Mr Torchey Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Blue skies now breaking up, I was shocked to see these white puffy things in the sky this morning.......nice to get some humidity back in the air this week and okx's sunny and 71 looks delicious for Friday. Ground Hog Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Good shot at rain later in the week too with the system passing just NW of us. Looks like a impressive shot of cool air early next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Looks like a impressive shot of cool air early next weekYeah. I posted a few days ago that I like the chances of that air mass bringing a potential last freeze to the typical rad spots up here. Details of course TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Sunny skies 52 Have a great day everyone, make it your best ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Nothing like 40F diurnal ranges with lows in the 30s/40s to make it feel like San Diego! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Yeah. I posted a few days ago that I like the chances of that air mass bringing a potential last freeze to the typical rad spots up here. Details of course TBD. Yep. Shot at getting into the 30's down here again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Yeah. I posted a few days ago that I like the chances of that air mass bringing a potential last freeze to the typical rad spots up here. Details of course TBD. Not again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Nothing like 40F diurnal ranges with lows in the 30s/40s to make it feel like San Diego! No kidding a couple 70s and a 82 already this month in concord, incredible early May weather for you guys! Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 No kidding a couple 70s and a 82 already this month in concord, incredible early May weather for you guys! Enjoy!Freeze after freeze too. Very SoCal like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Yeah. I posted a few days ago that I like the chances of that air mass bringing a potential last freeze to the typical rad spots up here. Details of course TBD. The Euro looked like it could challenge some records with that airmass, but we are still a ways out to take the magnitude seriously. But I'd be shocked if there weren't frosts/freezes in the usual rad spots with that one. Hints of a shift to warmer weather after that on the ensembles for the 3rd week of the month...perhaps we might get our first severe threat of the season with that type of pattern for wiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Still looks like some small hailers possible Thursday!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Still looks like some small hailers possible Thursday!!!!!!! Lowering freezing levels and actually modest amounts of CAPE too. BRING IT! Do you think we should start a generic severe weather thread soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Lowering freezing levels and actually modest amounts of CAPE too. BRING IT! Do you think we should start a generic severe weather thread soon? Yeah why not...1st one is always exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Yeah why not...1st one is always exciting. You should take the honors! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Lowering freezing levels and actually modest amounts of CAPE too. BRING IT! Do you think we should start a generic severe weather thread soon? Yes, It is about that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 You should take the honors! I'll see if I can start something quick before my class starts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 6, 2013 Author Share Posted May 6, 2013 The last 3 to 4 cycles of the operational Euro have been incrementally reducing the magnitude of the cold wave ...now passing into D7 with that frontal system. Which, given to D7, it's probably silly to discuss the potential "magnitude" of that cold. But I will say that when I've seen that type of model behavior in the past what more typically verifies is seasonal warmth or cool -- i.e., nothing out of the ordinary. I'm more interested in the diurnal convective instability for Thursday and Friday.. This 00z GFS graphic shows this nicely, as the preceding panel to this one goes from nil to fairly robust signal by 00z Friday (same for Friday late day...). > .25" is not huge, granted, but given to the GFS' mesh at this time range and that these are "regional" values, that's an interesting signal for diurnal thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 I think the last 2 euro op runs have been the coldest yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 I started a convective thread for Thursday!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 6, 2013 Author Share Posted May 6, 2013 I think the last 2 euro op runs have been the coldest yet? I just did a comparison of the last 3 and the areal region of sub 0C 850s was smaller on each one. There could be other intervals that I didn't review -- sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 I pulled some quick 2-meter temperature forecasts for BDL and NYC and each of the last three runs has trended cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 6, 2013 Author Share Posted May 6, 2013 I pulled some quick 2-meter temperature forecasts for BDL and NYC and each of the last three runs has trended cooler. It's interesting that it would back off aloft but dig in below... Could be a resolution issue. Of course, the freebies at PSU are probably not the best product to use lol Nice burgeoning warm signal there after though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Maybe with less of a wind gradient/influence, there's less CAA coming in aloft, but lighter winds near the surface could allow for more radiational cooling?Just a wild guess, didn't actually pull wind numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 It's interesting that it would back off aloft but dig in below... Could be a resolution issue. Of course, the freebies at PSU are probably not the best product to use lol Nice burgeoning warm signal there after though. I thought the 850s looked impressive at 174h...-8C into NNE and -4C to LI. The sfc ridge axis is still to our west though so timing the calm winds with the overnight hours may be a wildcard. We'll see...looks like a nice cP airmass regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Another day of absolute San Diego sunsational!!! What an incredible run of weather, d&g nightmare. Best spring ever without question! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 6, 2013 Author Share Posted May 6, 2013 I thought the 850s looked impressive at 174h...-8C into NNE and -4C to LI. The sfc ridge axis is still to our west though so timing the calm winds with the overnight hours may be a wildcard. We'll see...looks like a nice cP airmass regardless. Again, the freebies are probably not the best product but fwiw the -4C was not penetrating as far S looking at those charts as the preceding runs -- appears faster to pull out the air mass, too. Whatever... I just get the hunch that's 63F for an afternoon then recovering fairly quickly there after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 12Z euro still very wet d2-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 12Z euro still very wet d2-7. and it's backed off on the cold behind it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 the freeze potential looks pretty reduced on this run... the heart of the cold passes overhead around 18z monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 12z Euro is fun. Miserable light precip with raw temperatures. Thicknesses as low as 528dm over Berkshires with light precip Monday lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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