NavarreDon Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 This system, while not truly severe, seems worthy of its own thread due to the possibility of heavy rains, flooding, Mnt. mudslides, & Coastal storminess. Post away.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Not to mention steady gusts to 45mph over the last couple days along the coast. Feels like a tropical system with the shower bands racing east to west. All we need is the mugginess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted May 4, 2013 Author Share Posted May 4, 2013 Not to mention steady gusts to 45mph over the last couple days along the coast. Feels like a tropical system with the shower bands racing east to west. All we need is the mugginess. Not the best beach weather! What are the wave heights out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Not the best beach weather! What are the wave heights out there? 4-7 feet which is incredible. Rip tides are bad as well. Not looking forward to a marina event I will be attending tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Really? Guess we need a thread for all rain events now. By the way, Duke Energy has already released water out of dams in much of the region, mostly south-west NC well in advance to negate some of the flooding. I will take 3.75. EDIT Token flakes to start in Boone via Brad Panovich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I was wondering if someone would create a post... :-) It's been very windy here for the past two days, with clouds and drizzle/light rain. It feels like March, not May. The big rain should be starting for us in a few hours, with 3 - 4.5" of rain expected through Monday. 850 mb temps had 0º all the way into Louisiana yesterday and 500 mb temps are -27C in MAY! Crazy weather but I'm not complaining. We've broken the drought here in Georgia and the lakes are full. Lanier is the highest it's been in several years. (Percent of normal rainfall for the SE) And at least we haven't been cooked like we were this time last spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 4-7 feet which is incredible. Rip tides are bad as well. Not looking forward to a marina event I will be attending tomorrow. Got a Tides and Currents page for you: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_tides.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted May 4, 2013 Author Share Posted May 4, 2013 Really? Guess we need a thread for all rain events now. By the way, Duke Energy has already released water out of dams in much of the region, mostly south-west NC well in advance to negate some of the flooding. Ya i think we do.....The skies have healed sufficiently enough that they might wreck havoc! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 So far mostly a wind event, only .03 overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 0.14" here Rosie with 48.6ºF! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Really? Guess we need a thread for all rain events now. By the way, Duke Energy has already released water out of dams in much of the region, mostly south-west NC well in advance to negate some of the flooding. In other regions, it is done on a normal basis for every event. I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Still waiting for the rains... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Still waiting for the rains... Northern and Eastern NC could wind up in a relative min for this event. 1 inch is still pretty good, but it looks like the heaviest stuff will stay west and south of here....as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Thread should say May 4-6 NC and SC and N GA soaker. It's almost over for us down here and FL. 2.18 for the event. Woohoo almost the entire months average and the month just started! Today we might get to the 3 inch mark if we can get under one of those heavier storms. Today is different in the fact that there will be storms instead of plain rain like the other days. Anyhow you guys enjoy your cutoff low. These things are fun. Currently rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Well, Meteostar is offering me around 2.8, so I hope some trains can find my yard. I'd like to see a lot more than that. Sure am loving this spring...best in years and years...and it just keeps giving. Had great winds today, and it's in the 50's now. Hard to beat that for May, but I'm expecting to see 40's coming up. Shiny!!! T Amen, Tony! I couldn't agree more. I have yet to break 50 F this morning at my homestead. Wowza! If you are looking for hot weather for the middle of the month then keep looking. Both the Euro and GFS are advertising a pretty strong shot of cooler air towards the middle of the month again after this system. Man I love how this spring is going. Most definitely, '85! The chill is in the air this morning. I'm ready and waiting for the following progression. I've been at stage one for the last several days. Clouds --> drizzle --> showers --> downpours --> tropical flooding! (Okay, maybe not the flooding...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Here's the 48-hour rainfall forecast from the Southeast River Forecast Center. This image can be found on a linked page from the NWS GSP site: And, here's the 5-day graphic from the HPC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 For Greenville, SC for May . Rainfall stats: Record 24 total: 3.31inches Record monthly: 8.91 inches Monthly avg: 4.50 This event might help put some of these in jeopardy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Overcast, blustery, and chilly in Winston-Salem at 49 degrees. I am loving this November-like regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Clouds --> drizzle --> showers --> downpours --> tropical flooding! (Okay, maybe not the flooding...) Drizzle has commenced!! There is a slim finger of precip stretching from Charlotte and points SE up to the Hickory area showing up on radar. Onward and upward... