Ensō Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Anybody got any chaser links to watch the storm in TX? http://www.chasertv.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 What exactly does gate to gate mean? It means the combination of winds going into the radar sight and away from the radar sight usually in red and green and the sum of the rotational winds at the mean is the GtoG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 NWS Fort Worth @NWSFortWorth1m 734PM Tornado confirmed near Eliasville! Seek shelter now!! #txwx #tornado #young #stephens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 FWD continues Tornado Warning for Stephens, Young [TX] till 8:00 PM CDT ...AT 734 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS AND DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A TORNADO JUST NORTH OF ELIASVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Everyone who appreciates Plains storms should be glued to Charles Edwards' stream right now. Textbook structure with a jaw-droppingly beautiful funnel (likely tornado) continues. Reminds me a bit of a shot from an early tornado on the 5/29/04 Harper Co. storm. Easily the most photogenic scene of the year thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Man, the shot Charles Edwards has right now is just beautiful. Edit: Ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Yeah that is some phenomenal structure on that cell, tornado narrowing again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Everyone who appreciates Plains storms should be glued to Charles Edwards' stream right now. Textbook structure with a jaw-droppingly beautiful funnel (likely tornado) continues. Reminds me a bit of a shot from an early tornado on the 5/29/04 Harper Co. storm. Easily the most photogenic scene of the year thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Everyone who appreciates Plains storms should be glued to Charles Edwards' stream right now. Textbook structure with a jaw-droppingly beautiful funnel (likely tornado) continues. Reminds me a bit of a shot from an early tornado on the 5/29/04 Harper Co. storm. Easily the most photogenic scene of the year thus far. Any screen grabs for us mobile/no flash users?! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Yeah you can see the occlusion on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 It means the combination of winds going into the radar sight and away from the radar sight usually in red and green and the sum of the rotational winds at the mean is the GtoG Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Looks like a split on the NE side trying to occur? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 House near Eliasville took a direct hit per FD, unknown on damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX757 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON.....DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE......REMARKS..0751 PM TORNADO ELIASVILLE 32.95N 98.75W05/17/2013 STEPHENS TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUEHOUSE NEAR ELIASVILLE TOOK DIRECT HIT FROM TORNADO. NODETAILS YET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Any screen grabs for us mobile/no flash users?! Lol Unfortunately, I didn't grab any during the brief window they had the webcam set up for the best shot. But I'll bet you a tank of $4 Plains gas there'll be some phenomenal photos spreading on social media later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 757 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013 ..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0751 PM TORNADO ELIASVILLE 32.95N 98.75W 05/17/2013 STEPHENS TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE HOUSE NEAR ELIASVILLE TOOK DIRECT HIT FROM TORNADO. NO DETAILS YET. Looked like a slow mover too, which is a bit worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Any screen grabs for us mobile/no flash users?! Lol Better than a screen grab from a webcam: https://twitter.com/WX5TVS/status/335562837038596096/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbird12 Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Guys I am out of town and don't have my PC. Buddy of mine sent me a text and said the NAM has fallen apart for Sunday???? Can anyone confirm or tell me that isn't the case? The NAM has never really been that excited about Sunday across OK/southern KS since it came into its forecast range. It has depicted relatively poor moisture quality and only has shown 60-65 dewpoints ahead of the dryline, which would not be good enough for a high-end tornado threat. If there is a lot of mixing and dewpoints drop quite a bit in central/south TX tomorrow, that might be a sign that the NAM is onto something. The GFS is a lot more moist, but it has a bias in that direction. The NAM thinks the big day in OK will be Monday, as it depicts a lot more moisture and better environments overall. Both Sunday and Monday are 48+ hours away (relative to the 12Z/18Z NAM) and a little outside of the NAM's wheelhouse (if it even has one). