HurricaneJosh Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 I think spared Japan means more than wind, they were pretty devastated by mudslides and floods. Ah, OK-- gotcha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 Ah, OK-- gotcha. How hawt is this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 How hawt is this Totes! Posted about it on Facebook-- so hawt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Hunter Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 Yeah wind is rarely a problem in Japan (as Josh got the PERFECT example of on his trip) but the rain is always a potential troublemaker. Hopefully it stays far enough south to spare them the worst, especial Izu-oshima which got hammered by those devastating land slides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 2013OCT23 171300 7.3 887.9 +1.4 149.0 7.2 7.2 7.2 NO LIMIT ON OFF 12.30 -77.81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Another completed ERC and it appears that Lekima is on its way to looking more annular (note the distinct lack of outer rainbands). Its not there on Satellite imagery yet (still too much cloud debris in the eye) but it might looks better by later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Another completed ERC and it appears that Lekima is on its way to looking more annular (note the distinct lack of outer rainbands). Its not there on Satellite imagery yet (still too much cloud debris in the eye) but it might looks better by later tonight. I noticed it was occasionally had an annular appearance yesterday and this morning. looks like it is trying to form a large. IR now does show a large eyewall trying to form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Hunter Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 Francisco and Lekima whizzing off to the NE now, GFS 12z and 18z showing 3 more tropical cyclones over the next 2 weeks, non stop action if those forecasts verify! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 28, 2013 Share Posted October 28, 2013 Francisco and Lekima whizzing off to the NE now, GFS 12z and 18z showing 3 more tropical cyclones over the next 2 weeks, non stop action if those forecasts verify! You forgot to mention the 00Z GFS hawtness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Check out Typhoon Krosa in the WPAC... it's probably the first near-annular TC in the SCS I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 I split the Haiyan discussion to its own thread... clearly, this is/will be an event that will be looked back upon for quite a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Looks like a new system is beginning to find its origins way the frick down there almost on the equator. Definitely deserves to keep an eye on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Wow, look at all that vorticity! How does that happen at 3N!? Looks like a new system is beginning to find its origins way the frick down there almost on the equator. Definitely deserves to keep an eye on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Wow, look at all that vorticity! How does that happen at 3N!? Looks like a Mixed Rossby-Gravity Wave may be having some play in the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 A guess, no Coriolis involved, maybe an abnormally strong low pressure South of the equator. Maybe almost a second low developing South of the equator or just a surge of Easterlies.. New Guinea may interfere with that second TC developing if that is what is driving this.. This will have to gain ground, I'd think, another couple of degrees to get another Coriolis induced vorticity to maintain. Edit: Explanation above looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Ya, seems like it would have to be some sort of equatorial wave. Rossby is pretty much nil at that latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Ya, seems like it would have to be some sort of equatorial wave. Rossby is pretty much nil at that latitude. It would be an Equatorial Rossby Wave, which are very different than the Rossby Waves of the Mid-Latitudes. Looks to be a classic case. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/mjd/papers/MRGsubmit.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 It would be an Equatorial Rossby Wave, which are very different than the Rossby Waves of the Mid-Latitudes. Looks to be a classic case. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/mjd/papers/MRGsubmit.pdf Excellent paper. Thanks for the pointer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 90W's low level vorticity seems to be quite strong now, but still looks pretty elongated east to west. Doesn't look like it has enough time to develop into anything intense prior to impacting the Philippines to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Still not sold that 90W/Zoraida has a closed circulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 It appears that there could be a tropical system affecting the Philippines by the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 7, 2014 Share Posted January 7, 2014 It appears that there could be a tropical system affecting the Philippines by the weekend. aaaaa.png aaaaaa.png Of course it would take it right over the Leyte Gulf... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 It appears now that this system will have a hard time forming into anything more than a tropical depression, but it will still bring torrential rains to most of Eastern and Northern Mindanao. Below is the 24 hour rainfall prediction based on the 00Z GFS. This could be a serious situation regardless of the strength. The 60 hour accumulated rainfall forecast between now and Saturday indicates some isolated areas may receive up to 15 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Looks like we now have a tropical depression. Agaton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 This system will just not go away. In Mindanao Tropical Depression Agaton has left 40 dead and has displaced over 160,000 people so far and the heaviest rains the next 24 to 36 hours will fall in areas that have already received over 25 inches in the past week. http://www.rappler.com/nation/48283-agaton-death-toll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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