HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm really worried about mixing, though. I might get some clouds on my otherwise sunny Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 That was a tough start. Maybe hope for reach around Jerry..lol. Fixed it Scott. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 It's like a morgue in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 That was a tough start. Maybe hope for wrap around Jerry..lol. Well, Yesterday we started great and finnished blah, Maybe we have a reversal today....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Getting excited for 4 days of on and off accumulating snow I love your consistency...wish I had the same...I am feeling sick right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Understanding its the NAM way outside of its useful range but it may pull a Ukie and bring a bomb back in based on the H5 evolution. Very similar to yesterdays Crazy Uncle who ironically led the charge this time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 It's like a morgue in here It reaks of dead models........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I love your consistency...wish I had the same...I am feeling sick right now... Plenty of winter left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turtle Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 interesting trends. hvy hvy baby boy. For real? I didn't know... Congrats!! --Turtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 It's like a morgue in here You'd think we were dead and buried...or not buried...everything is still on the table. To be sure one way or the other seems ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I love your consistency...wish I had the same...I am feeling sick right now... There's no reason to give up ..sure the bomb is probably off the table..but with snow from Sunday thru Wednesday you'd think some people would be looking forward to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Understanding its the NAM way outside of its useful range but it may pull a Ukie and bring a bomb back in based on the H5 evolution. Very similar to yesterdays Crazy Uncle who ironically led the charge this time.... Skeptical of any retro, Euro puked all over itself this week, had the retro snows for midweek and never happened, its going to be tough hanging your hat on anything backing in from the northeast, but I hope it happens for you guys up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Understanding its the NAM way outside of its useful range but it may pull a Ukie and bring a bomb back in based on the H5 evolution. Very similar to yesterdays Crazy Uncle who ironically led the charge this time.... I thought the same about the NAM, Thats why i made the comment its the Nam, It is still way out there right now, The rest of the 12z suite should start to tell the tale.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I just looked again. It's a carbon copy more or less of yesterdays D4 Uncle on D3 today on the NAM. The uncle buried us in the end. Keeping some hope alive for next week but canceling (close to) Sunday/Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Skeptical of any retro, Euro puked all over itself this week, had the retro snows for midweek and never happened, its going to be tough hanging your hat on anything backing in from the northeast, but I hope it happens for you guys up there. they're tough but we get them. Our (tied for) biggest storm last year was this evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Skeptical of any retro, Euro puked all over itself this week, had the retro snows for midweek and never happened, its going to be tough hanging your hat on anything backing in from the northeast, but I hope it happens for you guys up there. Well, If there is any year that there is going to be retro storms it certainly is this one..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 There's no reason to give up ..sure the bomb is probably off the table..but with snow from Sunday thru Wednesday you'd think some people would be looking forward to that well I have to admit is a bit of a letdown, but I'll take the snow and again we have a couple of cycles to go.. hopefully not to trend east!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Understanding its the NAM way outside of its useful range but it may pull a Ukie and bring a bomb back in based on the H5 evolution. Very similar to yesterdays Crazy Uncle who ironically led the charge this time.... Yes but it's bad even at 24 hours IMO. The little changes there are the reason it turds out later. It's the NAM, no reason to climb up on the roofs until after the GFS/GGEM/UK...if they all go east the EC is probably a foregone conclusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 At least you made your emergency preparations. You'll be ready when the russkies drop the big one. Lol, touche.....I knew that would come back to haunt me.... I'm ready for spring.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 they're tough but we get them. Our (tied for) biggest storm last year was this evolution. I understand, I just think more often than not there potential is not realized. Like I said, I hope it works out, my only fear is that it will have a negative impact on the sw for midweek that has some potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm beginning to lose hope. We need a shift in the 12z runs and the NAM was a bad start. This went down the model crapper faster than most, how any pro can put any faith in any models is beyond me, glad I do not issue forecasts. Couple of observations, fook radio shows they are the worst bad JUJU inventions ever LOL,Ens mean is just that, very mean,the Euro Ensemble mean is 150-200 miles further offshore than the previous run, what massive ingest would cause this chaos, obviously the numerical guys have to find a way to figure out what went so wrong with either run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yes but it's bad even at 24 hours IMO. The little changes there are the reason it turds out later. The s/w's don't phase...the PAC nw one just kicks the srn stream one out ahead of it. Lots of fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Look at the NAM from 0z to the 12z at 84 hours, it is a shift east everytime. I really do not want to put stock in it, but at this point, can we really ignore it? I may shed a tear later today if it keeps going this way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 so after taking a look back at the last 24 hours of model runs...I've composed some thoughts. In summary: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm beginning to lose hope. We need a shift in the 12z runs and the NAM was a bad start. Too bad we couldn't get last weeks storm to make the equivalent shift east. We'd be sitting on deep blanket of white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Look at the NAM from 0z to the 12z at 84 hours, it is a shift east everytime. I really do not want to put stock in it, but at this point, can we really ignore it? I may shed a tear later today if it keeps going this way.. Not worth any tears. SOme chuckles perhaps...... Ironically, I'm out now to get snowtires. Might need them come 2011 you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Not worth any tears. SOme chuckles perhaps...... Ironically, I'm out now to get snowtires. Might need them come 2011 you know. I got mine on Wednesday. I had a feeling it would be the kiss of death for anything significant this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I hope Jay enjoys the Pats game. Most of us only have emotional investment ... Jay went and purchased a half dozen tickets for the game with the belief there'd be historic snows. Not looking very promising attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think you guys are jumping the gun a little bit by calling off the storm. Just wait a few more runs for everything to flip-flop back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I got mine on Wednesday. I had a feeling it would be the kiss of death for anything significant this weekend. I think this is all my fault...I had mine put on in the middle of November... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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