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The 'oh, who cares' 1st half of May boring ass pattern banter thread


Typhoon Tip

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I did 28/113 in California on 6/9/06 skiing at Mammoth in the morning and visiting Death Valley in the afternoon.

We should get Kevin to run the Badwater 146. 146 miles from the floor of Death Valley to the top of Mount Whitney. I climbed Whitney in August of 1982. We had intermittent light snow at the summit.

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They've been epically cold. Fairbanks just had their coldest April on record...and May isn't doing much better at -14F departure on the month through 6 days.

 

 

And the river gained ice since the last measurement, in May no doubt. The local's must have done a Homer Simpson doh when they heard that. This is the latest ice break-up since they started keeping records in 1989. It's going to be a short summer for most of the state if this cold keep up much longer into late spring.

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Radar looks like a nice moisture feed developing on SE flow, riding the low level jet. As that jet Max lifts northeast, should bring some nice rains to CT...basin averages of. 25<.5" look decent based on obs to the SW and anticipating a slight decrease in intensity the further NE one goes.

Congrats to the lawns.

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Beware the ULL this time of year. I wasn't sure this one would have the juice to get the fire hose going but it certainly does.

 

I made the comment yesterday that this felt like it would have a banded/convective type look to it rather than a broad brush rainfall.  Looks to be panning out that way for now.  Sun is breaking out here in Wrentham right now.  Was foggy this AM.

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Hey hey what do you know... Light Rain being reported at BDR and HVN.

5 straight hours of RN+ obs out of KNYC...1.28" last 6 hours. That's a good soaking rain with 0.15-0.3" per hour rates observed. Better than getting it all in like a 90 minute convective shower.

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&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
730 AM UPDATE...MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE SKY GRIDS TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE LATEST TRENDS. ALSO SLOWED THE ADVANCE OF POPS BY
AN HOUR OR SO TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT RADAR TRENDS. FORECAST IS
GENERALLY ON TRACK.

MID LEVEL LOW PRES OVER VA MOVES N TODAY WITH DEEP LAYER S/SE
FLOW DEVELOPING WHICH WILL ADVECT HIGHER PWAT AIRMASS INTO SNE.
BAND OF SHOWERS MOVING NWD FROM NYC AREA TO E OF ACY EARLY THIS
MORNING IS ASSOCD WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET. THE LOW LEVEL JET IS
FORECAST TO ROTATE NWD ACROSS SNE 18-00Z WHICH WILL BRING A
PERIOD OF MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL FROM LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON FROM SW TO NE. INSTABILITY PARAMETERS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR ISOLD TSTMS ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS
PWATS INCREASE TO AROUND 1.3 INCHES. QPF TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
0.25 TO 0.5" WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN ANY HEAVIER SHOWERS
OR TSTMS.

TEMPS WERE A BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE. MAINLY 60S...WITH SOME LOWER
70S POSSIBLE PORTIONS OF E MA INTO S NH WHERE BULK OF SHOWERS
SHOULD HOLD OFF TIL AFTERNOON.


&&

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Wait...that's rain on radar? I just assumed it was a biblical dust storm showing up.

Random question...anyone have experience with a ductless heating/cooling system? Considering getting one, since my brother in law works at an appliance store and can do installation for free, which is virtually half the cost. Still, at $1600 a unit, it's pricy. We could probably only afford to get one for the kitchen/DR/LR right now. Upstairs bedrooms would have to wait.

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