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The 'oh, who cares' 1st half of May boring ass pattern banter thread


Typhoon Tip

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Highest temps on record here for the month...I remember one of those BD days. I think it might have been the 31st. I'd have to double check.

 

 

This current BD front is fairly impressive.

 

Yeah, that's the one BD event/date that I am certain of.  I remember at 3:30pm looking at CAR ob and it was 39 with wind gust to 40kts that hour from the NE, while it was still 89F at the Lab.  The boundary was visible on visible radar imagery, sinuously wobbling SW and it came through like a gust front off a thunderstorm.  Super tight temp gradient as it came through UML.  

 

I remember reflecting how the previous day was so hot, but it was in the low 40s at the same time that afternoon - April 1.   I think it garbage snowed even later that week.

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0z gfs looks decent for a few strong storms or even severe events in the longer-range. Haven't checked out the euro or ensembles since several days, but could be something to watch for D7-14.  WNE is no stranger to May events of course.

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Not good..This may be our only chance at soaking rains all of May. If this is a miss or not appreciable..well  not good

 

 



.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK
* NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPS THIS WEEKEND MODERATING EARLY NEXT WEEK
* CLOUDS AND THREAT FOR SOME SHOWERS INCREASE WED INTO FRI BUT
STILL NO APPRECIABLE RAINFALL EXPECTED
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Stardate 1234874

 

Another sunny morning on this planet they call earth, its as if there is never any precipitation.

 

 

 

52 sunny delightful degrees, major fail on the overnight low projected to be 46.

 

 

Day after day, after day.................................................................................................after day

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I haven't been home but the last two days look like they have been absolute gems...

Wednesday was 79/38 and yesterday was 82/39 at the local Stowe-Morrisville ASOS.

Doesn't get more perfect than that with around 80 during the day then. falling back to the 30s at night. My 40F and higher diurnal temp change fetish satisfied Haha. A sign of a nice dry airmass for the mountain valleys.

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Euro looked a lot better last night. I think we get some rain out of that system.

Also the pattern looks more conductive to rain beyond that as well in the 2nd week of May.

Maybe we get one more chance for a freeze for the rad spots mid month if we can sneak a cP airmass in here?
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