CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Sun is out and off to the races again..Let's get those dews right back up It may take a bit. Still think we are socked in here. Outlets seem too optimistic, but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 It may take a bit. Still think we are socked in here. Outlets seem too optimistic, but we will see.with sun here seems like we are ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 with sun here seems like we are ok? What I mean is that the marine air is in place It's going to have to flush out first and it is doing that as it mixes out and winds turn SW. Wow, now that I check...Logan is a 210 wind. Well, that's good...I think these shwrs are flushing the taint out. We'll have to watch for a seabreeze here, but surprised at the wind direction right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Seems like some storms later today but not as widespread as yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Wiz!! BACK TO BACK SLIGHT RISKS!!!!!!!! But the 30% probs are in NY and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 @The_WxExpert: Special Weather Statement issued May 22 at 9:12AM EDT by NWS: ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ... http://t.co/CsbVNGsvnj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 SPC all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 SLIGHT!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 SLIGHT!!!!! Hope yesterday was good... looks like again best stuff will be in W in NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Hope yesterday was good... looks like again best stuff will be in W in NY Just as long as we get something around here. I'll be at work today though...can't not go in for 3 straight days or that will hurt me come pay day but I'll have my laptop so I can keep up with things, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Just as long as we get something around here. I'll be at work today though...can't not go in for 3 straight days or that will hurt me come pay day but I'll have my laptop so I can keep up with things, CT Rain not feeling it today apparently in the banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 CT Rain not feeling it today apparently in the banter thread Instability didn't look all that great today when I looked at models last night and I was a little shocked to see the slight extended so far east but shear is much stronger and lapse rates are still relatively steep so I guess if we can get some sufficient destabilization we coulld pop some stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 @MattNoyesNECN: A reminder that new thunderstorms, some perhaps severe, are expected mid afternoon to eve, west to east, NY to NewEng Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Thanks Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 the 0z WRF certainly is not aggressive with convection at all here and keep everything well to the west. Tries to get stuff into MA/CT well after dark but it kills it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Instability didn't look all that great today when I looked at models last night and I was a little shocked to see the slight extended so far east but shear is much stronger and lapse rates are still relatively steep so I guess if we can get some sufficient destabilization we coulld pop some stuff. Probably late in the day is the best shot and elevated stuff this evening. Dewpoints are pretty juicey to our SW to if we can get into that late in the day, then we could see some stronger storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Probably late in the day is the best shot and elevated stuff this evening. Dewpoints are pretty juicey to our SW to if we can get into that late in the day, then we could see some stronger storms. If we are able to get back into the juicy airmass I suppose it could be a little interesting...especially with outflow boundaries in place from yesterday's convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Doesn't this seem way too early? @NWSBoston: Morning update on the severe weather potential this afternoon & evening. http://t.co/vNC8pS4Dxl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Doesn't this seem way too early? @NWSBoston: Morning update on the severe weather potential this afternoon & evening. http://t.co/vNC8pS4Dxl Yeah I think it does...would think after 4 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Storms already firing in far NE Pa into ENY where it's been mostly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0768 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1031 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN NY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND....NERN PA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 221531Z - 221730Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE WITH MAINLY A HAIL THREAT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION...A WARM AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND WITH CONTINUED HEATING...CREATING SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. 12Z ALB SOUNDING SHOWS MODERATELY STRONG FLOW AND A SUFFICIENTLY LONG HODOGRAPH FOR A FEW LONG LIVED STORMS CAPABLE MAINLY OF HAIL. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. WHILE DEVELOPMENT MAY BE DISORGANIZED...COVERAGE MAY WARRANT A WATCH. ..JEWELL/KERR.. 05/22/2013 ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 yoda stfu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 yoda stfu You wouldnt tell me that with that cute kitteh in your sig... and I hope the weather is nice for you The Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Comparing 12Z ALB soundings from today to yesterday, looks like everything above 500 mb has warmed quite a bit. There's even a bit of an inversion at about 7 km. I suspect this will lead to shallower updrafts than yesterday, so while hail may still be possible, 2" hail should be less likely. Shear is a bit of a trade-off. Yesterday had marginally better 0-3 km helicity, today has slightly better speed shear. Guess we'll see what happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Comparing 12Z ALB soundings from today to yesterday, looks like everything above 500 mb has warmed quite a bit. There's even a bit of an inversion at about 7 km. I suspect this will lead to shallower updrafts than yesterday, so while hail may still be possible, 2" hail should be less likely. Shear is a bit of a trade-off. Yesterday had marginally better 0-3 km helicity, today has slightly better speed shear. Guess we'll see what happens! Yeah no question lapse rates are weaker... and with less boundary layer moisture and diabatic heating not expecting as much hail. I'm on the Mass Pike on the ridge of the Berkshires right now and have broken through the inversion... low clouds in front and back with blue sky above. Pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Yeah no question lapse rates are weaker... and with less boundary layer moisture and diabatic heating not expecting as much hail. I'm on the Mass Pike on the ridge of the Berkshires right now and have broken through the inversion... low clouds in front and back with blue sky above. Pretty cool. Any pony tails visible to the right on the ridges? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Any pony tails visible to the right on the ridges? West Chesterfield is a scary place.. tried to look straight ahead to miss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0210.html SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 210NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK100 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 210 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDTFOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONSCTC003-005-013-015-230200-/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0210.130522T1700Z-130523T0200Z/CT. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED AREHARTFORD LITCHFIELD TOLLANDWINDHAM$$SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 210NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK100 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 210 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDTFOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONSMAC003-011-013-015-027-230200-/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0210.130522T1700Z-130523T0200Z/MA. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED AREBERKSHIRE FRANKLIN HAMPDENHAMPSHIRE WORCESTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Is Wiz allowed to chase today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Any pony tails visible to the right on the ridges?One landed on his windshield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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