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The 'oh, who cares' 1st half of May boring ass pattern banter thread


Typhoon Tip

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Lol. I was just reminded of that when I pulled up OKX radar. Just days and days of a dry slot. Our worst nightmare happened to those poor folks. And it was way too close for comfort.Though to get the heaviest snow you need to be close to the dryslot

 

I said it before and I'll say it again. I would rather change to rain after 2" of snow than dryslot. Dryslots are the absolute worst nightmare.

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Nothing, nothing could make up for that. My God.

Still one of the most bizzare dry slots I've ever seen. Still never heard a good answer for why that occurred and was so persistent. It looked more like freak mesoscale processes rather than your normal H7 dryslot or something. It was like the easterly flow developed a wave motion behind the coastal front in SE MA...downsloping into RI and then rising again as it got into Ct.

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Still one of the most bizzare dry slots I've ever seen. Still never heard a good answer for why that occurred and was so persistent. It looked more like freak mesoscale processes rather than your normal H7 dryslot or something. It was like the easterly flow developed a wave motion behind the coastal front in SE MA...downsloping into RI and then rising again as it got into Ct.

 

That may be part of it. There was a ton of mass convergence and overall lift in ern ma. The response to that seemed to be subsidence over RI and then uplift again near Kevin...which also may have been frontogenesis related too.

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That may be part of it. There was a ton of mass convergence and overall lift in ern ma. The response to that seemed to be subsidence over RI and then uplift again near Kevin...which also may have been frontogenesis related too.

 

Yeah what was crazy is that the storm was so drawn out... mesoscale features that are usually transient wound up staying over the same areas for 12 hours or more. The flow remained relatively similar through the bulk of the storm and that mass convergence you mentioned over SE Mass never relented. 

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Yeah what was crazy is that the storm was so drawn out... mesoscale features that are usually transient wound up staying over the same areas for 12 hours or more. The flow remained relatively similar through the bulk of the storm and that mass convergence you mentioned over SE Mass never relented. 

 

I know..never seen anything like it. I couldn't believe how stubborn that was. I would have paid for that to be over Tolland....lol.

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You are more prone to screwjobs than he is. Miller B screwjobs.

Im in a spot where I get snow from just about every Miller B except a cape scraper of course, I'm far enough east to still get some snow. Maybe it's only a few inches but Still don't get skunked. Miller a's are what can screw this area with dry slots
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A few of the GFS ensembles and a some operational runs (var) have been hinting at the trough pinching off as it tries to exit the east early next week.  Lower probability result but should it come to fruition that would hugely impact the complexion of weather around here for obvious reasons.  

 

Otherwise, 00z Euro backed off the cold in another increment.  Now really only getting the region to -2C at 850 for a comparatively briefer time, before immediately going back above 0C within 24 hours.  This is typical for this time of year, for cold shots (unless it is something absurd like 1977), where they tend to verify muted over guidance ... more or less.  

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Im in a spot where I get snow from just about every Miller B except a cape scraper of course, I'm far enough east to still get some snow. Maybe it's only a few inches but Still don't get skunked. Miller a's are what can screw this area with dry slots

 

You are due for storms bringing half of what we get here to the east. It's not like you would get 2" while I get 20"...but it's coming.

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As we break through tomorrow, it still looks like a few locations could tickle 80 degrees. Then back to showery weather on Saturday...

 

Yeah, NAM MOS is at or over 80 for FIT tomorrow...  What is interesting, though, is that the FRH grid has higher thickness in the lowest 1300 meters for Saturday -- yet the MOS is only 79 that afternoon, at FIT.  So the MOS is doing something to fiddle with the numbers and mute what the thermodynamics of the grid would suggest;  otherwise, it would be even warmer for a lot of the interior for Saturday, actually.   

 

LI's that day are regionally at 0 or even a bit less, so there is some conditional buoyancy in the area should there be trigger.  There is with an approaching frontal system.  SPC has the area in "SEE TXT", fwiw. 

 

I think the overall vibe for the next 2 days is early summer-like, once we get this rotting cut-off to fill/pass.  

 

By the way folks, tedious perhaps ... but studying the hi res visibile imagery suggests there is a bit of brightening pretty abruptly along the underside of the current batch of moderate rains/showers pressing NNE through the area.  Then ... some distance S there is an axis of convection, which appears to be fueled by that small amount of solar input.  Those down pours mean business. 

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Yeah, NAM MOS is at or over 80 for FIT tomorrow... What is interesting, though, is that the FRH grid has higher thickness in the lowest 1300 meters for Saturday -- yet the MOS is only 79 that afternoon, at FIT. So the MOS is doing something to fiddle with the numbers and mute what the thermodynamics of the grid would suggest; otherwise, it would be even warmer for a lot of the interior for Saturday, actually.

LI's that day are regionally at 0 or even a bit less, so there is some conditional buoyancy in the area should there be trigger. There is with an approaching frontal system. SPC has the area in "SEE TXT", fwiw.

I think the overall vibe for the next 2 days is early summer-like, once we get this rotting cut-off to fill/pass.

By the way folks, tedious perhaps ... but studying the hi res visibile imagery suggests there is a bit of brightening pretty abruptly along the underside of the current batch of moderate rains/showers pressing NNE through the area. Then ... some distance S there is an axis of convection, which appears to be fueled by that small amount of solar input. Those down pours mean business.

Yeah some dim sun here from time to time. Temps tickling up to 60. Wiz promised hailers today . Hope it happens
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That SW I mentioned this morning has now rotated off the coast, a robust cloud expansion currently taking place with cooling tops, could be some embedded T-showers with heavy rain this afternoon.

Yup! Classic setup.

Btw who is Damaging Times on Twitter?

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