cpickett79 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yeah it does have a little inverted trough setting up through far E LI and E CT/RI for Sunday evening/night. will what's the qpf for PVD ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Will does the inverted trough impact the Cape and Islands with any QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Its not just do to one bullish member either...almost all of them are west of the OP...though only problem I have with really believing it is that none of the other models are coming in like that except maybe the NAM which was grazing eastern areas. I would have liked to see the RGEM/GGEM/Ukie come in a bit snowier. Hmmm..my 21st birthday miracle..."It could happen" With that...off to Broad street in Boston...good vibes, good vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Badabing. What say queen euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Will does the inverted trough impact the Cape and Islands with any QPF? It looks like the Cape might get an inch or so from the Euro assuming they are cold enough to snow...maybe even back toward EWB and UUU and there's a bit of an inverted trough for E CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 It looks like the Cape might get an inch or so from the Euro assuming they are cold enough to snow...maybe even back toward EWB and UUU and there's a bit of an inverted trough for E CT. Eastern CT including me in NE CT or east of here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I really hope you guys on the cape get hit, now that the king has taken away the inverted trough midweek, and basically looking at dry weather all week until xmas, it would be fantastic if you could pull out a 1-3 type deal, I am pulling for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Will an inch of snow, or an inch of QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Eastern CT including me in NE CT or east of here? Well it only has QPF into SE CT/S RI....but it could extend northward into NE CT and NW RI or even C MA if its a little more potent than advertised. I wouldn't get any hopes up for anything out of it, but I suppose it wouldn't be shocking to see a band of steadier light snow set up along that axis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Eastern CT including me in NE CT or east of here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 An inch of snow, darn. EURO has a totally different setup then the CMC and GFS. This does not bode too well for forecast confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Will an inch of snow, or an inch of QPF? An inch of snow...if it was cold enough, but it has BL temps pretty warm with the lack of UVVs down there. It might juts be a light rain or non-accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I could see something where that inv trough may have a little area of snow with it....or perhaps even extending a little further west of it.....almost like a mini waa snow. This would probably be localized, but moist ne winds off the water meeting up with nnw-n winds could make for a little snow in some areas. I've see it happen before, but it doesn't always materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Does the EURO show anything for OES type event to unfold with the storm so far out to sea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Well it only has QPF into SE CT/S RI....but it could extend northward into NE CT and NW RI or even C MA if its a little more potent than advertised. I wouldn't get any hopes up for anything out of it, but I suppose it wouldn't be shocking to see a band of steadier light snow set up along that axis. Yeah maybe we can sneak out an inch or 2..Wouldn't surprise me at all. How about the Tuesday night snow? Still there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Get it into the forecast tonight or get burned like you did on Monday night snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Wide spread in the models as they struggle with initial development. Ec is prob on crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yeah maybe we can sneak out an inch or 2..Wouldn't surprise me at all. How about the Tuesday night snow? Still there? Its Wednesday...and its not as good as 00z was..mostly for eastern areas. We mentioned it in the Dec 21-22 thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Its Wednesday...and its not as good as 00z was..mostly for eastern areas. We mentioned it in the Dec 21-22 thread. Oh Scooter texted me earlier and said it was Tuesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Does the EURO show anything for OES type event to unfold with the storm so far out to sea? No nothing significant at this time. It does show some qpf like Will mentioned...maybe an inch if it's frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Oh Scooter texted me earlier and said it was Tuesday night It looked likeTuesday Night into Wednesday, but the euro backed up and weakened it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 So now the EURO is at odds with the other models regarding potential OES. Oh well, it doesn't go our way about 99.9% of the time anyways. I guess the 12z NAM was on its own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 So now the EURO is at odds with the other models regarding potential OES. Oh well, it doesn't go our way about 99.9% of the time anyways. I guess the 12z NAM was on its own. i hope the euro craps the bed with this storm unti tonite /tommorrow with this anamalous set up. record negative ao today in the sense that we have never had a -AO of 5 or more with a negative reading in enso 3.4 .......the other -5 AO (which this year is now lower THAN LAST year's lowest reading) occured while enso 3.4 was positive according to my interrpretation of don s.'s post earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Snowgoose FTW The only thing to watch right now is the LI/CT region tomorrow night, the norlun signature is very evident on both the 12Z GFS and NAM and especially the GEM at 36 hours (RGEM as well). These things of course often do not develop when you see them modeled, and the setup at 500mb is not exceptionally great with no extreme PVA or vort mximum but the 850mb setup looks pretty classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 S/W over MO looks to be moving quickly to the east now. Is this the system that is screwing up the storm for Sunday night/Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I don't think I would get all worked up over the Euro one way or another after what it just pulled the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Snowgoose FTW Great, LI and CT have the norlun to watch, se MA, RI and cc have the storm to watch and NNE has the retrograde potential to watch......I have my atery to watch bleed out after a slice myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I don't think I would get all worked up over the Euro one way or another after what it just pulled the other day. nope from reading different threads in main weather forum from numerous mets and some may wonder here how the euro and ukie have somewhat similiar scores for verification (with euro winning out) and gfs not thaaat far behind....when everyone usually says king euro this or king euro that. The euro is undisputed king in certain set up's like we have last week with the lp that the gfs was pathetic on.......with this set up currently apparently the euro is not the king. don't know if anyone is for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 SW over MO looks pretty decent, maybe this can phase with the southern energy and actually surprise everyone with a miracle the models did not see coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Just go find some girl and forget about wx for a week. You're still a young and single. LOL I'm single, but 90% the women my age have teenage kids. Great, LI and CT have the norlun to watch, se MA, RI and cc have the storm to watch and NNE has the retrograde potential to watch......I have my atery to watch bleed out after a slice myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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