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December 19th-20 Storm Thread III


Baroclinic Zone

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  On 12/19/2010 at 12:04 AM, ski MRG said:

Here I am waaaayyyy west and I'm watching for the 1 in 1,000,000 chance I get a little action. That's how badly I have this disease.

I would never choose city life over the rural one. Even if there was snow there what good is it laying on flatland.lol

Agreed on both points. Maybe we'll get a flurry from our cirrus. lol

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  On 12/19/2010 at 2:05 AM, Arnold214 said:

It does but i think its gonna try to catch cape and islands in ccb again. Accum snow for pretty much everyone along and east of 95 methinks.

Yeah Cape just gets into the CCB... looks like enough moisture gets thrown back for some accumulation BOS/PVD/GON/OKX

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  On 12/19/2010 at 2:02 AM, skierinvermont said:

Nam looks good to me with the s/w but there is more convective interference

NAM looks way different from the 18z GFS at 24 hours, much farther west with the precipitation shield...I don't know if this is its typical bias of overdoing QPF or a true synoptic difference that its resolution can recognize:

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Haven't seen the SREF members yet, but when I quickly looked at the crappy NCEP mean images and compared the 24hr QPF maps from 21z and 15z it seemed like the numbers were cut back a bit in the interior and a slight bump around the Cape. Looks like the NAM is coming in a bit like that with a sharper gradient.

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  On 12/19/2010 at 2:10 AM, dendrite said:

Haven't seen the SREF members yet, but when I quickly looked at the crappy NCEP mean images and compared the 24hr QPF maps from 21z and 15z it seemed like the numbers were cut back a bit in the interior and a slight bump around the Cape. Looks like the NAM is coming in a bit like that with a sharper gradient.

See my reply to you.:thumbsup:

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