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The 'oh, who cares' 1st half of May boring ass pattern banter thread


Typhoon Tip

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Big congrats going out to bos +10 PVD +9 and ORH +9 on the day.  ALL 4 stations through today above normal for the month as well!

 

Above normal, is the new CHILLY

 

 

VIVA la Mid May cold snaps!!!!

Pretty amazing that most sites are only barely above normal considering the amount of sun and lack of rainy days we've had this month.

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Pretty amazing that most sites are only barely above normal considering the amount of sun and lack of rainy days we've had this month.

 

That is pretty amazing actually...especially in this day and age of "climate warming".  You would think that with so many rainless days we would be well above-average temp wise but that's not the case.  Which is weird b/c with the ridging we've had here we still haven't been able to get a truly, extremely warm air mass in.

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That is pretty amazing actually...especially in this day and age of "climate warming".  You would think that with so many rainless days we would be well above-average temp wise but that's not the case.  Which is weird b/c with the ridging we've had here we still haven't been able to get a truly, extremely warm air mass in.

Most of our big neg departure days this time of year (especially relatively recently) have been due to raw E-NE flow drizzle fests.

 

Our first half of May had a lot of confluence and cP sfc highs. Many sites in the valleys are averaging 30F+ diurnal ranges so far which is pretty remarkable.

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Most of our big neg departure days this time of year (especially relatively recently) have been due to raw E-NE flow drizzle fests.

 

Our first half of May had a lot of confluence and cP sfc highs. Many sites in the valleys are averaging 30F+ diurnal ranges so far which is pretty remarkable.

 

Besides our area, the weather for much of the country has just been plain weird.  Almost makes you wonder how we will go through the rest of the spring into the summer.  

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Pretty amazing that most sites are only barely above normal considering the amount of sun and lack of rainy days we've had this month.

 

 

Yeah its almost been a backward month...a lot of our sunny/dry days have been putting up negative departures...our showery/rainy period put up the biggest positive departures...at least down here. Usually in May, its the opposite.

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That is pretty amazing actually...especially in this day and age of "climate warming".  You would think that with so many rainless days we would be well above-average temp wise but that's not the case.  Which is weird b/c with the ridging we've had here we still haven't been able to get a truly, extremely warm air mass in.

Up here in Northern New England we've been WELL above normal. About +7 for the month, with 9 out of the first 10 days of the month having double-digit positive departures (KBTV).

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Well and in reality, the outbreak really wasn't that bad. Just the few tornadoes that did form were intense and moved over populated areas.

 

130515_rpts.gif

 

True, but this was the outlook issued yesterday morning:

 

day1probotlk_20130515_1200_torn_prt.gif

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2013/day1otlk_20130515_1200.html

 

 

I guess it just goes to show that all it takes is one monster tornado...

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The 2nd half of last night's EC was pretty dismal for summer wx lovers. Next week starts warm, but then we get a front hung up around CNE by mid/late week with some rain chances. The end of the run is just plain cold for late May...looked like even some snow in the higher terrain of NW ME at the weenie portion of the run.

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The 2nd half of last night's EC was pretty dismal for summer wx lovers. Next week starts warm, but then we get a front hung up around CNE by mid/late week with some rain chances. The end of the run is just plain cold for late May...looked like even some snow in the higher terrain of NW ME at the weenie portion of the run.

 

Yeah that trough hangs up over us with pretty chilly wx. Hopefully Sunday and Monday are ok.

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Up here in Northern New England we've been WELL above normal. About +7 for the month, with 9 out of the first 10 days of the month having double-digit positive departures (KBTV).

You beat me to it...haha. +6.9F on the month at BTV.

+4.5F at Morrisville-Stowe and +3.2F at Montpelier.

With that said the warmth earlier in the month sort of went up and over SNE in terms of departures...although this recent cold snap put together a couple negative double digit departures, the first 11days at all 3 sites were all +5<. BTV wins the Libations torch award with 9 of the first 10 days being +10<...

