ackwaves Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Big sailboat race on Nantucket Sound this saturday called the Figawi. Is the wind going to be stiff out of the S(west track), L and V(overhead track) or stiff N(east track)? If the wind gets up over 30mph, there are always blown out sails and sometimes dismasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Big sailboat race on Nantucket Sound this saturday called the Figawi. Is the wind going to be stiff out of the S(west track), L and V(overhead track) or stiff N(east track)? If the wind gets up over 30mph, there are always blown out sails and sometimes dismasting. I'd say SSW possibly, but it's close to having the low hang overhead with variable winds. Maybe a gust to 20kts or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 At least some snow has entered BTV's grids above 2,500ft... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 I'd say SSW possibly, but it's close to having the low hang overhead with variable winds. Maybe a gust to 20kts or so. So a track over Block Is to the Canal I guess. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Phil said the boundary shifted from CHH at 00z to the canal at 12z on the Euro so it's tickling west FTWens are a little east of the op.NAM is even interesting for the higher els around here. Maybe some cat paws for Gunstock and wxeye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 So a track over Block Is to the Canal I guess. Thanks. Well it's sort of hanging out over the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 ens are a little east of the op. NAM is even interesting for the higher els around here. Maybe some cat paws for Gunstock and wxeye? Not going to see this prog too often on Memorial Day Weekend... either way it is just going to be brutal with rain and temps in the upper 30s to upper 40s across the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Well it's sort of hanging out over the Cape. Thanks much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 ens are a little east of the op. NAM is even interesting for the higher els around here. Maybe some cat paws for Gunstock and wxeye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 ens are a little east of the op. NAM is even interesting for the higher els around here. Maybe some cat paws for Gunstock and wxeye? Either are fine for Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Some of these progs are crazy. Just a sick airmass to have in a coastal for Memorial Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Looking forward to the NAM clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Man, its just raw even in the lower elevations with upper 30s and rain over most of NH/VT on the NAM...elevations in WNW NH and NE VT getting snow. Even northern ORH county in the upper 30s with H85s of -3C with light precip...and heavier shower at -3C could do the groupel or frozen core type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 BTV AFD sounds good... snow above 2,500ft at this point is probably a good bet. I forgot the marathon is on Sunday morning... that's going to be absolutely raw. .SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...AS OF 454 PM EDT THURSDAY...MODELS ARE CONSISTENT WITH THE FRONTBECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY ASSIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE DIVES SOUTH FROM THE GREAT LAKES TOWARD THEMID ATLANTIC COAST WITH OVER 100M 12H HGT FALLS REACHING THEDELMARMA AREA BY 00Z SAT THEN ROTATE NORTH TO CAPE COD BY 00Z SUNDAY.SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT OVER SOUTHERN NEWENGLAND THEN WAITS FOR THE UPPER LOW TO BECOME VERTICALLY STACKED.STRONG QG FORCING, WARM MOISTURE ADVECTION, AND STRONG LOW-MIDLEVEL FRONTOGENESIS TO COMBINE TO BRING RAIN TO THE NORTH COUNTRY.TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COLD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITHTEMPERATURES DROPPING THROUGH THE 50S IN THE VALLEYS AND INTO THE40S IN THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY. COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUETHROUGH SATURDAY WITH LOTS OF CLOUDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGHSATURDAY NIGHT AS UPPER LOW CUTS OFF OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.EXPECTING LOW TEMPERATURE MOSTLY IN THE 40S BUT SOME UPPER 30SPOSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. HAVE ALSO PUT A BIT OF WET SNOW AT THEMOUNTAIN SUMMITS (ABOVE 2500 FT) ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT. IT WOULDAPPEAR THAT ANOTHER 0.75-1.50" OF STEADIER LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINCAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...AS OF 454 PM EDT THURSDAY...UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILLBEGIN TO MOVE AWAY ON SUNDAY...HOW FAST REMAINS SOMEWHAT OF AQUESTION. LEANED TOWARD THE EMCWF WHICH IS NOT GREAT NEWS FOR THETHOUSANDS OF PEOPLE AROUND SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE MARATHON IN BURLINGTON.KEPT A HIGH CHANCE OF SHOWERS GOING ON SUNDAY, HIGHEST IN THEMORNING, BUT THERE COULD BE PERIODS WITHOUT SHOWERS AS WELL.RIGHT NOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 40S SUNDAY MORNING AND AND LOWTO MID 50S IN THE AFTERNOON LOOK TO BE QUITE COLD FOR MAY WITHBREEZY NORTH WINDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Interestingly....maybe a prelude of things to come? BAX north of Detroit reported 4sm -SN a little while ago. I noticed the Intellicast Radar showed a little blip of blue over there and sure enough the ASOS did report -SN in the middle of the afternoon on May 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Interestingly....maybe a prelude of things to come? BAX north of Detroit reported 4sm -SN a little while ago. I noticed the Intellicast Radar showed a little blip of blue over there and sure enough the ASOS did report -SN in the middle of the afternoon on May 23rd.I don't buy snow the ob, but it's definitely raw out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Maple Mauler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 That is incredible model sounding to be sure. Birch Buster or Maple Mauler are both great terms for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 I don't buy snow the ob, but it's definitely raw out there. I did think it was odd with a temp of 39F... but the visibility was consistently 10sm -RN then dropped to 4sm with the snow ob, so I figured maybe it was right. You think the whole thing was bogus or it was just some heavier drizzle/fog that might have caused the vis drop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2013 Author Share Posted May 23, 2013 man..lots of in this thread today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 Maple Mauler. MVL.gif That has west slope crusher written all over it... judging by the change in wind, there's an inversion right near ridge-top on the Spine. That NW flow in the lower levels will get shoved up into the Spine but NE winds above ridgetop will keep that upslope enhancement/cooling right on the west slopes with no propagation east of the spine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 man..lots of in this thread today See, even the chance for snow (any time of the year) will bring about more weather discussion than any amount of humidity I do say I'm jealous of you guys in SNE with the great met input during the winter. Even though I won't be around for whatever happens, I do like that Will/ORH will be in the area as it has him paying attention to N.VT weather more than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted May 23, 2013 Share Posted May 23, 2013 See, even the chance for snow (any time of the year) will bring about more weather discussion than any amount of humidity I do say I'm jealous of you guys in SNE with the great met input during the winter. Even though I won't be around for whatever happens, I do like that Will/ORH will be in the area as it has him paying attention to N.VT weather more than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 I did think it was odd with a temp of 39F... but the visibility was consistently 10sm -RN then dropped to 4sm with the snow ob, so I figured maybe it was right. You think the whole thing was bogus or it was just some heavier drizzle/fog that might have caused the vis drop?850s weren't even below 0C in the Thumb at the time. It's an AWOS so they're prone to false -SN obs in that 3-6C range with heavier drizzle. Intellicast popped up the blue shadings simply because of the ob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 2013-05-23 19.19.09-1.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 2013-05-23 19.19.09-1.jpgOmg that is as perfect as it gets, Will on the Gondola at Stowe looking for flakes, any flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 That Do Is awesome, looks like he is the lead singer for the Rockabillys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 2013-05-23 19.19.09-1.jpgOmg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 2013-05-23 19.19.09-1.jpg Man, thats right up there with the pic Ekster made of me sucking on the exhaust pipe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 24, 2013 Share Posted May 24, 2013 18z GFS came in a bit warmer, but still has just an insane CCB/deformation over N VT. I would still think that is destrcution at 2,000 feet in the region...also a very moist NNW BL flow during the most intense precip which would mean the N Greens upslope zone would absolutely clean up and likely be colder than model guidance shows...esp the GFS which doesn't have the reoslution for that type of thing. I would like to see the 00z suite come in bullish before actually forecasting solid snow for where I'll be chasing (potentially chasing that is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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