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May 4-6 SE Soaker, Discussion & OBS....


NavarreDon

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Ya i think we do.....The skies have healed sufficiently enough that they might wreck havoc! :axe:

 

It's amazing how irritating he can still be with only 5 posts a day. At least he is provided daily evidence of why he should never be taken off of the 5 post limit.

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i think those in the mtns might be able to breath a sigh of relief. the precipitable water in the atms is under performing compared to what models had yesterday. 

 

pwtr.gif?1367692821041

 

the moist stream from the south is being shut off from dry air from both sides. 

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WGUS44 KMRX 041504

FLWMRX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

FLOOD WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN, TN

1104 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

 

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN TN HAS ISSUED A FLOOD

WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

 

  SOUTH CHICKAMAUGA CREEK AT CHATTANOOGA TN AFFECTING CATOOSA AND

  HAMILTON COUNTIES.

 

  SEQUATCHIE RIVER NEAR WHITWELL TN AFFECTING BLEDSOE...MARION AND

  SEQUATCHIE COUNTIES.

 

PERSISTENT RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE THESE RIVERS IN

SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE TO RISE ABOVE THEIR FLOOD STAGES ON SUNDAY. IT IS VERY

POSSIBLE THAT THESE CURRENT FORECASTS ARE CONSERVATIVE...AND MAY NEED TO

BE ADJUSTED UPWARDS IN THE FUTURE DEPENDING ON THE RAINFALL INTENSITY AND

LOCATION.
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The RAP does not move this band of rain at all over at least the next 15 hours.

It been raining nonstop for over 12 hours now with no end in sight. It has lightened up a bit but it looks like more is streaming on from the south. I see radar estimates of over 4" in NW Georgia with flood warnings all over north Georgia including Fulton county. This is shaping up to get ugly if the next round delivers as well. Looks like 11 north Georgia counties under a flood warning right now

FLOOD WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA

349 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD

WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...

BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY

BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES

.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND

RIVERS WHICH WILL CAUSE FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST

FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT

LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THE LATEST STAGE DATA WAS FURNISHED IN COOPERATION WITH THE UNITED

STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY.

&&

GAC117-121-050949-

/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0094.130505T0543Z-130507T1840Z/

/APHG1.1.ER.130505T0543Z.130506T1800Z.130507T1240Z.NO/

349 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR

THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.

* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* AT 330 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.4 FEET...AND RISING.

* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.

* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND

CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.9 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE

RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.

* AT 10 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM

FROM THE GAGE ON KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD. THE FLOOD WATERS EXPAND

FURTHER INTO THE WOODLANDS ALONG THE CREEK...AND BEGINS TO AFFECT

SOME RESIDENTIAL YARDS BETWEEN CUMMING IN FORSYTH COUNTY THROUGH

ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. THE BIG CREEK

GREENWAY IS CLOSED AND COMPLETELY FLOODED WITH UP TO 4 FEET OF

WATER IN SOME AREAS.

$$

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It been raining nonstop for over 12 hours now with no end in sight. It has lightened up a bit but it looks like more is streaming on from the south. I see radar estimates of over 4" in NW Georgia with flood warnings all over north Georgia including Fulton county. This is shaping up to get ugly if the next round delivers as well. Looks like 11 north Georgia counties under a flood warning right now

FLOOD WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA

349 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD

WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...

BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY

BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES

.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND

RIVERS WHICH WILL CAUSE FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST

FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT

LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THE LATEST STAGE DATA WAS FURNISHED IN COOPERATION WITH THE UNITED

STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY.

&&

GAC117-121-050949-

/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0094.130505T0543Z-130507T1840Z/

/APHG1.1.ER.130505T0543Z.130506T1800Z.130507T1240Z.NO/

349 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR

THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.

* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* AT 330 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.4 FEET...AND RISING.

* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.

* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND

CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.9 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE

RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.

* AT 10 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM

FROM THE GAGE ON KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD. THE FLOOD WATERS EXPAND

FURTHER INTO THE WOODLANDS ALONG THE CREEK...AND BEGINS TO AFFECT

SOME RESIDENTIAL YARDS BETWEEN CUMMING IN FORSYTH COUNTY THROUGH

ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. THE BIG CREEK

GREENWAY IS CLOSED AND COMPLETELY FLOODED WITH UP TO 4 FEET OF

WATER IN SOME AREAS.

$$

Georgias taking all of NC's rain XD Yall needed the rain though. 

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We really do and I'll take it and smile. Creek/stream behind my house in a few inches from bank full. I think it's going to overflow before this event is over.

Damn you saw more rain than I did in what one day. It took 40+ hours of rain here to reach 2.18 mainly because the majority was light rain.
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Damn you saw more rain than I did in what one day. It took 40+ hours of rain here to reach 2.18 mainly because the majority was light rain.

I'm not sure of that based on radar estimates and dobbins afb reports I'm right below 2" I think. It been a steady moderate rain for much of the time. Nothing extremely heavy just constant.

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Tornado Warning


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL

901 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

FLC109-050115-

/O.CON.KJAX.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130505T0115Z/

ST. JOHNS FL-

901 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL

ST. JOHNS COUNTY...

AT 902 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED

NEAR BAKERSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SAINT

AUGUSTINE SOUTH...SAINT AUGUSTINE SHORES...SAINT AUGUSTINE BEACH...

SAINT AUGUSTINE...ELKTON...DUPONT CENTER...BUTLER BEACH AND

ANASTASIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST

DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR

HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER

YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY

OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

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