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The 'oh, who cares' 1st half of May boring ass pattern banter thread


Typhoon Tip

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It is entirely possible ... although rare at this time of year, that the "boundary" (frankly, it's hard to tell if it is a boundary or just a sea/land air interface) stays put, and that the NAM was too aggressive in hauling it SW through the area.  No one in CT is getting affected by a boundary from the NE until I do first, here in Ayer Mass, which is N of Rt 2 and east or ORH's longitude in Mass.   And I can tell you, after my little run in with a thunderstorm, it's sultry here.  Temps popped right back into the mid 70s and the dews is 68!  

 

I'll let you know ...    But I had envisioned a pulse of wind from the NE and a 12 to 18F temp recession, yesterday, and there's nothing around at the present time to indicate that's about to happen.   We'll see... when more d-time heating takes place the local Hadley circulation may usurp this set up and force the boundary in.  That would mean more storms!

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It does appear the new NAM has tightened the boundary/gradient to lodging it more over eastern zones through the remainder of the afternoon and nighttime.  Looking at the FRH grid has Logan flipping around to SW at 12z, and then the T1 soars to 26C by 18z, from a low of 10!!   That's basically 52F in fog and strata, to 87F in torrid humidity and crispy towers, across a mere 6 hours. 

 

That's fantastic Meteorology -- if you don't get that, go to the doctor, ask to be put on life-support because you are in a coma.  

 

Also, DPs could be 65 to 70 with 88 along the I-95 corridor.  Regional LIs are down to -4.  Pure summer.  

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It does appear the new NAM has tightened the boundary/gradient to lodging it more over eastern zones through the remainder of the afternoon and nighttime.  Looking at the FRH grid has Logan flipping around to SW at 12z, and then the T1 soars to 26C by 18z, from a low of 10!!   That's basically 52F in fog and strata, to 87F in torrid humidity and crispy towers, across a mere 6 hours. 

 

That's fantastic Meteorology -- if you don't get that, go to the doctor, ask to be put on life-support because you are in a coma.  

 

Also, DPs could be 65 to 70 with 88 along the I-95 corridor.  Regional LIs are down to -4.  Pure summer.  

Tomorrow will be very warm just inland for sure. 

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Hm, unabated insolation now pounding wetted soils out there.   Roads and roof tops steamed violently for 10 minutes.   Saw a couple steam dogs -- those are cool!  They dance along the roof tops and are barely visible -- you have to really look hard for them.  Delicate, nearly invisible, micro-vorticies that are very pipe-like.  

 

I actually have seen steam dogs over Rockport Harbor during an arctic sea-smoke time.  0F air mass moving toward the shore waters, but it can't be too windy.  Those steam dogs can get a 100 ft high and be 5 ft in diameter.   

 

Same idea here, only up the thermal scale by a good measure.

 

Anyway, this boundary is interesting.  Unless it actively pushes through, I'm going to be 83F/66F, with mid 60s over 50sdp just to me east.  All we need is a trigger!

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Hi resolution vis imagery shows that TCU are starting to bubble up taller than the surrounding CU field over nearly collocated with Interstate 95.   Less cu N of that axis and more S suggests a boundary extends west to E.  Could serve as a trigger.  

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