JoMo Posted August 23, 2013 Share Posted August 23, 2013 JAMSTEC updated on the 20th FWIW. http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/sintex_f1_forecast.html.en Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 23, 2013 Share Posted August 23, 2013 JAMSTEC updated on the 20th FWIW. http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/sintex_f1_forecast.html.en That's actually a decent looking SST profile...almost a weak Nina but solidly east-based and the warm GOA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Will, can you update this , got it from Eastern Year.....NAO....BOS snow....ORH snow2008....+2.8.......65.9"...........76.9"2000....+4.5.......45.9"...........102.1"1996....+1.6.......51.9"...........87.5"1986....+3.6.......42.5"...........93.6"1983....+2.0.......43.0"...........76.6"1976....+1.6.......58.5"...........89.0"1964....+1.2.......50.4"...........62.8"1958....+1.6.......34.1"...........64.7"1957....+2.5.......44.7"...........97.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Will, can you update this , got it from Eastern Year.....NAO....BOS snow....ORH snow 2008....+2.8.......65.9"...........76.9" 2000....+4.5.......45.9"...........102.1" 1996....+1.6.......51.9"...........87.5" 1986....+3.6.......42.5"...........93.6" 1983....+2.0.......43.0"...........76.6" 1976....+1.6.......58.5"...........89.0" 1964....+1.2.......50.4"...........62.8" 1958....+1.6.......34.1"...........64.7" 1957....+2.5.......44.7"...........97.5" Big snow years with positive NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Big snow years with positive NAO? October positive NAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 Big snow years with positive NAO? October positive NAO So we want a mild October it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 So we want a mild October it would seem. Yea I think oct 2009 was positive but that was a meh winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Yea I think oct 2009 was positive but that was a meh winter Three major KU storms? A "meh" winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Looks like Jerry got into the Farmers Almanac one night Congrats everyone https://twitter.com/cbsnews/status/371726295031627776 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Yea I think oct 2009 was positive but that was a meh winter No, Oct 2009 was a massive -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 No, Oct 2009 was a massive -NAO. where do you get your stats and yea I mistook Sept for Oct, mine shown different than yours for example 208 shows up as Neg http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Three major KU storms? A "meh" winter? for Jerry only 38 inches of snow most got screwed other than Dec 21 09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 where do you get your stats and yea I mistook Sept for Oct, mine shown different than yours for example 208 shows up as Neg http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table 2008-9 wasn't shabby either. The pre-Christmas storm was pretty good. The Martin Luther King Weekend storm was good. And March 2, 2009 was very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 2008-9 wasn't shabby either. The pre-Christmas storm was pretty good. The Martin Luther King Weekend storm was good. And March 2, 2009 was very good. No doubt as Wills table shows but getting back to 09/10 not a good year at either BOS or ORH, elephant stank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 where do you get your stats and yea I mistook Sept for Oct, mine shown different than yours for example 208 shows up as Neg http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table The sfc pressure method yields some different results than the CPC height method http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/~timo/datapages/naoi.htm There's also the Hurrell page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 The sfc pressure method yields some different results than the CPC height method http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/~timo/datapages/naoi.htm There's also the Hurrell page 11/12 didn't work out so good, yikes, rethinking cuz give me some ultra negative 10/11 12/13 3/4 4/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the moors in england Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Looks like Jerry got into the Farmers Almanac one night Congrats everyone https://twitter.com/cbsnews/status/371726295031627776 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Three major KU storms? A "meh" winter? Worst winter in NNE in over 20 years. Worst than meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 25, 2013 Author Share Posted August 25, 2013 2009-10 sucked for the pike northward. Barely got into the good stuff 12/19/09 and a total whiff for the 2 feb events. Rain including up in NNE while NYC got 20 inches for the 1888 redux event in late February. The winter of the elephant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 26, 2013 Author Share Posted August 26, 2013 Wow...just wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 2009-10 sucked for the pike northward. Barely got into the good stuff 12/19/09 and a total whiff for the 2 feb events. Rain including up in NNE while NYC got 20 inches for the 1888 redux event in late February. The winter of the elephant. And the farther one looks northeast, the worst it got, with the CAR area being the apex of awfulness. That late Feb paradox (mashed potatos then slushy RA on strong NE winds while NYC got hammered) was especially frustrating, as it was about 3F (or 1000' elev) from repeating late Feb 1969, when Farmington got 43". The three total whiffs on the earlier KUs were much easier to take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 http://nation.time.com/2013/08/26/get-ready-for-a-cold-winter/?hpt=hp_t2 he-he Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 And the farther one looks northeast, the worst it got, with the CAR area being the apex of awfulness. That late Feb paradox (mashed potatos then slushy RA on strong NE winds while NYC got hammered) was especially frustrating, as it was about 3F (or 1000' elev) from repeating late Feb 1969, when Farmington got 43". The three total whiffs on the earlier KUs were much easier to take. That was true even in New York area. KNYC went over to snow about 10 hours earlier than I did, on the New York-Connecticut border. What happened to you in late February1969? And what did you get from February 9-11, 1969? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 2009-10 sucked for the pike northward. Barely got into the good stuff 12/19/09 and a total whiff for the 2 feb events. Rain including up in NNE while NYC got 20 inches for the 1888 redux event in late February. The winter of the elephant. We don't need a repeat of that debacle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 That was true even in New York area. KNYC went over to snow about 10 hours earlier than I did, on the New York-Connecticut border. What happened to you in late February1969? And what did you get from February 9-11, 1969? snark alert In 1969 I still lived in NNJ, and we got about 18" from the Lindsay storm (which made for an interesting 30-mile drive home from Allamuchy scout camp. Glad I had a Beetle.) The late month event developed too far north; we got a very wet couple inches then flurries. IIRC (records not available at the moment) Farmington got something like 19" from Feb 9-10, and had their biggest snowfall, 43", over 4 days (15",17",8",3") at the end of the month. Feb 1969 recorded 67", their snowiest month easily, and the winter 164", also #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 I could go for a dominant -EPO / +NAO pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 I could go for a dominant -EPO / +NAO pattern Sounds like snow for your area. That would induce Significant Snow/Ice Storms for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 27, 2013 Author Share Posted August 27, 2013 Sounds like snow for your area. That would induce Significant Snow/Ice Storms for SNE. My favorite winter...1993-94 gave BOS 96 inches. Cfs this morning (daily, not 10 day average) is a torch October thru December but plenty cold January thru March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 snark alert In 1969 I still lived in NNJ, and we got about 18" from the Lindsay storm (which made for an interesting 30-mile drive home from Allamuchy scout camp. Glad I had a Beetle.) I always felt that "Lindsay" was underrreported at KNYC, since many area stations reported 20+ inches. Certainly the impact suggested more than 15.4 inches. The late month event developed too far north; we got a very wet couple inches then flurries.I don't remember anything at all from that storm in my area, which was KHPN. IIRC (records not available at the moment) Farmington got something like 19" from Feb 9-10, and had their biggest snowfall, 43", over 4 days (15",17",8",3") at the end of the month. Feb 1969 recorded 67", their snowiest month easily, and the winter 164", also #1.I remember that Tuckerman's Ravine near KMWN still have snow in it around mid-August, one of the few times the snow held through the summer there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 I remember that Tuckerman's Ravine near KMWN still have snow in it around mid-August, one of the few times the snow held through the summer there. Pinkham Notch got 130" in Feb 1969, including 77" from the late month bomb. Snowpack got up over 150" there, and the winter had over 300". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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