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December 19th-20 Storm Thread III


Baroclinic Zone

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Absolutelty. A cursher. The great one has failed. It might have been the worst model on this whole storm overall

Agreed.

I'm now of the mindset that our best chance of snow is going to be a "wow, who woulda thought" system that quickly evolves with a 48-54 hr lead time.

Either that or just send some SWFE. Question: will we end December aoa normal precipitation wise and have diddly squat for snow to show for it?

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It's almost impossible to argue with that much history. This is going to miss most of us, the question is do any of us see much of anything?

Per Don's research a big snowstorm has NEVER happened with this type of La Nina. That about says it all.

Well he is talking about a KU. We can get big snowstorms at least in parts of New England without them being KUs.

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Assuming this thing plays out as currently progged, it fits perfectly with the last 12 months in this area - lots of teases and no substance. Last winter had all those huge storms and the only one not a clean miss arrived after all the cold air had rotted out - nearly 4" qpf from a perfectly placed LP in Feb and only mush. This past summer I think we had more severe wx watches than in any previous, and we never even had a moderately strong TS (had to go to Illinois to see that.) In fact, we've had only 8 days with thunder all year, easily the least I've had here and less than half of my avg. Now we get storm teases and no-shows during what was supposed to be the best part of a La Nina winter. Guess it all fits together. Can't even get real cold in this area - though CON is exactly normal for 12/1-16, PWM is +0.6, BGR about +2, CAR +9.

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The highest amount I have my weather record is 34" between 10-13 January 1996. I made a notes though that there were certain spots over 48" in the yard. I was living at 290' in North Somers, CT. My record only goes back to 1985 so I can't say if there was more before that.

Dave

I've been in Easthampton for 10 years, and while I don't keep records or remember specifics, it certainly has not been a spectacular stretch of winters around here. Definitely the least snowy location I have lived in.

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I know it's not worth getting all bent out of shape over, but how the F*ck could everything be so off from 24 hours, even less than that ago. I freaking knew when I woke up today that this crap was gonna happen. I tried to keep myself from going on line earlier today, but I did so just the same, just to see, and it was just what I expected. Now, I don't even think I'll see a freaking flurry before Christmas. Hats off to those in Virginia who got their 3" or so this week.

. . . Truly pathetic.

I apologize for the rant, but hey, my wife doesn't give a crap, and people at work surely don't know what the hell I'm talking about, so this is a good a place as any.

I'm out.

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Well, that was fun.

Yet another brown Christmas in southern Maine. Hope the mid-Atlantic enjoys their snow.

There's still a little inverted trough action for NNE/ENE. But it's a far cry from the 00z Euro.

Looks like about 0.10 around ORH...0.20ish around BOS and here...a little over 0.25 for PWM.

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What an absolute abhorrent month of winter weather this has been.

Year.

Last year on this date it was single number maximums (6F IMBY), we'd had two small events and a 8-9" dump in the previous week, and things were looking up. Then came the retro bomb, every month above normal temps, yada, yada. Last time I saw +SN was 2/23/09.

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This is why I always roll my eyes when people post during slow stretches that "all I want is something to track." We all just invested a full work week tracking this, and we're left feeling irrationally angry and justifiably pathetic. At least if there hadn't been anything on the board I would've had a more productive week, and would probably feel a lot more sane. I'm on the verge of just accepting that it doesn't snow here anymore.

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