Logan11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 HAH One storm can make a pattern right.... If we pulled off a major storm on Xmas this forgettable month would all of a sudden go down in wx weenie annals as one of the better Decembers. But hey it probably won't happen. Merry Christmas on the GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 lol, love the xmas clown solution - I'll be in baltimore/dc so they'll probably cash in there while it gets supressed and squashed missing NE. Final parting FU of 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Now JB has something to cling to ...after he finally pulls the plug on this current non-storm. lol, love the xmas clown solution - I'll be in baltimore/dc so they'll probably cash in there while it gets supressed and squashed missing NE. Final parting FU of 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think the 18z was positive for me. I think the RUC and WV make it appear the models are going to adjust further at 0z but unless things change considerably over the lakes it won't be able to rotate around in time. Much more optimistic we will see something here, an inch or two is fine by me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 No Will, Ray, Kevin or Scooter today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm not holding my breath for that possible storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Now JB has something to cling to ...after he finally pulls the plug on this current non-storm. Enjoy your 18z GFS weenie solution, it's the only 18z GFS weenie solution you've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 No Will, Ray, Kevin or Scooter today. I'm back, I was here for the NAM and GFS earlier this morning, but have been out all day since then. I actually was productive today not worrying too much about the 18z models!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm back, I was here for the NAM and GFS earlier this morning, but have been out all day since then. I actually was productive today not worrying too much about the 18z models!!! You weren't glued to the models like me to figure out how thick the cirrus shield would be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 All my eggs are in that inverted trough solution basket on Tuesday/Wednesday. 3-5" would be a nice consolation prize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 Merry Christmas on the GFS! La, la Lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 La, la Lock it up! Kevin is 0 for 2 on locks this year. Let's hope he doesn't lock in Wednesday or Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turtle Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm back, I was here for the NAM and GFS earlier this morning, but have been out all day since then. I actually was productive today not worrying too much about the 18z models!!! Smart man, Will! Can't rely on them lately. You weren't glued to the models like me to figure out how thick the cirrus shield would be? :lmao: Yeah, right... --Turtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 All my eggs are in that inverted trough solution basket on Tuesday/Wednesday. 3-5" would be a nice consolation prize. You sure you want to make the basket that big? Or put in that many eggs...or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm back, I was here for the NAM and GFS earlier this morning, but have been out all day since then. I actually was productive today not worrying too much about the 18z models!!! After being attached to a computer for a few days, it always amazes me what I can accomplish in that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well he did lock in a lot of 90+ at BDL last Summer.... Kevin is 0 for 2 on locks this year. Let's hope he doesn't lock in Wednesday or Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Heavy snow for most of New England, NYC metro, and much of the Mid Atlantic at 204:: I crown you young king! Good call (or so it seems...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Just loaded norad santa tracker for the kids, hopefully mother nature will deliver a festivus miracle and put down a coating to a couple inches over the next few days, then deliver the goods on xmas eve and day, gotta have faith, its a cruel hobby, but nothing beats it, chin up! I believe things will tick west through 18z tomorrow as the vortathon gets sorted out off the east coast, not the big hit, but enough to make for a white xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Here is where winter is: From www.midwestradio.ie in the Roscommon/Mayo area of Ireland. I was there visiting family last May and it was 80-85F. , but they said they had snow on the ground for a long timer last Winter also. Gardai warn of very dangerous driving conditions as snowfall continues Friday, 17 December 2010 18:11 GARDAI ARE WARNING MOTORISTS OF DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AS FURTHER SNOWFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING HAS FURTHER IMPACTED ON THE ROAD CONDITIONS. GARDAI IN BALLINA SAY IT IS SNOWING AGAIN MAKING CONDITIONS DIFFICULT. IN CASTLEBAR THE N5 ROAD IS DANGEROUS AS IS THE PONTOON ROAD AND IT IS SNOWING AGAIN THIS EVENING. THE GARDAI IN WESTPORT SAY THE N5 BETWEEN CASTLEBAR AND WESTPORT IS TREACHEROUS THIS EVENING AND SHOULD ONLY BE TRAVELLED ON IF NECESSARY. IN CLAREMORRIS GARDAI SAY THEY ARE ADVISING MOTORISTS TO AVOID THE SLIP ROAD ONTO THE N17 ON THE BALLYHAUNIS ROAD AS IT IS TREACHEROUS. THE ROAD AT RUSHBROOK IS ALSO DANGEROUS. IN SWINFORD CARE IS ADVISED ACROSS THE AREA AS MOST ROADS ARE VERY DANGEROUS WITH SNOWFALL. GARDAI SAY THE CASTLEREA TO CASTLEPLUNKETT ROAD IS IMPASSABLE THIS EVENING, WHILE THE CASTLEREA TO FRENCHPARK ROAD IS ALSO TREACHEROUS. THE BOYLE TO FRENCHPARK ROAD IS ALSO IMPASSABLE WHILE THE MAIN ROADS AROUND BOYLE ARE ALSO VERY DANGEROUS. IN ROSCOMMON GARDAI SAY ROADS ACROSS THE AREA ARE VERY DANGEROUS AND ARE ADVISING AGAINST UNECESSARY JOURNEYS. IN BALLYMOTE CONDITIONS ARE DESCRIBED AS VERY POOR BY GARDAI. IN TUAM GARDAI SAY THE MAIN N17 ROAD IS IN A GOOD CONDITION BUT AGAIN CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED ON SIDE ROADS. AND THE WORD FROM MET EIREANN ON ANY IMPROVEMENT IS NOT GOOD EITHER. JOHN EAGLETON SAYS THAT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND ARTIC CONDITIONS WILL BE WITH US UNTIL AT LEAST CHRISTMAS EVE. Well he did lock in a lot of 90+ at BDL last Summer.