dryslot Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I'm sure this pattern will eventually end up breaking down somewhat over the next few weeks...it may not break up completely but I wouldn't be shocked to see increased chances of rain over the next few weeks. I agree, It won't last forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 you'll like the day 8 euro widespread convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 widespread convection It almost has a CAD look for CNE and maybe into interior SNE as CT and SW warm sectors. Either way, the pattern definitely changes to wetter starting with the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 you'll like the day 8 euro I wouldn't be surprised either if our first convective/severe threat occurs which that trough slides east as well...just hopefully though with an eastward slide of the trough it will allow for better moisture advection into the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 BTW, the sandy presentation ginx linked was awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 BTW, the sandy presentation ginx linked was awesome Yea I was totally impressed by Dr. Shapiro.The science is fascinating to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2013 Author Share Posted May 3, 2013 It almost has a CAD look for CNE and maybe into interior SNE as CT and SW warm sectors. Either way, the pattern definitely changes to wetter starting with the coastal. Heh, I saw that and thought ... if that sets up, NYC doesn't warm sector, either. I tell you what, if that warm sector did punch in, that would be a good shot at a severe day in SNE... You'd have huge SRH amid theta-e pooling under a warm boundary over N Mass.... forget it! SNE or not that would be interesting.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Heh, I saw that and thought ... if that sets up, NYC doesn't warm sector, either. I tell you what, if that warm sector did punch in, that would be a good shot at a severe day in SNE... You'd have huge SRH amid theta-e pooling under a warm boundary over N Mass.... forget it! SNE or not that would be interesting.. Somewhere in CT, a Laptop just tilted upwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 High of 63F today, where are the mid-upper 60's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 High of 63F today, where are the mid-upper 60's? Sneaky mild with 68F at BDL, HFD and MMK. Low to mid-60's elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 .31 of precip in the last 21 days at BDR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Sneaky mild with 68F at BDL, HFD and MMK. Low to mid-60's elsewhere. Normal for BDL today is 67F so I'm not sure I'd call it mild. Seems pretty much like an AWT day to me...cooler east and warmer west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Normal for BDL today is 67F so I'm not sure I'd call it mild. Seems pretty much like an AWT day to me...cooler east and warmer west. Mild can be a very subjective term. I don't like to call it warm, although many around here are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Mild can be a very subjective term. I don't like to call it warm, although many around here are. It was definitely beautiful today. I'd rank it on the top 10 list for here...but for early May I just don't consider u60s mild. The Euro was a little too cool down there today even if you lump on 3-5F to the 2m temps for diabatic heating for this time of year...so I guess it was a little "sneakily" warmer. Looking at MOS data...the MAV had 66F for BDL today on the 00z/06z runs, but for some reason shaved a couple of degrees off at 12z. The MET was the way to go with 69F. The MET is 3-4F warmer than the MAV for tomorrow for much of the region so it'll be interesting to see if it wins out again with a similar (but modifying) airmass in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 It was definitely beautiful today. I'd rank it on the top 10 list for here...but for early May I just don't consider u60s mild. The Euro was a little too cool down there today even if you lump on 3-5F to the 2m temps for diabatic heating for this time of year...so I guess it was a little "sneakily" warmer. Looking at MOS data...the MAV had 66F for BDL today on the 00z/06z runs, but for some reason shaved a couple of degrees off at 12z. The MET was the way to go with 69F. The MET is 3-4F warmer than the MAV for tomorrow for much of the region so it'll be interesting to see if it wins out again with a similar (but modifying) airmass in place. The Euro has been relatively cool with 2m temps over the past several weeks, at least for the stations I've checked in Connecticut. I think tomorrow warms up, but that Sunday/Monday will be the warmest. Could see a few stations make another run at 80 by then across the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 The Euro has been relatively cool with 2m temps over the past several weeks, at least for the stations I've checked in Connecticut. I think tomorrow warms up, but that Sunday/Monday will be the warmest. Could see a few stations make another run at 80 by then across the region. All model 2m temps are too cool with diabatic heating via insolation...especially this time of year. So on most days you can't rely on 2m temps during the warm season unless you add a good 3-5F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 High of 63F today, where are the mid-upper 60's? Same here, but in the sun it felt so much warmer than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Normal for BDL today is 67F so I'm not sure I'd call it mild. Seems pretty much like an AWT day to me...cooler east and warmer west. So normal here at just under 900' should be about 63F since it's generally about 3-4F cooler than Bradley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 day after day, good luck next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 High of 63F today, where are the mid-upper 60's? 71 at St. Johnsbury and 69 at Presque Isle, Caribou and Berlin, NH. All 4 not exactly garden spots. BDCF fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 scooby:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 71 at St. Johnsbury and 69 at Presque Isle, Caribou and Berlin, NH. All 4 not exactly garden spots. BDCF fail. Actually hit 70 at BDL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 high of 58f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 71 at St. Johnsbury and 69 at Presque Isle, Caribou and Berlin, NH. All 4 not exactly garden spots. BDCF fail.This was always looking like more of an ENE backdoor with the biggest warmth departures over NNE. Looks like more of the same through the middle of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 This was always looking like more of an ENE backdoor with the biggest warmth departures over NNE. Looks like more of the same through the middle of next week. BML and HIE are always the places to be this time of year. It is much more apparent though when we're socked in on the coast and coastal plain with low clouds, fog, and drizzle and they're out in the full sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Looks like we'll finally get some rain later next week. Heavy heavy itchy eyes right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Looks like we'll finally get some rain later next week. Heavy heavy itchy eyes right now. My daughter's first Communion is next Sunday. It'll suck if we trade in all the mild beautiful sunny days for a rainy day that day. Also, with the weather possible taking a turn for the worst, my outdoor prepwork might be tought to schedule (mowing, etc.). Great down out there, today. 45.8/42, "She's a beaut, Clark". Hey--where's HubbDave been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Another frosty one out there, low of 32-33F. Currently 39F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Another frosty one out there, low of 32-33F. Currently 39F You do so well with the cooling. I got to 42* here. I think my specific locale must have one of the smaller year-round diurnal spreads of the folks on this board. I neither cool nor warm. I guess a little like the coatal area. Things are pretty steady in this neck of GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 LOL, they still had some snow in SW MO last night. Just nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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