CapturedNature Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Yeah, same here, I have it listed as 11/27... how much did you get from the 11/7 storm? It was 11/27...I didn't read the record right. I had 7.7" on the 11/7 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 the alaskan vortex is a beast on both ensemble means through day 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 19, 2013 Author Share Posted August 19, 2013 the alaskan vortex is a beast on both ensemble means through day 15 Move that 300 miles sw and we're in business in winter. Fortunately, wavelengths now are different vs dec and jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 It was 11/27...I didn't read the record right. I had 7.7" on the 11/7 storm. Yeah, 11/7 was a pretty impressive storm for so early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Move that 300 miles sw and we're in business in winter. Fortunately, wavelengths now are different vs dec and jan.my point was that in 2011 the alaskan vortex set up shop that autumn and basically never moved. a similar thing happened in 2006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 19, 2013 Author Share Posted August 19, 2013 Move that 300 miles sw and we're in business in winter. Fortunately, wavelengths now are different vs dec and jan.my point was that in 2011 the alaskan vortex set up shop that autumn and basically never moved. a similar thing happened in 2006 I thought 2 years ago it was further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 that image is from 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 my point was that in 2011 the alaskan vortex set up shop that autumn and basically never moved. a similar thing happened in 2006 The '06 vortex didn't set up until November...we actually had ridging out there in Sept/Oct which made it quite cold that autumn...esp in October. Then it flipped and screwed us for the next 2.5 months until we got rid of it in mid January 2007. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 19, 2013 Author Share Posted August 19, 2013 that image is from 2011 Just saw Will's post. Lets see where the ssta is in that area in 2-4 weeks. If similar to now, I will have not a worry in the world about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 2001 was another year where the vortex basically set up permanently from late summer through winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 19, 2013 Author Share Posted August 19, 2013 2001 was another year where the vortex basically set up permanently from late summer through winter. I've heard a few use that year as an analog to this one. Obviously at this point I disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 20, 2013 Author Share Posted August 20, 2013 Here's what it looked like in the 24 hours prior to the onset of one of the wintriest 2 month periods for the northeast USA in the 20th century. Note as Will has pointed it the Aleutian low. Net also the east based NAO and doesn't the AO seem positive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 20, 2013 Author Share Posted August 20, 2013 Would you think we were on the cusp of the signature storm for sne here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 20, 2013 Author Share Posted August 20, 2013 Mid storm for both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Kerry what's the link for those images? I can't find the bookmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Aleutian low is fine, just don't want an elongated Bering Sea low that acts like a CONUS wide Chinoook wind lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Matthew Hugo @MattHugo8157m Recent CFSv2 keeping some consistency as well over a possible Greenland high/northern blocking pattern for the winter pic.twitter.com/biZRkYh3tO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Matthew Hugo @MattHugo8157m Recent CFSv2 keeping some consistency as well over a possible Greenland high/northern blocking pattern for the winter pic.twitter.com/biZRkYh3tO Where do you find these tweeters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 20, 2013 Author Share Posted August 20, 2013 Kerry what's the link for those images? I can't find the bookmark. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/reanalysis/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/reanalysis/ You the man as always. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Where do you find these tweeters?If you follow @Climate Realists they always have some good retweets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Where do you find these tweeters? TBH, the CFS v2 has been pretty consistent on some wacky storms. Check here for more info: http://www.metcheck.com/WORLD/USA.asp This shows the CFS v2 in a bit more detail and it goes out to 6 months, for free. It even has forecast for your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 We want winter back and those 5 feet-in-7-days type storm cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 We want winter back and those 5 feet-in-7-days type storm cycles. snowy.jpg Not in August we don't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Not in August we don't I would pay serious money for a blizzard right now. Screw seasons in seasons. Winter in all seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 I would pay serious money for a blizzard right now. Screw seasons in seasons. Winter in all seasons. In KNYC snow in October in 1972, 1979 and 2011 didn't end well for the rest of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 In KNYC snow in October in 1972, 1979 and 2011 didn't end well for the rest of the season. When I lived in NNJ, early snow (compared to climo) seemed usually to be followed by low-snow winters. In Maine, early snow more often leads to good winters, 2011-12 being the glaring exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 When I lived in NNJ, early snow (compared to climo) seemed usually to be followed by low-snow winters. In Maine, early snow more often leads to good winters, 2011-12 being the glaring exception. Its pretty much no correlation here in interior SNE...a mix of horrible and great winters. A few of the horrible ones being 1988-1989, 1979-1980, and 2011-2012...a few of the blockbusters being 2000-2001, 1960-1961, and 2002-2003. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Aleutian low is fine, just don't want an elongated Bering Sea low that acts like a CONUS wide Chinoook wind lol. i like that. edit: not the warm wind, the term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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