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The 'oh, who cares' 1st half of May boring ass pattern banter thread


Typhoon Tip

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I want my 60's/70's dews

 

May be awhile before we get them. There's a chance we could sneak them in briefly middle of next week...GFS would try to do it, but Euro isn't as bullish and keeps the higher dew stuff south with the sfc low going much closer to us.

The Euro ensembles show potential for perhaps some better severe setups by the very end of the month as they try to start building a ridge in the middle of the country and push our trough to the east...that is a typical time for good events here. But so far this year, we've had a hard time building heat domes so we'll have to see if it happens.

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Is it me or is the hype about today's fire threat in SNE grossly overblown? Rapid green up under growth, wetness from recent rains and fogs. There is more to fire spread and growth than Met conditions. Yeah smaller brush fires happen even in wet periods but I have seen on the Web some really hyping it up.

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Is it me or is the hype about today's fire threat in SNE grossly overblown? Rapid green up under growth, wetness from recent rains and fogs. There is more to fire spread and growth than Met conditions. Yeah smaller brush fires happen even in wet periods but I have seen on the Web some really hyping it up.

 

I'd be shocked if there was any real issues today...a couple small brush fires aside. The downsloping dry winds make it worse, but as you said, green up and recent rain mitigates it somewhat.

NWS didn't even put out a red flag warning...though they did highlight some elevated risk in a special weather statement. But if conditions were really that bad, a red flag warning would be up.

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My Davis rain guage has recorded .02" of liquid from some really dense fogs with no rain what-so-ever. Truth be told, once the sun comes out and dries the ground, it was all for naught.

 

I think coastal redwoods get most of their water from fog.  When condensation forms, it's a no-brainer that it should count as precip if it's dense enough.

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I think coastal redwoods get most of their water from fog.  When condensation forms, it's a no-brainer that it should count as precip if it's dense enough.

 

I record it and is part of my yearly total. I get plenty of fog here on the coast. Most times it's just .01". But it kept the grass nice, green, and growing during the 2 week dry spell.

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I just went into the woods at work, the leaves and litter are wet underneath. We had rain at sundown, clouds until 10 and of course with a full canopy not much sun. Yes fog does saturate foliage, pretty simple concept.

We've had wall to wall sunshine here. Not a cloud to be seen. quite the breeze to boot. Temp actually back-tracking a bit, dropped to 69.7. Interesting to see that at noon time.

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May be awhile before we get them. There's a chance we could sneak them in briefly middle of next week...GFS would try to do it, but Euro isn't as bullish and keeps the higher dew stuff south with the sfc low going much closer to us.

The Euro ensembles show potential for perhaps some better severe setups by the very end of the month as they try to start building a ridge in the middle of the country and push our trough to the east...that is a typical time for good events here. But so far this year, we've had a hard time building heat domes so we'll have to see if it happens.

 

I hope we can get into some better severe setups by the end of the month as that's when my friend will be down.  Even if the potential exists down into like MD/DE region we can go there.  

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