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Really? Guess we need a thread for all rain events now. By the way, Duke Energy has already released water out of dams in much of the region, mostly south-west NC well in advance to negate some of the flooding. I will take 3.75. STOP TROLLING. i find it a miracle your account isn't banned yet. Where did you see Duke Energy releasing waters? *looks out window and sees lake at same level* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 12z nam came in a tad wetter for the mtns. if you live along a precip gradient, don't be surprised to see less or more than modeled. interesting things happen along gradients. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Northern and Eastern NC could wind up in a relative min for this event. 1 inch is still pretty good, but it looks like the heaviest stuff will stay west and south of here....as usual. It is of course just anecdotal, but it seems like we here in the eastern half of NC cannot buy a heavy drenching rain lately. I am getting tired of reading weather.gov's forecasts for NC and them saying that the rain gradient will decrease from SW to NE. I mean we always seem to get something, but it is always 0.25" or 0.5" whereas others are getting 1.5" to 2.00". Take a look at the year to date rainfall expressed a % of normal. Does any one have any idea why this is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 It is of course just anecdotal, but it seems like we here in the eastern half of NC cannot buy a heavy drenching rain lately. I am getting tired of reading weather.gov's forecasts for NC and them saying that the rain gradient will decrease from SW to NE. I mean we always seem to get something, but it is always 0.25" or 0.5" whereas others are getting 1.5" to 2.00". Take a look at the year to date rainfall expressed a % of normal. Does any one have any idea why this is? Whoops, I have not yet figured out hoe to post graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted May 4, 2013 Author Share Posted May 4, 2013 12z nam came in a tad wetter for the mtns. if you live along a precip gradient, don't be surprised to see less or more than modeled. interesting things happen along gradients. Wow!....If that verifies the French Broad river will have some major flooding. GSP has already mentioned the area around Blantrye in thier overnight AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 It is of course just anecdotal, but it seems like we here in the eastern half of NC cannot buy a heavy drenching rain lately. I am getting tired of reading weather.gov's forecasts for NC and them saying that the rain gradient will decrease from SW to NE. I mean we always seem to get something, but it is always 0.25" or 0.5" whereas others are getting 1.5" to 2.00". Take a look at the year to date rainfall expressed a % of normal. Does any one have any idea why this is? My number one guess would be orographic enhancement. The mountains create their own precipitation. Ergo, the western half of the state (where the mountains are located) gets more rainfall than the eastern (aside from tropical systems that just skirt the coast). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 too much rain we have had enough here in sw nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 My number one guess would be orographic enhancement. The mountains create their own precipitation. Ergo, the western half of the state (where the mountains are located) gets more rainfall than the eastern (aside from tropical systems that just skirt the coast). That is true, but I am really curious about percentage vs the climactic averages. I haven't yet figured out how to post pics here, but if you go to http://water.weather.gov/precip/ zoom in on NC and set the view to year to date and percent vs normal, you will see what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Flood watches issued from NE GA all along the Apps. into SW VA. GFS eased off the totals on 12z (atleast here) and shifted the heaviest amounts that were in S/SW VA towards Richmond. Not sure if I buy it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Damn what the hell was that? That gust was anywhere between 45-50mph. These winds are crazy out here. Currently sustained at 22mph gusting to 37mph. Apparently we don't meet wind advisory criteria. Its windier here than at the coast. Freak wind gust though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 That is true, but I am really curious about percentage vs the climactic averages. I haven't yet figured out how to post pics here, but if you go to http://water.weather.gov/precip/ zoom in on NC and set the view to year to date and percent vs normal, you will see what I mean. Here's the pic you wanted, I think. I use imgur to upload graphics. (Hat tip to Burgertime, for the suggestion. I'll try to bump his thread concerning this so that you can check it out.) I see what you mean, though. The western half of the state, so far, has greater than normal precipitation while the eastern portion is below. Since this is related to normal, I would suggest that this is simply a short-term blip. If it weren't a blip, and this was the new norm, then pretty soon those percentages to normal would go back to 100% for the eastern half of the state too, because the new normal would be less than the current normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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