Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Jan 25 2000. Greatest morning of my life. I never gave up on that one. The holy grail of surprise storms. It will forever give hope to radar hallucinators everywhere. Sadly it seems to be fading out of tracking lore, as median weenie age gets younger. WCBS radio on as Alarm clock, first words I heard, man have the weather maps changed overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Eta5 is the SREF culprit...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Jan 25 2000. Greatest morning of my life. I never gave up on that one. The holy grail of surprise storms. It will forever give hope to radar hallucinators everywhere. Sadly it seems to be fading out of tracking lore, as median weenie age gets younger. did NWS do a write up on this one? I would like to read about it tonite......it probably didn't have as many moving parts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 WCBS radio on as Alarm clock, first words I heard, man have the weather maps changed overnight. I'd remember a lot more about that storm if I were the one actually getting the snow. If I recall it kind of stunk up here One thing I'll say about that event. Every single time everyone gets all hot and bothered over a storm and it goes poof at the same 72-96 hour window I'm amazed that the interest just dies. I know there are times when that's it, the only energy and it's over. But sometime i suspect pretty soon we'll have a repeat on some scale where a Monday snowstorm goes away and becomes a Tuesday event etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 ETA5 is going to score a major coup. lock it up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 did NWS do a write up on this one? I would like to read about it tonite......it probably didn't have as many moving parts How did ORH only get three I got six my first winter here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 ETA5 is going to score a major coup. lock it up lol Puts to rest the idea of the NW lean in the mean....distorted pretty badly. RGEM is slower coming through th TN valley, it too is shifting north but it's far too little too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 1/25/2000 was a big event in the Carolinas/Virgina?? Seemed to catch public/utilities off guard. Don't remember it much here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 diane are drinking this evening? yes sierra cement on the order of 15 feet would be great.......a shot of something for every foot that falls. god i wish! lots of extras from the xmas party last weekend!!! i'd love to get buried in 15ft of snow! i wonder what that would be like...April 97 dumped 36inches at my house and i was in awe...that's the most i've i've gotten from one storm...i can't imagine 5x that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Eta5 is the SREF culprit...lol Guess the Euro Ens yesterday must have had a couple of members over Colorado, WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 For the Jan 2000 weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 There is definitely a norlun indication on the NAM at 42 hours but its gone right after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 god i wish! lots of extras from the xmas party last weekend!!! i'd love to get buried in 15ft of snow! i wonder what that would be like...April 97 dumped 36inches at my house and i was in awe...that's the most i've i've gotten from one storm...i can't imagine 5x that! After I talked to my nephew I was driving home and picturing my neighborhood with 12 feet of snow, literally most homes would have snow over their walls to roof level. That is sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 There is definitely a norlun indication on the NAM at 42 hours but its gone right after. = our best shot? at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 After I talked to my nephew I was driving home and picturing my neighborhood with 12 feet of snow, literally most homes would have snow over their walls to roof level. That is sick hahhaahaha, i started picturing what my house would look like buried in that much snow...how in the heck would i clear a path to the woodpile, well, would i even be able to find the woodpile? i gues you have to shovel every few hrs so that the doors wouldn't be buried...and what about clearing it off the roof? how do you find your car??? crap, the logistics of living in such an environment, how do people survive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Event Headlines ...A powerful winter storm dropped record amounts of snow across central North Carolina... ...The all time single storm snow accumulation record for Raleigh-Durham was set with this storm when the airport received 20.3 inches of snow... ...Over 100,000 customers were without power and many schools and business closed for several days... ...The storm was not well forecast by numerical weather prediction models... ...Following the event, research at NC State indicated that the inability of the operational models to resolve antecedent precipitation across the Deep South was a major reason for their forecast failure of the developing cyclone... ...This event reinforces the need for forecasters to maintain situational awareness of upstream conditions and to compare model forecasts with observations... http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20000125/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 There is definitely a norlun indication on the NAM at 42 hours but its gone right after. Hints on the RGEM too but mainly south. I think the RGEM was a trip in the right direction but we're running