ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 RGEM (a usually amped up model) doesn't support the NAM...that's 1 strike against it so far. We'll see how other guidance comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 21z SREF members...87hr total QPF That might be reason enough to toss the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Eta5 is determined to score a coup I'm not sure what perturbations are built into Eta5, but I want them in the AmericanWRF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'm sure what we'll see with the NAM is that it's over-doing the westward trend and will correct back east quite a bit. Not expecting more than flurries here (even SE CT) but Cape Cod especially east of HYA could get advisory snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 RGEM (a usually amped up model) doesn't support the NAM...that's 1 strike against it so far. We'll see how other guidance comes in. Booooooo!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'm not sure what perturbations are built into Eta5, but I want them in the AmericanWRF. Why don't we build them into the atmosphere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Would never be able trust this model again if it fails.......... We say that every time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 RGEM (a usually amped up model) doesn't support the NAM...that's 1 strike against it so far. We'll see how other guidance comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 We say that every time I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Major upslope snows possible if this pans out... lots of high ratio snowfall in N.VT. Clown maps look good. Yesterday was my first day without measurable snowfall in a while (today had 0.3") and I hope that doesn't happen again for a bit, haha. Getting excited again for a decent sized event... go SNE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Why don't we build them into the atmosphere They already are over Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 RUC is slowly starting to slip away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 NAM seems to have found the Ukie's liquor cabinet. Go NAM GO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 RUC is slowly starting to slip away I have the chair, But i can't remember what i did with the rope........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 RUC is slowly starting to slip away If the RUC doesn't go your way the weenie thing to do is turn to the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 The GFS initialized slightly stronger with the shortwave over Missouri along with slightly higher heights over New England and the Mid-Atlantic...let's see if it's enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 If the RUC doesn't go your way the weenie thing to do is turn to the HRRR. Surely the MM5 is a massive hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Just got home...lol post from the phone after looking at NAM. How about MET! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Surely the MM5 is a massive hit! I like the SUNY. I'm talking about the rapid refresh though. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr&domain=t3 It's like a RUC on acid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 The GFS initialized slightly stronger with the shortwave over Missouri along with slightly higher heights over New England and the Mid-Atlantic...let's see if it's enough. Looks like its throwing some qpf back to the northwest........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Just got home...lol post from the phone after looking at NAM. How about MET! Sometimes a red flag is when the nammos guidance is a lot lower with qpf/snow than the actual raw nam itself. In this case the mos is balls to the wall too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 NAM and GFS are different. Wonder who will win? Both sh*tty models...but NAM's on it's own tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Sometimes a red flag is when the nammos guidance is a lot lower with qpf/snow than the actual raw nam itself. In this case the mos is balls to the wall too. Damn...a 4 and an 8 for TAN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 NAM and GFS are different. Wonder who will win? Both sh*tty models...but NAM's on it's own tonight. well that was fun while it lasted.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 If the RUC doesn't go your way the weenie thing to do is turn to the HRRR. thanks! I'll keep that in mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Sometimes a red flag is when the nammos guidance is a lot lower with qpf/snow than the actual raw nam itself. In this case the mos is balls to the wall too. Yeah, but I've seen NAM MOS whiff too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Yeah, but I've seen NAM MOS whiff too. Certainly...they all have. But i'd rather see the mos the way it is now rather than having 0 to 2's in the snow column. If that was the case u could almost immediately throw out the nam. Therefore fwiw the climo built into the model is seeing something too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 GFS brings light snow to about BOS at 39 hours....different solution but still more robust vs prior runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 GFS brings light snow to about BOS at 39 hours....different solution but still more robust vs prior runs. Looks like its starting to pivot the precip back to the NW.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 GFS brings light snow to about BOS at 39 hours....different solution but still more robust vs prior runs. 39hrs? No snow tomorrow night here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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