The daytime highs for the first ten days were generally 70s to low 80s which is ridiculously above normal, especially at the sites east of the Green Mtn Spine. MPV at 1200ft was 70+ for the first 10 days which is very warm for that elevation east of the Spine.

The only reason MVL and MPV are only half the departures of BTV is that those two sites radiate well. BTV will win the torch award because with warm daytime temps, it doesn't cool off at night...like a double whammy while MPV and MVL do 40+ diurnal swings to cool off the steep daytime departures.

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Sounds like early summer to me..No big heat but solid AN..We'll take it

THE
16/12Z ECENS AND 17/00Z GEFS SUGGEST THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
REMAIN OVER OR JUST NORTHWEST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS SHOULD YIELD WARM AND SOMEWHAT HUMID WEATHER ALONG WITH A
RISK OF MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS FROM TUE AND BEYOND.

SO WHILE THE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEK CONTAINS CHANCE POPS JUST ABOUT
EVERY DAY...NOT EXPECTING A WASHOUT WITH MANY HOURS OF DRY WEATHER
ANTICIPATED ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHTS AND INTO THE MORNING
HOURS. AS FOR TEMPS...WARMER THAN NORMAL FROM TUE ONWARD BUT NOT
EXPECTING ANY RECORD HEAT.


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Sounds like early summer to me..No big heat but solid AN..We'll take it

THE

16/12Z ECENS AND 17/00Z GEFS SUGGEST THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL

REMAIN OVER OR JUST NORTHWEST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND MUCH OF NEXT

WEEK. THIS SHOULD YIELD WARM AND SOMEWHAT HUMID WEATHER ALONG WITH A

RISK OF MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS FROM TUE AND BEYOND.

SO WHILE THE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEK CONTAINS CHANCE POPS JUST ABOUT

EVERY DAY...NOT EXPECTING A WASHOUT WITH MANY HOURS OF DRY WEATHER

ANTICIPATED ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHTS AND INTO THE MORNING

HOURS. AS FOR TEMPS...WARMER THAN NORMAL FROM TUE ONWARD BUT NOT

EXPECTING ANY RECORD HEAT.

 

 

Hmm. Not sure what they looked at.

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The 2nd half of last night's EC was pretty dismal for summer wx lovers. Next week starts warm, but then we get a front hung up around CNE by mid/late week with some rain chances. The end of the run is just plain cold for late May...looked like even some snow in the higher terrain of NW ME at the weenie portion of the run.

Fortunately the Euro past day 6 blows in skill

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LOL...

 

 

TAF PANC 171138Z 1712/1818 36004KT P6SM -RA SCT025 OVC035
     WS020/13035KT TEMPO 1713/1714 6SM -RA BKN015 OVC025
     FM171400 35008KT 5SM -RA BR BKN005 BKN025
     FM172200 34010KT 5SM -RASN BKN008 OVC022
     FM180200 34010KT 1/2SM SN BKN004 OVC012
     FM180900 33005KT 1SM -SN BKN008 OVC015=
 

PANC is Anchorage.

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LOL...

 

 

TAF PANC 171138Z 1712/1818 36004KT P6SM -RA SCT025 OVC035

     WS020/13035KT TEMPO 1713/1714 6SM -RA BKN015 OVC025

     FM171400 35008KT 5SM -RA BR BKN005 BKN025

     FM172200 34010KT 5SM -RASN BKN008 OVC022

     FM180200 34010KT 1/2SM SN BKN004 OVC012

     FM180900 33005KT 1SM -SN BKN008 OVC015=

 

PANC is Anchorage.

SUSITNA VALLEY-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL

410 PM AKDT THU MAY 16 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO

1 PM AKDT SATURDAY FROM TALKEETNA NORTH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER

ADVISORY FOR FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1

PM AKDT SATURDAY.

* LOCATION...FROM TALKEETNA NORTH.

* SNOW...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...THE MAIN SNOW EVENT WILL BEGIN AFTER 7 PM FRIDAY AND

TAPER OFF TO RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE LIMITED

IN HEAVY SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW

WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW

COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE

DRIVING.

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