out of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 How did ORH only get three I got six my first winter here Yea this evolved to this in 24 hours unexpectedly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 1/25/2000 was a big event in the Carolinas/Virgina?? Seemed to catch public/utilities off guard. Don't remember it much here... Huge event down there....nice one in Philly where I was. I looked at the radar and I was like "oh man that is coming straight up the coast. The Mets were scrambling....the pattern screamed storm but it was the 1st shortwave not the second as they had forecast. Dont' remember the model that picked up on it but it was one run and BAM! get ready snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 hahhaahaha, i started picturing what my house would look like buried in that much snow...how in the heck would i clear a path to the woodpile, well, would i even be able to find the woodpile? i gues you have to shovel every few hrs so that the doors wouldn't be buried...and what about clearing it off the roof? how do you find your car??? crap, the logistics of living in such an environment, how do people survive? Preparation, constant shoveling, hunker down, get drunk, get some lovin, it works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Event Headlines ...A powerful winter storm dropped record amounts of snow across central North Carolina... ...The all time single storm snow accumulation record for Raleigh-Durham was set with this storm when the airport received 20.3 inches of snow... ...Over 100,000 customers were without power and many schools and business closed for several days... ...The storm was not well forecast by numerical weather prediction models... ...Following the event, research at NC State indicated that the inability of the operational models to resolve antecedent precipitation across the Deep South was a major reason for their forecast failure of the developing cyclone... ...This event reinforces the need for forecasters to maintain situational awareness of upstream conditions and to compare model forecasts with observations... http://www4.ncsu.edu...cases/20000125/ Yeah...the models blew it for that event. But the models today have much higher verification scores today than back then. The NOGAPS today gets higher scores than the MRF did in 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Gotta love the analog96 thread. What a trainwreck he is!!! Scary indeed, but he has inadvertantly created a great thread. Good discussion among the mets and a few pithy insults. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Event Headlines ...A powerful winter storm dropped record amounts of snow across central North Carolina... ...The all time single storm snow accumulation record for Raleigh-Durham was set with this storm when the airport received 20.3 inches of snow... ...Over 100,000 customers were without power and many schools and business closed for several days... ...The storm was not well forecast by numerical weather prediction models... ...Following the event, research at NC State indicated that the inability of the operational models to resolve antecedent precipitation across the Deep South was a major reason for their forecast failure of the developing cyclone... ...This event reinforces the need for forecasters to maintain situational awareness of upstream conditions and to compare model forecasts with observations... http://www4.ncsu.edu...cases/20000125/ was just about to post that ... ."...Following the event, research at NC State indicated that the inability of the operational models to resolve antecedent precipitation across the Deep South was a major reason for their forecast failure of the developing cyclone... ...This event reinforces the need for forecasters to maintain situational awareness of upstream conditions and to compare model forecasts with observations" in a multi quote with the poster who said they saw t-storms moving NE out of gulf. but i'm not smart enough . .................................lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I think the Euro will be huge tonight. Always switches up on the 00z runs. We had a couple of mammoth hits, couple of OTS, now back to the blizzards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Tonights going to be a ****show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Heck of a snowstorm for western NS and NB on the NAM, with Caribou ultimately getting backlashed pretty good. Our few posters from NS should keep us updated vicariously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Preparation, constant shoveling, hunker down, get drunk, get some lovin, it works. hot wings, reese's pb cups, yellow cake with chocolate frosting...got the necessities covered... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yeah...the models blew it for that event. But the models today have much higher verification scores today than back then. The NOGAPS today gets higher scores than the MRF did in 2000. Morning ETA had zero QPF in Raleigh that day , twenty inches later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Anything up? Just back from my daughter's dance recital. Great show. Went for Indian food at this great little Central Sq place. Nice to have a break. Getting tired of bare ground but it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 GFS is a tease. I swear there's still a feedback issue that will hopefully get resolved in all models with the 6z or 12z suites...but it may just serve to make the miss worse. Still worth watching every six hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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