CT Rain Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Yeah that's a good point, Scott. I think we'll probably get a NNW flow... but it will almost be colocated with the best deformation so a bit of an upslope assist. And btw Whiteface just tweeted out they have 18" of new!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Possible up in Litchfield County above 1200 ft I think. So not much chance of any snow mixing in with the rain in NE CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Had some sleet/graupel down here on Long island...im sure Vermont will clean up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 So not much chance of any snow mixing in with the rain in NE CT? No... probably no chance. Looks like there's actually a warming trend above the boundary layer by 00z... some warm air getting sucked west with the TROWAL. West of the CT River Valley is where that feature isn't showing up so with some boundary layer cooling and cooler air aloft they could do it. Norfolk coop may wind up with a T tomorrow morning lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 18 new, damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 No... probably no chance. Looks like there's actually a warming trend above the boundary layer by 00z... some warm air getting sucked west with the TROWAL. West of the CT River Valley is where that feature isn't showing up so with some boundary layer cooling and cooler air aloft they could do it. Norfolk coop may wind up with a T tomorrow morning lol. lol oh well even a trace in Norfolk would be pretty amazing for memorial day weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Yeah that's a good point, Scott. I think we'll probably get a NNW flow... but it will almost be colocated with the best deformation so a bit of an upslope assist. And btw Whiteface just tweeted out they have 18" of new!!!! Wow! Yeah they have been in the deformation band all last night and today...and another 1,000ft certainly helps, with their summit parking lot around 4,800ft. Yeah, there will be some slight turning of the winds below H85 so upslope assist. An awesome event, but in the interest of the most extreme solution, it would be better if the lows were further north, giving a more pure NW flow into the mountains. The 18z RAP gives a bit more westerly component by 12z tomorrow morning...still only really NNW through even at daybreak tomorrow. FYI- On the Stowe web cam I can make out accumulations down to what looks like 2500ft. Not the easiest to see, but I can make it out from the two vantage points. Still sweet to see white trails on May 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 pfreak great point about that upslope....I don't often see a low pressure just NNE of boston give much if any upslope? Looks like the Adirondacks could take the cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Mount Mansfield... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Looks like the Adirondacks could take the cake. I wonder if ski sheep is up in lake placid? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Mount Mansfield... Are you up there or did you decide to stay in Woodstock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 I wonder if akd is at whiteface, actually he is def skiing somewhere, just wonder if it's dacks or greens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 That 1967 storm was really cold. Brought a trace of snow to BDL with morning temps in the 30s in R+Graupel reported on LI and sleet in NW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Are you up there or did you decide to stay in Woodstock? Woodstock... I was really looking to go up if I felt confident of a real historic event with like a few inches at 1,000-1,500ft. The potential seemed there yesterday and the day before when the NAM and GFS were spitting out like 0.8-1.0" QPF as snow at MPV/MVL. Like these weenie solutions do not look like they will happen like it looked possible yesterday when H85 temps were progged -4C to -5C. Still an awesome event, but this is what would've made me go back north: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 I wonder if akd is at whiteface, actually he is def skiing somewhere, just wonder if it's dacks or greens Greens/Mansfield is my bet. That's usually his groups default location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Graupel reported on LI and sleet in NW CT Where'd you see the sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Snowing at the base of Mount Snow now in W Dover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Sheet drizzle day on the fields in dover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Jay Peak posted this photo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Where'd you see the sleet? FB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 To really weenie out, the BTV radar right now is awesome. You have the mid/upper level dryslot moving over the region as the main precipitation shield moves westward into New York...so the precipitation forming in the mid/upper levels is moving from east to west. Then there is the moist boundary layer and strong north winds funneling down the Champlain Valley, causing Champlain Valley Convergence and weak upslope assist...so under the mid level precip, there is the low level precip that is cruising north to south. Although the CVC zone and weak upslope assist is generating some low level precipitation, it is not nearly as robust as it would be if the winds were northwesterly as opposed to due north. Without that low level NW flow producing precipitation, we aren't getting that good upslope enhanced cooling and heavier feeder/seeder precipitation along the western slopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 No... probably no chance. Looks like there's actually a warming trend above the boundary layer by 00z... some warm air getting sucked west with the TROWAL. West of the CT River Valley is where that feature isn't showing up so with some boundary layer cooling and cooler air aloft they could do it. Norfolk coop may wind up with a T tomorrow morning lol. I would take that bet...I just came from Union and it was 40° there, the same temp as Norfolk. I'd agree that they probably won't have a T on ground but they could see flakes falling, especially places above 1000'. We'll see if it occurs below 1000'.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 I would take that bet...I just came from Union and it was 40° there, the same temp as Norfolk. I'd agree that they probably won't have a T on ground but they could see flakes falling, especially places above 1000'. We'll see if it occurs below 1000'.... Yeah.... looking at the soundings you can see a layer of warmer air moving in around 900mb later tonight from BDL on east as the TROWAL rotates in. That's why I think it's pretty marginal for most places in NE CT. A better chance in the NW Hills where the forcing is a bit stronger for some precip through the night and where temps ~3000-4000 ft AGL are a bit cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 BTV PNS has 7.5 new on the summit of Mansfield. Not sure if that's from the coop or not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 BTV PNS has 7.5 new on the summit of Mansfield. Not sure if that's from the coop or not? Yeah probably from the 4pm-ish daily COOP reading. That's impressive for the coop, but as I said they are most accurate during wet snow events as the flakes find there way into the rain gauge. I'll be curious what the depth is... I'll throw a fit if they report a snow depth higher than the "new" snow reported, lol. Here's the PNS for everyone else: PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTSPOTTER REPORTSNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT512 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE STORM THAT HAS BEENAFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAYDEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE AND COCORAHS OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIAFOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE ATWEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENTVERMONT...CHITTENDEN COUNTY... MT. MANSFIELD 7.5 430 PM 5/25 SUMMIT...ORLEANS COUNTY... 5 WSW JAY 4.5 507 PM 5/25 JAY PEAK SUMMIT 2 NE TROY 2.0 315 PM 5/25 950 FEET $$MUCCILLI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 With the 7.5" reported at the summit co-operative observing station, that beats the 6.3" from the May 25-26, 1967 storm. I'll have to do some further looking but I think that would be the most significant late-season storm on record then, and we'll likely get more overnight up there. It looks like accumulating snow made it down to 2,300-2,500ft today based on the Stowe web cams and my knowledge of the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 It's a good thing this was not winter, eastern weenies dryslutted to oblivion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Lol OES streamers off BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFan Posted May 25, 2013 Share Posted May 25, 2013 Just left Fenway. Major cold hands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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