up. http://www.huntermtn.com/huntermtn/webcams.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Updated Coles Pond image... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Well the QPF certainly was there... Mansfield COOP has picked up 4.9" of liquid equiv in the past 48 hours. That's a lot of water. 12z Euro had the party in NE VT 00z-6z, so not over yet . Just need your extra 0.3" with good temps after dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 I wonder if starksboro cashes in pfreak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 The higher elevation northern NH RWIS sites are all snowing now. Echo Lake 33F Lost River 34F Lafayette 34F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 3800 elevation, 12-18 reported in the Catskills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Updated Coles Pond image... Wow great pics! Enjoy it up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Hunter mountain website shows nothing at midmountain and the summit cam is fogged up. http://www.huntermtn.com/huntermtn/webcams.aspx I just googled it and that Becker Hollow Trail goes up to over 4,000ft at the top of Hunter Mountain. For all we know that photo could be (and likely is) from like 3,900ft or something where I'd say that snowfall is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 I just googled it and that Becker Hollow Trail goes up to over 4,000ft at the top of Hunter Mountain. For all we know that photo could be (and likely is) from like 3,900ft or something where I'd say that snowfall is possible.Actually corrected just below 3800 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 The higher elevation northern NH RWIS sites are all snowing now. Echo Lake 33F Lost River 34F Lafayette 34F 32 in Pittsburg but I'm not seeing snow on any of the cams that are working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 I wonder if starksboro cashes in pfreak Yeah, I don't know. I'm using the 2,100ft web cam at Bolton Valley as a barometer and until this is white, nothing on the west slope is accumulating below 2,000ft. I'm not going to lie, I thought this would be snow covered by now, approaching 00z. 12z NAM/GFS were too cold in the lower levels. I'm actually a little disappointed they aren't plowing up at Bolton right now. I really thought they had a good shot... but it seems like more like 2,300-2,500ft is where snow cover starts. I think Coles Pond is at 2,300ft(?) where it looks like they are around 1". But just getting flakes down to 1,500ft and even mixing down to 1,000ft is a huge win on May 25th...it just didn't get as ridiculous as it looked like it could have. It looked like there was a potential for like 12-20" amounts above 2,500ft based on the model runs yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Hunter ski summit at 3200ft is 33f looks like that's the snow line. The real mountian I think is over 4k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 BTV's record low max for the day was 51F (1921, 1925) and so far today it has not gotten higher than 46F (12:01am). BTV is going to crush the record low max by like 5F today. Updated AFD with snowfall expectations... Dusting-3" in the 1,000-1,500ft range would be quite impressive if it occurs. Looks like they are extending the best orographic flow through at least 18z tomorrow, which fits better with the slower movement of the storm and winds taking their sweet time turning NW. Tomorrow morning in that 9z-18z time frame may actually be the best snow accum period of the whole event if the winds go NW and combined with diurnal minimum in temperatures around sunrise. .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...AS OF 500 PM EDT SATURDAY...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS BECOMEVERTICALLY STACKED OVER THE GULF OF MAINE. REGION IS CURRENTLYBEING IMPACTED BY DRY SLOT MOVING INTO VERMONT AND CUTTING OFFPRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME. WINDS HAVE BEEN STRONG OUT OF THENORTH...GUSTING TO ALMOST 30 KTS. LOW WILL VERY SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHOVERNIGHT. SYSTEM TRANSITIONS FROM LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC LIFT TOMESOSCALE FEATURES DRIVEN BY THE TERRAIN. GFS/NAM SHOWS VERYFAVORABLE 850 TO 700MB RH AND LLVL WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO THEMORNING FOR ENHANCED PRECIP ACROSS THE CPV...WESTERNSLOPES...AND NORTH/CENTRAL MTNS OF VT. THIS FAVORABLEMOISTURE/LIFT IS PRESENT THRU 18Z SUNDAY...BEFORE FINALLYWEAKENING BY EVENING. GENERALLY ANOTHER HALF AN INCH TO INCH AND AQUARTER OF QPF EXPECTED...WITH HARDLY ANY PRECIP IN OUR FARWESTERN ZONES. THINKING CPV CONVERGENCE AND UPSLOPE FLW WL HELPTO ENHANCE QPF AMOUNTS ACRS THE WESTERN SLOPES AND CPV. THIS WILLCAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON LOCAL WATERWAYS...WITH SOME MAIN STEMFLOODING POSSIBLE. SEE HYDRO SECTION BELOW FOR MORE INFO.THE TOUGHEST PART OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE SNOW LEVELS ANDPOTENTIAL IMPACTS. WE HAD SOME SNOW REPORTS TODAY AS LOW AS 1000FEET...THOUGH NOT REALLY STICKING. THIS IS EXTREMELY TRICKY TODETERMINE...ESPECIALLY IN LATE MAY...WITH A VERY HIGH SUN ANGLE.ABOVE 2000 FEET THERE WAS SOME DECENT ACCUMULATION...AND SPOTTYDOWN TO 1000 FEET. THE SNOW SEEMS TO HAVE BEEN VERY INTENSITYDRIVEN. EXPECT A DUSTING TO 3 INCHES FROM 1000-1500 FEET. ABOVE2000 FEET...3 TO 8 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST POINTS HAVING UP TO AFOOT OF SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Hunter ski summit at 3200ft is 33f looks like that's the snow line. The real mountian I think is over 4k Yeah it is just below 4,100ft...second highest in the Catskills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Over to snow at Whitefield at only 1073' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Seeing some blue sky up there. 38F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 28 at Bretton Woods Elevation: 1663ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Whoa those are some low snow levels in northern NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Whoa those are some low snow levels in northern NH. Mt Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Whoa those are some low snow levels in northern NH. Yeah Whitefield seems to be the coldest spot for the elevation.Surface temps in this storm are hard to track and don't correlate with the coldest 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 New surface center GOM cranking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 37 in Worcester. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Loop this, May 25th? http://www.wxforecaster.com/Satellite/New_England.html# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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