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Are we seeing two wall clouds on Charles Edwards' cam? "We've got sisters." [shameless Bill Paxton voice] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Are we seeing two wall clouds on Charles Edwards' cam? "We've got sisters." [shameless Bill Paxton voice] screen shot from chaser TV. The hail from this stalled supercell must be shredding vegetation by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 The NAM has never really been that excited about Sunday across OK/southern KS since it came into its forecast range. It has depicted relatively poor moisture quality and only has shown 60-65 dewpoints ahead of the dryline, which would not be good enough for a high-end tornado threat. If there is a lot of mixing and dewpoints drop quite a bit in central/south TX tomorrow, that might be a sign that the NAM is onto something. The GFS is a lot more moist, but it has a bias in that direction. The NAM thinks the big day in OK will be Monday, as it depicts a lot more moisture and better environments overall. Both Sunday and Monday are 48+ hours away (relative to the 12Z/18Z NAM) and a little outside of the NAM's wheelhouse (if it even has one). SPC mesoanalysis already has 70 DP's surging into KS, and almost across the whole state of OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted May 18, 2013 Author Share Posted May 18, 2013 Not to get ahead of ourselves, but if the timing of second shortwave and associated lee low is right on Monday across portions of OK...and the CAP can be sufficiently eroded, another potential local high end event is possible if the NAM/ECMWF come closer to verifying than the GFS. Either way, we are easily looking at potentially the most active three days of spring this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 00z NAM looks like it fires a powerful supercell along the KS/OK border around 21z and tracks it right through the areas with the highest parameters into the evening tomorrow. It also looks slower with a more defined s/w rotating around the base of the trough on Sunday (and also cooler aloft). Edit: Pretty nasty looking verbatim for Oklahoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 00z NAM looks like it fires a powerful supercell along the KS/OK border around 21z and tracks it right through the areas with the highest parameters into the evening tomorrow. It also looks slower with a more defined s/w rotating around the base of the trough on Sunday (and also cooler aloft). Edit: Pretty nasty looking verbatim for Oklahoma. Looks like a pretty fast moving MCS for here Sunday evening/night, I'd rather have that than supercells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 00z NAM looks like it fires a powerful supercell along the KS/OK border around 21z and tracks it right through the areas with the highest parameters into the evening tomorrow. It also looks slower with a more defined s/w rotating around the base of the trough on Sunday (and also cooler aloft). Edit: Pretty nasty looking verbatim for Oklahoma. Intense isolated supercell developing along the Kansas/Oklahoma border, and moving into great tornado parameters? Sounds familiar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 FWIW, the weather channel's RPM model develops widespread Dryline supercells in Kansas tomorrow... If that were to verify, things could get pretty interesting... Dr. Forbes also increased the TOR:CON for south-central KS to a six, and are considering a seven... TWC has seemed really optimistic about this weekend stating that "long-track tornadoes" are a definite possibility... Albeit from the weather channel, but still worth a mention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 00z NAM looks like it fires a powerful supercell along the KS/OK border around 21z and tracks it right through the areas with the highest parameters into the evening tomorrow. It also looks slower with a more defined s/w rotating around the base of the trough on Sunday (and also cooler aloft). Edit: Pretty nasty looking verbatim for Oklahoma. Having some data issues getting to North Platte. Having a hard time bringing up model data... are you talking about Tomorrow night or Sunday night, Andy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Having some data issues getting to North Platte. Having a hard time bringing up model data... are you talking about Tomorrow night or Sunday night, Andy? I believe he's talking about tomorrow for the 21z OK/KS border part. FWIW, the 00z 4 km NAM nest initiates explosively down the dryline between 21z-00z. I really think this could be quite the event if we get 3-5 storms, instead of just one or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 Having some data issues getting to North Platte. Having a hard time bringing up model data... are you talking about Tomorrow night or Sunday night, Andy? First part was Saturday night, second was for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 18, 2013 Share Posted May 18, 2013 I believe he's talking about tomorrow for the 21z OK/KS border part. FWIW, the 00z 4 km NAM nest initiates explosively down the dryline between 21z-00z. I really think this could be quite the event if we get 3-5 storms, instead of just one or two. Especially with those ridiculous long-curving hodographs the NAM has over that area with the crazy EHI's... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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