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Shout out to AmericanWx on SoSH: http://sonsofsamhorn.net/topic/62240-weather-watch-dec-19th-packers-in-foxborough/ Which one of you is SoxScout or mascho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Heavy snow for most of New England, NYC metro, and much of the Mid Atlantic at 204:: are you on board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 After being attached to a computer for a few days, it always amazes me what I can accomplish in that time Yeah it amazes me too. I basically told myself I was going to get some stuff done and not worry what the Euro said or 18z suite said....whenever I get back I get back. I was quite productive doing that. That said, we still may have something to track, but it would be for Tuesday/Wednesday. If we could get a few inches to at least set the stage to give us a white Christmas, that wouldn't be a bad consolation prize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Shout out to AmericanWx on SoSH: http://sonsofsamhorn...-in-foxborough/ Which one of you is SoxScout or mascho? lol...I've been stuck in lurker/validation hell over there since 2006, but I always lurk and read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Just loaded norad santa tracker for the kids, hopefully mother nature will deliver a festivus miracle and put down a coating to a couple inches over the next few days, then deliver the goods on xmas eve and day, gotta have faith, its a cruel hobby, but nothing beats it, chin up! I believe things will tick west through 18z tomorrow as the vortathon gets sorted out off the east coast, not the big hit, but enough to make for a white xmas. Try www.portablenorthpole.tv It will make you believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yeah it amazes me too. I basically told myself I was going to get some stuff done and not worry what the Euro said or 18z suite said....whenever I get back I get back. I was quite productive doing that. That said, we still may have something to track, but it would be for Tuesday/Wednesday. If we could get a few inches to at least set the stage to give us a white Christmas, that wouldn't be a bad consolation prize. I agree...in terms of getting a couple inches here for Christmas would be nice. I joked with my wife last week, that if only the dusting in our yard would last one more week, we'd have a white xmas...now I'm hoping that joke will become a reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I crown you young king! Good call (or so it seems...) Yeah I was always on the bandwagon for an easterly track with the weekend storm; when I realized I had to squint to see the shortwave in question coming out of a zonal flow, I figured it probably was going to be a weaker/east solution. We don't have a lot of amplification from the Pacific side and the PV just wasn't quite in the right position to make a full phase, so we were talking about a complex timing issue that would probably be resolved to the east. It also seems like the last few runs caught onto some energy hanging out near Florida that dampens the baroclinic zone east. I wouldn't call this storm a victory for anyone though I'm glad I remained more conservative. are you on board? I was just posting, half sarcastically, what the model output shows for the Christmas storm; I have no faith in the 18z GFS in the long range, and we've seen how volatile the pattern is so I wouldn't want to make too much analysis right now. 12z ECM has mostly cold/dry conditions for December 25th, so we'll have to see if we get further consensus about a threat. We're still holding onto the -NAO and below average temperatures although I could see the Plains storm cutting off too early and tracking to our west if we don't have the perfect blocking upstream. The Pacific flow is active and the PNA looks to be neutralizing, but we don't have a blockbuster set-up on the Pacific end by any means. Here is where winter is: Yeah, the UK is getting hammered by the polar low descending from eastern Greenland. It was a 498dm polar low at its inception so we're talking about a very potent system with 850s <-10C, which is bitterly cold for England/Ireland. Heavy snow has also been falling in Germany, and I saw London had racked up a few inches. Amazing to think that places that generally see little snowfall in a winter (Dublin, London) have had way more than normally snowy places like ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yeah I was always on the bandwagon for an easterly track with the weekend storm; when I realized I had to squint to see the shortwave in question coming out of a zonal flow, I figured it probably was going to be a weaker/east solution. We don't have a lot of amplification from the Pacific side and the PV just wasn't quite in the right position to make a full phase, so we were talking about a complex timing issue that would probably be resolved to the east. It also seems like the last few runs caught onto some energy hanging out near Florida that dampens the baroclinic zone east. I wouldn't call this storm a victory for anyone though I'm glad I remained more conservative. I was just posting, half sarcastically, what the model output shows for the Christmas storm; I have no faith in the 18z GFS in the long range, and we've seen how volatile the pattern is so I wouldn't want to make too much analysis right now. 12z ECM has mostly cold/dry conditions for December 25th, so we'll have to see if we get further consensus about a threat. We're still holding onto the -NAO and below average temperatures although I could see the Plains storm cutting off too early and tracking to our west if we don't have the perfect blocking upstream. The Pacific flow is active and the PNA looks to be neutralizing, but we don't have a blockbuster set-up on the Pacific end by any means. cool thanks for your thoughts , sounds like more of the same which is nothing new i guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Well this was my first time tracking a storm from the very first signs of it! It was a roller coaster of emotions that I never imaged it would be, so regardless of the outcome, I'm glad I had the experience and let the future threats come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Try www.portablenorthpole.tv It will make you believe Thanks! Just floored my 7 yr old, had done similiar things in the past, but this was off the charts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Nothing to see on the Wed clipper or X=mas storm..Focus your hopes on the retro snow for a few inches on Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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