Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 lol messanger this would be a major RUC win. This solution looks like a lot of the 12z GFS ensemble members - would be such a coup if this occurs. RUC doesnt go out that far. All it's been really doing is getting out in front of the model changes 6 hours or so ahead. It's a good indicator. If it continues to ramp up chances are we will see that at 0z, if it starts to slip storm re-cancel. It's about to crap out soon anyway. It loses it's usefulness as systems get over/off the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 RGEM has been bad. But it did shift NW pretty handily just not with QPF. If it too bumps the moisture nw even if it's aloft...thats a biggie. what time is it out? What blows is I've got the hood christmas party tonight. If I'm on here making less sense than usual by about 11 you'll all know why. it comes out fairly late i think, sometiem around 4:30-5 i believe correct me if im wrong it can be delayed too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Whats funny is that the same places that got hit with the 2009 december KU get hit with this storm now. Merrimack Valley screwed again! Save the drama for your mama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 RGEM has been bad. But it did shift NW pretty handily just not with QPF. If it too bumps the moisture nw even if it's aloft...thats a biggie. what time is it out? What blows is I've got the hood christmas party tonight. If I'm on here making less sense than usual by about 11 you'll all know why. I think it may be out by 4ish or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 The NAM is close to dumping a foot of snow at BOS. 50 miles southwest and they're in business lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Through 75 hours, the 0.5 line is almost kissing Dorchester..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I see you lurking Will, what are your thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 This looks pretty nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 if the trends continue i will resemble the second item on the menu. http://www.weeniesonthewater.com/WOW_SITE/MENU.html waitress 1 2 or 3 please. in my gut thou something tells me .....no way do we get hit ....even in taunton. cape maybe......here's to hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Ok off to the gym...hey at least we're in the game and in tight for ONCE we aren't getting a beat down as the system approaches. Radar is still ENE out to sea to our south...but it's early. I'm pretty stoked. What will be pissa is this backs in enough that I get a half inch of rain balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Can someone cut me down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 LOL at the NAM. Kind of thought this might happen after seeing the SREFs so far NW. You working in the AM tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Wouldn't be that surprising if this thing trended west some now, the GFS ensemble mean already was bringing .25" close to PVD. The OP was way east of the mean. Big red flag there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Wow, comparing the QPF totals from 12z to 18z on the NAM, the .5 line shifted about 100-150 miles North and West! I know we always say this, but could this be the 1 times where the models are actually wrong? Ok Ill post the reply for you here.... :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Wow, comparing the QPF totals from 12z to 18z on the NAM, the .5 line shifted about 100-150 miles North and West! I know we always say this, but could this be the 1 times where the models are actually wrong? Be cautious about jumps. Lets see what the other models do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Be cautious about jumps. Lets see what the other models do. Heavy, heavy emotion over the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 This would at least give Jay some flakes in the air at Foxborough with his 652 tix that he bought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 West so far. I'm thinking it might be showing 1" QPF to cape and islands Rotten joke, jsut kiddin. LOL it actually does show an inch. I'm going to be consistent for weenieism, next run shows Boston with an inch of QPF. Actually, this run nearly does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Heavy, heavy emotion over the last hour. People have had enough heart breaks...lets not have this one do the same. However, it would be nice for something to break right for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 You working in the AM tomorrow? working tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 RUC Bang it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 ITS A FESTIVUS MIRACLE!!!! :snowman: :snowman: A festivus for the rest of us! Current WV looks pretty interesting btw. Some last minute weenie-ism, but combined with the NAM and SREF movement ... hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Nice cirrus overcast has moved in here now (temp 34). I was mulling ideas for jokes about the cirrus being left over from the 12z/16 Euro, then I saw this afternoons madness.. Fortunately I never got around to dumping my plans to bushwack a couple of Catskill peaks tomorrow; time to sharpen the crampons.. If its snowing a little here when I get home tomorrow night so much the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 working tonight That sucks, need a good Met on for my morning coffee in case this breaks late, that and my post from four days ago about waffling models and you sweating donkey balls Sunday AM deciding wether to pull the trigger or not. WV looks good yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 And this looks nice too....earlier.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yeah Jerry, it's certainly not a bad thing to have cold 850 temps with ne flow at that level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Norlun signature remains evident on 18Z NAM for LI...at 850mb you can almost see the NE winds on the east side and the NW winds to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yeah Jerry, it's certainly not a bad thing to have cold 850 temps with ne flow at that level. The weenies are going to be going nuts tomorrow night. A lot of the models are developing an inverted trough/norlun signature south of LI that comes close to the NJ shore. The radar is going to look awesome as that's developing and the precip blossoms NW but in the end I think it will leave many still disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Can someone cut me down? you look fiercely happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 The weenies are going to be going nuts tomorrow night. A lot of the models are developing an inverted trough/norlun signature south of LI that comes close to the NJ shore. The radar is going to look awesome as that's developing and the precip blossoms NW but in the end I think it will leave many still disappointed. They rarely come to fruition...the 500mb setup is not ideal as you generally want to see more of a vort max or PVA, but its not bad either...the 850 setup though is very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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